Jhonson PenaSS FCL Pirates
Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .270 / .294
PA72
HR1
K%29
BB%7
ISO90
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.50.4+$12M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL PIT Gold 6956 16200 7144 71 286403321724 36381 2010 307 93
202118 ROKDSL PIT Gold 6953 17200 10104 71 321463358821 38395 1414 378 147
202219 ROKDSL PIT Gold 140110 22231 18464 72 200333300633 100318 3313 261 58
202219 ROKDSL PIT Gold 140101 25241 27304 72 248424376800 129329 2119 351 127
202320 ROKFCL Pirates 144127 23321 12434 202 181273260533 79265 308 229 33
202320 ROKFCL Pirates 144120 29431 19274 202 242364350714 108304 1913 328 109
202421 ROKFCL Pirates 146126 28711 8384 96 222290317607 95307 265 244 45
202421 ROKFCL Pirates 146122 30711 12284 96 246333344678 98309 198 295 84
▸ 2026 Season
202623 MLBPIT 7266 14211 5211 20 212278318596 106286 297 259 56 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBPIT 30% 10999 22412 8301 20 222287343630 121288 287 270 65 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202825 MLBPIT 44% 227205 45824 17623 51 220289337625 117288 277 277 70 -8 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.2
202926 MLBPIT 51% 310280 611126 23844 71 218287336622 118289 277 282 74 -9 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.4
203027 MLBPIT 52% 358324 721337 27974 82 222290346636 123289 278 283 75 -10 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.5
203128 MLBPIT 53% 386348 761437 301055 82 218290336626 118289 278 282 74 -11 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.4
202724 MLBPIT 30% 3331 5100 290 10 161212194406 32286 276 260 57 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202825 MLBPIT 44% 10092 21412 7271 20 228290359649 130287 277 267 63 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202926 MLBPIT 51% 157142 31613 12432 41 218288338626 120287 278 272 66 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
203027 MLBPIT 52% 188170 37714 14512 41 218285341626 124287 277 273 67 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203128 MLBPIT 53% 206185 41724 16563 41 222294346640 124287 278 272 66 -8 +0 -0 +2 +6 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 684620 13525513 511868 153 218286337623 119288 277 271 66 -27 +2 -0 +7 +19 0.2
/ 162G 650589 12824512 481778 143 217285336621 119288 277 271 66 -25 +2 -0 +7 +18 0.1
Career 19611741 379661830 15554034 7517 218294328622 110295 288 273 67 -73 +8 -1 +21 +56 1.1
/ 162G 650577 12622610 5117911 256 218294329623 111296 288 273 67 -24 +3 -0 +7 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL PIT Gold 6953 17200 10104 71 321463358821 38395 1414 378 147 +4 +1 +2 0.7
202219 ROKDSL PIT Gold 140101 25241 27304 72 248424376800 129329 2119 351 127 +4 +1 +4 0.9
202320 ROKFCL Pirates 144120 29431 19274 202 242364350714 108304 1913 328 109 +2 +3 +4 0.9
202421 ROKFCL Pirates 146122 30711 12284 96 246333344678 98309 198 295 84 -3 -1 +4 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
37551317218284334+8+90.70.8
/1626641215+7.1+7.90.6pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jhonson Pena (OGILVIE) 23 205/270/294 89286 12 29% 7% 56 -0.2
Levi Michael
2014 · A
23 39→49 37→45 55 49 187/266/263 76252 413 26% 9% 46 -2.0 219/285/303 84294 416 25% 7% 64 -0.8 226/293/341115319101130%5%75+0.0
Brian Ruggiano
2009 · A
23 40→43 38→45 54→55 38 190/244/275 85291 510 35% 6% 40 -2.4 214/269/323 109304 814 31% 6% 63 -0.9 216/273/33111529891529%6%64-0.5
Mycal Jones
2010 · A
23 40→45 41→45 55 42 196/253/300 105266 614 28% 6% 50 -1.7 209/265/324 115283 1015 29% 6% 62 -0.9 219/277/3068728362424%6%59-0.7
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Francisco Acuna
2023 · A
23 42→50 40→45 47→50 41 200/273/299 98286 711 31% 6% 59 -1.1 217/287/310 93290 713 26% 7% 68 -0.5 209/292/3049627991626%8%67-0.3
Ray-Patrick Didder
2018 · A
23 42→47 38→45 52→60 38 198/274/276 78294 518 32% 6% 54 -1.4 185/267/263 78303 623 38% 7% 48 -1.9 198/285/310113286122832%8%64-0.5
Cade Gotta
2015 · A
23 41→51 39→45 54→55 46 195/271/287 91276 516 29% 8% 55 -1.4 216/266/313 97287 721 26% 6% 58 -1.2 241/300/34310230763622%8%78+0.1
Kyler Fedko
2023 · A
23 43→42 43→50 51→55 47 212/285/327 114283 1010 27% 8% 71 -0.3 202/288/323 121269 1214 28% 10% 72 -0.2 197/277/356159247212329%9%74-0.0
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
Luke Williams
2019 · A
22 41→46 37→45 50→60 41 199/250/266 67260 515 25% 5% 40 -2.4 204/263/297 93276 719 27% 7% 53 -1.5 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Corey Joyce
2022 · AA
23 40 39→45 54→50 39 192/262/274 82303 814 37% 7% 48 -1.9 206/305/332 126296 1313 32% 10% 82 +0.5 214/316/327113306111430%10%82+0.3
Erlin Cerda
2017 · A
23 44 36→40 51→55 42 205/266/276 70280 211 26% 6% 49 -1.8 196/240/268 72301 38 34% 5% 35 -2.8 163/196/205432510834%3%-4-1.3
Jhoneiker Betancourt
2023 · A
23 42 40→55 50→40 43 203/279/294 91279 76 28% 7% 60 -1.0 209/281/354 145278 184 31% 7% 78 +0.2 186/269/36117523526033%7%79+0.1
Raul Siri
2018 · A
23 39 38→40 51→50 42 192/251/271 80265 611 29% 7% 42 -2.3 199/264/283 84349 59 41% 7% 51 -1.7 149/237/2388930741447%8%28-0.6
Alfredo González
2015 · A
23 42 38→40 52→45 43 203/264/285 81271 69 26% 6% 50 -1.7 230/291/295 65314 46 26% 7% 64 -0.8 225/288/284593004525%7%57-0.6
Luis De Los Santos
2021 · A
23 41→47 40→45 48→45 37 199/247/294 95288 88 33% 5% 46 -2.0 221/270/348 127302 136 30% 5% 70 -0.3 216/283/33511929113729%7%69-0.2
Jose Cordova
2023 · A
23 43 36→40 49→50 37 202/254/269 67295 38 31% 5% 42 -2.3 212/268/287 75305 49 30% 6% 53 -1.5 227/290/3128530541225%7%65-0.3
Chase Strumpf
2021 · A
23 44→36 42→50 49→45 42 208/284/314 106306 87 33% 7% 68 -0.5 195/290/334 139313 155 39% 10% 76 +0.1 179/286/33515628719441%11%72-0.1
Larry Cobb
2008 · A
23 40→43 39→45 47→50 49 193/267/275 82244 710 23% 8% 50 -1.7 210/273/324 114268 1211 25% 6% 65 -0.7 206/269/325118259131125%6%64-0.4
Yoel Romero
2021 · A
23 43 38→40 46→50 45 205/266/285 80275 69 27% 7% 52 -1.6 212/262/306 94320 84 34% 6% 55 -1.4 201/249/291903048035%5%43-0.9