Estiven Machado
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ATOR | 380 | .263/.342/.345 | 1 | 6 | 61 | — | .228/.287/.299 |
| 2023 | 20 | A+TOR | 249 | .187/.285/.251 | 1 | 8 | 28 | — | .164/.245/.222 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+TOR | 219 | .191/.296/.271 | 2 | 1 | 32 | — | .164/.245/.231 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 380 | 339 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 97 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 263 | 342 | 345 | 687 | 83 | 365 | 26 | 10 | 315 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 249 | 219 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 57 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 187 | 285 | 251 | 536 | 64 | 248 | 23 | 9 | 255 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 219 | 188 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 191 | 296 | 271 | 568 | 80 | 236 | 21 | 11 | 265 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 380 | 351 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 130 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 228 | 287 | 299 | 586 | 71 | 356 | 34 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 249 | 225 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 75 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 164 | 245 | 222 | 467 | 58 | 237 | 30 | 7 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 219 | 195 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 164 | 245 | 231 | 476 | 67 | 219 | 28 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 380 | 351 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 130 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 228 | 287 | 299 | 586 | 71 | 359 | 34 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 380 | 339 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 97 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 263 | 342 | 345 | 687 | 83 | 365 | 26 | 10 | 315 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 249 | 225 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 75 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 164 | 245 | 222 | 467 | 58 | 242 | 30 | 7 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | Vancouver Canadians | — | 249 | 219 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 57 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 187 | 285 | 251 | 536 | 64 | 248 | 23 | 9 | 255 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 219 | 195 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 164 | 245 | 231 | 476 | 67 | 224 | 28 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Vancouver Canadians | — | 219 | 188 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 191 | 296 | 271 | 568 | 80 | 236 | 21 | 11 | 265 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 380 | 348 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 130 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 230 | 287 | 302 | 589 | 72 | 356 | 34 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 249 | 223 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 75 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 166 | 245 | 224 | 469 | 58 | 237 | 30 | 7 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 219 | 196 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 163 | 245 | 230 | 475 | 66 | 219 | 28 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 219 | 196 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 163 | 245 | 230 | 475 | 66 | 219 | 28 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 848 | 771 | 149 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 61 | 267 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 193 | 264 | 259 | 523 | 66 | 288 | 31 | 7 | 233 | 44 | -57 | -1 | +0 | +9 | +18 | -3.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 114 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 205 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 193 | 264 | 259 | 523 | 66 | 288 | 32 | 7 | 233 | 44 | -43 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Vancouver Canadians · 219 PAwOBA .262 → .216 (−46)K% 20.5% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷0.980 | ×1.350 | — | — | 28.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.42% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.964 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×1.012 | 17.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷1.071 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.012 | 3.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | ×1.015 | ×1.012 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 1.11% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 93, 2B 114, 3B 87, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .262 → .216; ISO .080 → .061; BABIP .236 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Vancouver Canadians · 249 PAwOBA .249 → .209 (−40)K% 22.9% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.89% | ÷1.028 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.24% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.81% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | ×1.027 | 17.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.027 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.037 | ×1.027 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.253 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 0.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .249 → .209; ISO .064 → .053; BABIP .248 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADunedin Blue Jays · 380 PAwOBA .307 → .259 (−48)K% 25.5% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.53% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 26.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.85% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .307 → .259; ISO .083 → .072; BABIP .365 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).