Estiven MachadoSS
Vancouver Canadians
Age 23
S/R
5'9" / 170 lbs
A+
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.7 · 2030
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .276 / .307
PA125
HR2
K%28
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
36↗41
PWR
32↗37
SPD
44↗49
EYE
47↗52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $9M | +$4M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 380 | 350 | 77 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 135 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .220 | .282 | .294 | .576 | .074 | .355 | 36 | 7 | .257 | 55 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 249 | 227 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 77 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .150 | .225 | .203 | .428 | .053 | .221 | 31 | 6 | .192 | 5 | -27 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 219 | 197 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .152 | .227 | .203 | .430 | .051 | .215 | 29 | 7 | .199 | 11 | -22 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | TOR | 125 | 112 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .205 | .282 | .312 | .595 | .107 | .277 | 28 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | TOR | 159 | 143 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .291 | .336 | .627 | .119 | .279 | 27 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | TOR | 266 | 239 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 71 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .213 | .288 | .326 | .614 | .113 | .281 | 27 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | TOR | 339 | 303 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 90 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .218 | .295 | .343 | .638 | .125 | .282 | 27 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | TOR | 379 | 338 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 101 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .219 | .298 | .343 | .641 | .124 | .283 | 27 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | TOR | 402 | 359 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 108 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .217 | .296 | .345 | .641 | .128 | .282 | 27 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | TOR | 409 | 365 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 111 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .216 | .296 | .342 | .638 | .126 | .281 | 27 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | TOR | 411 | 367 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 113 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .213 | .292 | .330 | .621 | .117 | .280 | 27 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -12 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | TOR | 403 | 359 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 112 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .209 | .290 | .326 | .616 | .117 | .278 | 28 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -13 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 389 | 347 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 110 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .207 | .288 | .320 | .607 | .112 | .277 | 28 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 362 | 323 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 105 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .279 | .297 | .576 | .099 | .275 | 29 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 319 | 284 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 95 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .194 | .275 | .289 | .564 | .095 | .273 | 30 | 9 | .263 | 60 | -15 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4811 | 4313 | 887 | 171 | 24 | 80 | 402 | 1370 | 62 | 74 | 29 | .206 | .283 | .312 | .595 | .106 | .280 | 28 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -190 | +3 | -20 | +52 | +136 | -1.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 120 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 54 | 185 | 8 | 10 | 4 | .206 | .282 | .312 | .594 | .106 | .279 | 28 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -26 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 380 | 339 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 97 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .263 | .342 | .345 | .687 | .083 | .365 | 26 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 249 | 219 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 57 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .187 | .285 | .251 | .536 | .064 | .248 | 23 | 9 | .255 | 54 | -13 | +1 | — | — | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 219 | 188 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .191 | .296 | .271 | .568 | .080 | .236 | 21 | 11 | .265 | 61 | -10 | -2 | — | — | +6 | -0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Estiven Machado (OGILVIE) | 23 | 36→41 | 32→37 | 44→49 | 52 | .204/.276/.307 | .103 | .277 | 2 | 2 | 28% | 8% | 63 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A |
23 | 42→40 | 37→40 | 49→50 | 45 | .200/.261/.277 | .077 | .275 | 4 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .215/.270/.300 | .085 | .301 | 3 | 10 | 27% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .228/.280/.318 | .090 | .321 | 0 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Nicholas Romero 2010 · A |
23 | 41→42 | 41→40 | 50→45 | 46 | .200/.273/.298 | .098 | .270 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .192/.257/.277 | .085 | .267 | 5 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .178/.241/.256 | .078 | .249 | 3 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 33 | -2.2 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2017 · A |
23 | 41→39 | 40→50 | 47→50 | 42 | .198/.260/.294 | .095 | .271 | 7 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.260/.327 | .127 | .289 | 12 | 10 | 33% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Oliver Dominguez 2012 · A |
23 | 41 | 40 | 52→45 | 49 | .199/.274/.292 | .093 | .261 | 8 | 15 | 26% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .199/.264/.297 | .098 | .288 | 7 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .184/.244/.280 | .096 | .274 | 7 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 39 | -0.9 |
|
●Leo Rivas 2021 · A |
23 | 39→49 | 39→40 | 48→65 | 46 | .188/.266/.276 | .088 | .284 | 7 | 8 | 34% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .215/.292/.302 | .087 | .300 | 7 | 21 | 28% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .238/.354/.331 | .093 | .320 | 9 | 44 | 25% | 14% | 100 | +1.2 |
|
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A |
24 | 44 | 38→40 | 49→55 | 45 | .209/.266/.289 | .080 | .272 | 5 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .214/.285/.291 | .077 | .307 | 4 | 20 | 29% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.287/.272 | .066 | .304 | 3 | 27 | 30% | 10% | 55 | -0.5 |
|
✕Louis Ott 2008 · A |
23 | 47→48 | 38→30 | 47→45 | 45 | .222/.286/.300 | .078 | .296 | 6 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .228/.300/.296 | .068 | .325 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .228/.307/.282 | .054 | .331 | 3 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Cal Conley 2022 · A |
23 | 42→47 | 40 | 50→55 | 41 | .205/.267/.297 | .091 | .282 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.258/.307 | .100 | .275 | 9 | 22 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .206/.256/.292 | .087 | .271 | 7 | 28 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -1.8 |
|
✕Roger Tomas 2008 · A |
22 | 43 | 40→30 | 50→45 | 43 | .207/.256/.299 | .091 | .264 | 7 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .225/.268/.285 | .060 | .282 | 3 | 6 | 20% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .234/.271/.267 | .033 | .288 | 1 | 6 | 19% | 4% | 46 | -0.6 |
|
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A |
23 | 43 | 39→40 | 46→50 | 46 | .205/.268/.285 | .080 | .271 | 6 | 9 | 26% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .214/.264/.307 | .093 | .327 | 8 | 4 | 35% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.256/.300 | .091 | .320 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 5% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A |
23 | 38→41 | 40 | 48→40 | 55 | .186/.291/.272 | .085 | .244 | 8 | 6 | 25% | 12% | 61 | -1.0 | .189/.280/.274 | .085 | .266 | 8 | 4 | 29% | 10% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.288/.298 | .100 | .256 | 11 | 0 | 25% | 10% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A |
23 | 40→47 | 41→40 | 47→50 | 42 | .195/.271/.297 | .102 | .275 | 8 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .211/.282/.307 | .096 | .282 | 7 | 13 | 26% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .217/.292/.310 | .093 | .282 | 9 | 18 | 25% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Wendell Soto 2015 · A |
23 | 41→45 | 41→40 | 49→50 | 42 | .202/.254/.299 | .097 | .269 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .194/.263/.274 | .080 | .284 | 6 | 11 | 31% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .152/.239/.195 | .042 | .239 | 2 | 18 | 34% | 10% | 17 | -1.4 |
|
✕Riley Unroe 2019 · AAA |
23 | 39→47 | 37→45 | 45→55 | 44 | .190/.259/.261 | .071 | .276 | 5 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .213/.275/.314 | .101 | .294 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .221/.306/.342 | .121 | .297 | 13 | 26 | 28% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A |
23 | 43 | 39→30 | 48→40 | 49 | .206/.285/.289 | .084 | .266 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 9% | 62 | -0.9 | .224/.308/.287 | .063 | .307 | 4 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.323/.283 | .051 | .326 | 2 | 2 | 26% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Austin Elkins 2014 · A |
23 | 44→42 | 41→40 | 49→50 | 54 | .211/.300/.309 | .099 | .258 | 7 | 13 | 20% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 | .216/.298/.306 | .090 | .273 | 7 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .213/.300/.279 | .066 | .272 | 4 | 6 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A |
24 | 44 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 45 | .213/.275/.318 | .106 | .281 | 8 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .216/.308/.313 | .097 | .284 | 6 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .210/.315/.303 | .093 | .277 | 5 | 10 | 23% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kaleb Cowart 2015 · AA |
23 | 43→51 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .213/.263/.310 | .098 | .277 | 9 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .218/.269/.327 | .109 | .297 | 9 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .225/.280/.346 | .120 | .302 | 10 | 17 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→40 | 40 | .198/.263/.282 | .084 | .277 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.296/.304 | .086 | .283 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.302/.289 | .070 | .280 | 7 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |