Daury Arias

PosCF
B/TL/L
Born2001-08-07
Age (2027)25
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
ALAST SEASON 2024
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202220ROKNYY217.228/.383/.3745549—.162/.276/.265
202321ANYY418.217/.335/.31861147—.184/.266/.258
202422ANYY199.171/.268/.24626-1—.121/.192/.165
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 A
Max EV70
Z-Con%50
Speed48
Chase%46
BB%42
Whiff%38

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 ROKDSL Yankees 2 — 222181 521018 38302 92 287414486901 199308 1417 401 50 — — — — — —
202220 ROKFCL Yankees — 217171 391005 34399 54 228383374757 146262 1816 347 49 — — — — — —
202321 ATampa Tarpons — 418355 771426 58865 111 217335318653 101270 2114 305 47 — — — — — —
202422 ATampa Tarpons — 199175 30702 20543 62 171268246513 74233 2710 243 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 ROK MLEDSL Yankees 2 — 222195 33614 25382 92 169270272542 103188 1711 242 50 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 217185 30704 20579 54 162276265541 103195 269 240 49 — — — — — —
202321 A MLETampa Tarpons — 418376 691224 371205 111 184266258524 74255 299 237 47 — — — — — —
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 199182 22501 13773 62 121192165357 44190 397 167 -1 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEDSL Yankees 2 — 222195 33614 25382 92 169270272542 103190 1711 242 50 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAWDSL Yankees 2 — 222181 521018 38302 92 287414486901 199308 1417 401 50 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 217185 30704 20579 54 162276265541 103205 269 240 49 — — — — — —
202220 ROK RAWFCL Yankees — 217171 391005 34399 54 228383374757 146262 1816 347 49 — — — — — —
202321 A MLETampa Tarpons — 418376 691224 371205 111 184266258524 74258 299 237 47 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWTampa Tarpons — 418355 771426 58865 111 217335318653 101270 2114 305 47 — — — — — —
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 199182 22501 13773 62 121192165357 44200 397 167 -1 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWTampa Tarpons — 199175 30702 20543 62 171268246513 74233 2710 243 -1 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEDSL Yankees 2 — 222193 33614 25382 92 171270275545 104188 1711 242 50 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 217186 30704 20579 54 161276263539 102195 269 240 49 — — — — — —
202321 A MLETampa Tarpons — 418373 691224 371205 111 185266260526 75255 299 237 47 — — — — — —
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 199181 22501 13773 62 122192166358 44190 397 167 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 199181 22501 13773 62 122192166358 44190 397 167 -1 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 1056938 15430313 9529219 319 164255244499 80221 289 225 39 -77 +3 +0 +4 +23 -4.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 941828 5818012 196 163253243496 80220 289 225 39 -47 +1 +0 +2 +14 -3.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 ATampa Tarpons · 199 PAwOBA .238 → .167 (−72)K% 27.1% → 38.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.14%÷0.959×1.360——38.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.05%÷1.061×0.690—×0.9906.47%
HBP% /PA1.51%—×0.780—×0.9901.16%
Singles /BIP17.36%÷1.035×0.920×0.950×0.99014.51%
Doubles /BIP5.79%÷1.028×0.830×0.950×0.9904.39%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.910×0.950×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP1.65%÷0.979×0.800—×0.9901.34%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .238 → .167; ISO .074 → .051; BABIP .233 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ATampa Tarpons · 418 PAwOBA .298 → .237 (−61)K% 20.6% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.57%÷0.975×1.360——28.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.88%÷1.079×0.690——8.87%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.780——0.93%
Singles /BIP20.45%÷0.987×0.920×1.034—19.70%
Doubles /BIP5.20%÷0.972×0.830×1.034—4.60%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷0.900×0.910×1.034—0.78%
Home runs /BIP2.23%÷1.086×0.800——1.64%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .298 → .237; ISO .101 → .080; BABIP .270 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Yankees · 217 PAwOBA .344 → .240 (−104)K% 18.0% → 26.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.97%÷0.990×1.440——26.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.67%÷1.026×0.620—×0.9859.33%
HBP% /PA4.15%—×0.720—×0.9852.94%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷0.983×0.820×0.950×0.98514.20%
Doubles /BIP7.58%÷0.974×0.720×0.950×0.9855.24%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×0.950×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP3.79%÷1.066×0.780—×0.9852.73%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .344 → .240; ISO .146 → .105; BABIP .262 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Yankees 2 · 222 PAwOBA .391 → .242 (−149)K% 13.5% → 17.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.51%÷0.964×1.220——17.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.12%÷1.038×0.700—×0.98511.37%
HBP% /PA0.90%—×0.700—×0.9850.62%
Singles /BIP21.85%÷1.033×0.680×1.001×0.98514.19%
Doubles /BIP6.62%÷1.033×0.600×1.001×0.9853.79%
Triples /BIP0.66%÷0.977×0.600×1.001×0.9850.40%
Home runs /BIP5.30%÷1.063×0.470—×0.9852.31%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 107, 2B 107, 3B 95, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .391 → .242; ISO .199 → .100; BABIP .308 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).