Beycker BarrosoC Hickory Crawdads
Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 185 proj PA
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .269 / .270
PA185
HR1
K%26
BB%6
ISO75
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +5.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.60.5+$15M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $1M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Rangers 2 139120 32420 994 54 267338333672 67276 66 287 78
202118 ROKDSL Rangers 2 139115 38530 1464 54 330421426847 96333 410 368 140
202219 ROKACL Rangers 4944 11201 372 42 250327364690 114278 146 291 81
202219 ROKACL Rangers 4942 14301 552 42 333429476905 143361 1010 407 170
202320 ROKACL Rangers 8274 10301 5383 40 135220216436 81257 466 192 5
202320 ROKACL Rangers 8271 17502 8233 40 239341394736 155326 2810 334 114
202421 A2 teams 196168 31713 166010 65 185294292585 107264 318 262 59
202421 A2 teams 196159 37914 254410 65 233371377748 145295 2213 342 120
202522 AHickory Crawdads 198163 25500 105217 83 153274184458 31219 265 215 23
202522 AHickory Crawdads 198155 30800 173517 83 194337245582 52244 189 275 69
▸ 2026 Season
202623 MLBTEX 185166 33711 11476 31 199273271544 72265 256 252 51 -10 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBTEX 30% 246221 45913 15628 51 204279294573 90269 256 264 60 -11 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.1
202825 MLBTEX 44% 325291 621225 218110 62 213289320608 107271 256 272 66 -12 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.3
202926 MLBTEX 51% 378339 721426 259311 72 212288319607 106272 257 276 70 -13 +1 +0 +7 +11 0.5
203027 MLBTEX 52% 404363 771527 2710011 82 212287322609 110273 257 278 71 -13 +1 +0 +7 +11 0.6
203128 MLBTEX 53% 418375 801627 2810412 82 213289323612 109272 257 277 70 -14 +1 -1 +7 +12 0.5
202724 MLBTEX 30% 7467 14301 5192 10 209284299582 90271 267 242 44 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202825 MLBTEX 44% 143129 27512 9364 31 209282310592 101273 256 251 51 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
202926 MLBTEX 51% 192172 37713 12476 41 215289320609 105274 246 256 54 -10 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
203027 MLBTEX 52% 212190 41814 14526 41 216290332622 116274 257 258 56 -11 +0 +0 +4 +6 -0.0
203128 MLBTEX 53% 223200 43814 15556 41 215290325615 110274 257 257 55 -11 +0 -0 +4 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 844758 16231414 5520924 164 214288321609 107275 257 255 53 -45 +2 -0 +15 +24 -0.4
/ 162G 650584 12524311 4216118 123 214287322609 108275 256 255 53 -34 +1 -0 +12 +18 -0.3
Career 26202324 478941334 17065394 6424 206287301588 96268 256 266 61 -114 +3 -1 +47 +74 1.0
/ 162G 650577 1182338 4216223 166 205285296581 92267 256 266 61 -28 +1 -0 +12 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Rangers 2 139115 38530 1464 54 330421426847 96333 410 368 140 +6 -1 +4 1.0
202219 ROKACL Rangers 4942 14301 552 42 333429476905 143361 1010 407 170 +4 +0 +1 0.5
202320 ROKACL Rangers 8271 17502 8233 40 239341394736 155326 2810 334 114 +1 +1 +2 0.5
202421 ADown East Wood Ducks 156131 30514 14409 64 229344374718 145295 269 326 108 +1 -0 +4 0.5
202421 ROKACL Rangers 4028 7400 1141 01 250475393868 143292 1028 407 169 +3 -0 +1 0.4
202522 AHickory Crawdads 198155 30800 173517 83 194337245582 52244 189 275 69 -7 +0 +6 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,0291419210282310+18+120.80.9
/162664912+11.9+7.70.5pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Beycker Barroso (OGILVIE) 23 30 20 50 35 196/269/270 74265 13 26% 6% 51 -0.5
Claudio Finol
2023 · AA
23 38 37→40 50→45 40 187/240/263 77259 48 29% 5% 35 -2.8 204/263/296 92292 810 31% 7% 53 -1.5 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
Jairo Rodriguez
2012 · A
23 39 35→30 46→30 41 187/226/248 61230 35 20% 4% 24 -3.5 214/259/272 58268 33 20% 5% 44 -2.1 216/259/262462642118%4%39-0.8
Nick Meyer
2021 · A
24 35 36→40 52→50 40 172/231/233 61252 415 32% 6% 24 -3.6 212/280/299 87278 914 25% 8% 62 -0.9 207/281/29083267101625%8%57-0.6
Steven Baron
2014 · A
23 34 40→45 53→50 34 176/209/269 93256 69 34% 4% 22 -3.7 215/263/298 83301 59 28% 6% 53 -1.5 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
Alejandro Torres
2012 · A
23 37 37→40 46→40 35 182/219/253 71267 45 33% 4% 22 -3.7 205/260/281 76311 56 33% 6% 48 -1.9 198/265/228303130034%8%37-0.5
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
Jon Murphy
2013 · A
23 38 38→30 47→50 39 185/237/262 77264 513 31% 6% 33 -2.9 197/249/259 62309 310 35% 6% 37 -2.6 191/245/2415030521036%6%27-1.8
Raul Siri
2018 · A
23 39 38→40 51→50 42 192/251/271 80265 611 29% 7% 42 -2.3 199/264/283 84349 59 41% 7% 51 -1.7 149/237/2388930741447%8%28-0.6
Andy Paz
2016 · A
23 38 37→40 48→45 42 185/247/254 69274 56 33% 8% 36 -2.7 220/269/285 65296 47 25% 6% 52 -1.6 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
Jose Cordova
2023 · A
23 43 36→40 49→50 37 202/254/269 67295 38 31% 5% 42 -2.3 212/268/287 75305 49 30% 6% 53 -1.5 227/290/3128530541225%7%65-0.3
Alfredo González
2015 · A
23 42 38→40 52→45 43 203/264/285 81271 69 26% 6% 50 -1.7 230/291/295 65314 46 26% 7% 64 -0.8 225/288/284593004525%7%57-0.6
Franklin Tineo
2017 · A
22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
Bryan Johns
2012 · A
23 40 36→30 47→45 36 191/239/257 67290 47 34% 5% 32 -3.0 198/272/262 64282 36 28% 8% 49 -1.8 186/268/238522632528%8%39-0.9
Shane Carlson
2010 · A
23 41 35→40 48→45 37 196/245/259 63287 39 31% 5% 35 -2.8 221/260/309 88277 68 21% 4% 54 -1.4 234/263/326922786618%2%58-0.6
Alex Todd
2012 · A
22 38 37→40 44→45 38 185/246/256 71259 44 29% 5% 37 -2.7 220/285/305 85299 66 27% 5% 65 -0.7 236/303/318833176526%5%73-0.1
Yoel Romero
2021 · A
23 43 38→40 46→50 45 205/266/285 80275 69 27% 7% 52 -1.6 212/262/306 94320 84 34% 6% 55 -1.4 201/249/291903048035%5%43-0.9
Erlin Cerda
2017 · A
23 44 36→40 51→55 42 205/266/276 70280 211 26% 6% 49 -1.8 196/240/268 72301 38 34% 5% 35 -2.8 163/196/205432510834%3%-4-1.3
Jack Winkler
2022 · A
23 41→40 38→40 48→55 40 195/249/275 80270 410 28% 6% 42 -2.3 203/265/296 93273 814 27% 6% 54 -1.4 185/251/2748925381829%6%40-1.7
Onix Vega
2022 · A
23 44 38→30 51→45 44 210/278/291 81275 57 24% 6% 59 -1.1 210/286/283 73281 56 25% 8% 60 -1.0 200/282/256562674524%9%50-0.7
Will Piwnica-Worms
2013 · A
23 41 36→40 52→50 47 193/261/264 71245 37 22% 7% 44 -2.1 203/279/287 84272 68 26% 8% 58 -1.2 196/277/278822627826%8%53-0.8