Hugo Sanchez — OGILVIE

Hugo SanchezSS ACL Padres

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.8 · 2030

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .274 / .303

PA54

HR1

K%30

BB%8

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.3	$2M	+$0.5M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	—	—	—
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$7M		$3M	-$4M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	180	152	18	2	2	0	26	78	2	10	4	.118	.256	.158	.413	.039	.243	43	14	.203	14	-18	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.0
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	151	128	25	2	1	2	20	46	2	11	1	.195	.313	.273	.587	.078	.284	30	13	.267	63	-6	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2023	20	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	198	152	29	7	1	4	34	63	5	5	2	.191	.356	.329	.685	.138	.281	32	17	.304	91	-2	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.6
2024	21	ROK	ACL Padres	82	75	10	2	2	0	6	48	0	2	0	.133	.198	.213	.411	.080	.357	59	7	.173	-9	-10	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	SD	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	.204	.278	.306	.584	.102	.288	30	7	.265	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 10%	SD	105	94	21	4	1	2	9	31	1	2	0	.223	.298	.351	.649	.128	.290	30	9	.280	72	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	25	MLB 25%	SD	222	199	43	8	1	5	19	64	2	3	1	.216	.291	.342	.633	.126	.292	29	9	.289	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.4
2029	26	MLB 42%	SD	305	273	61	11	2	8	26	87	3	5	1	.223	.298	.366	.664	.143	.293	29	9	.295	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.7
2030	27	MLB 58%	SD	353	315	70	13	2	9	31	100	4	5	1	.222	.300	.362	.662	.140	.293	28	9	.296	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2031	28	MLB 68%	SD	382	341	75	14	2	9	34	109	4	5	1	.220	.298	.352	.650	.132	.293	29	9	.295	84	-7	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.8
2032	29	MLB 77%	SD	392	350	76	14	2	9	35	113	4	4	1	.217	.296	.346	.641	.129	.292	29	9	.293	82	-8	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.7
2033	30	MLB 84%	SD	396	354	76	14	2	9	35	115	4	4	0	.215	.293	.342	.634	.127	.290	29	9	.290	80	-9	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.5
2034	31	MLB 91%	SD	390	348	74	13	2	9	35	115	4	2	0	.213	.292	.339	.631	.126	.289	29	9	.286	77	-10	+0	-3	+4	+11	0.3
2035	32	MLB	SD	376	336	71	13	2	8	33	113	4	0	0	.211	.290	.333	.623	.122	.287	30	9	.281	73	-11	+0	-4	+4	+11	-0.0
2036	33	MLB	SD	350	313	64	11	2	7	31	108	3	0	0	.204	.282	.319	.602	.115	.286	31	9	.276	69	-12	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.3
2037	34	MLB	SD	308	275	56	10	2	6	27	97	3	0	0	.204	.282	.320	.602	.116	.284	31	9	.270	64	-12	+0	-5	+3	+9	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4244	3754	779	140	26	88	405	1303	46	59	12	.208	.293	.329	.621	.121	.289	31	10	.281	73	-128	+7	-20	+45	+120	2.5
/ 162G	—			650	575	118	21	4	13	62	200	7	9	2	.205	.290	.323	.614	.118	.287	31	10	.281	73	-20	+1	-3	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	180	133	26	3	4	0	45	52	2	10	4	.195	.406	.278	.684	.083	.321	29	25	.335	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	151	116	33	3	2	2	32	31	2	11	1	.284	.447	.397	.843	.112	.369	21	21	.388	155	+9	+2	—	—	+4	1.6
2023	20	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	198	135	34	8	2	5	51	45	5	5	2	.252	.471	.452	.923	.200	.326	23	26	.406	169	+15	+0	—	—	+6	2.2
2024	21	ROK	ACL Padres	82	72	17	4	3	0	9	33	0	2	0	.236	.321	.375	.696	.139	.425	40	11	.309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hugo Sanchez (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	.203/.274/.303	.100	.288	1	1	30%	8%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	41→46	42→50	51→40	45	.201/.269/.304	.103	.264	9	11	26%	7%	59	-1.1	.222/.280/.362	.140	.293	16	7	29%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.286/.378	.152	.294	19	3	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	39→49	40→50	50	43	.189/.254/.283	.094	.277	7	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.211/.272/.298	.087	.290	7	8	28%	7%	57	-1.2	.226/.305/.377	.151	.297	15	13	28%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	50→40	41	.194/.258/.283	.089	.288	5	5	33%	7%	48	-1.9	.206/.290/.322	.116	.364	11	3	42%	10%	72	-0.2	.191/.284/.307	.117	.346	12	2	44%	11%	63	-0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2022 · A	22	37→47	41→55	44→55	41	.185/.244/.280	.095	.257	9	9	31%	7%	41	-2.3	.218/.280/.374	.156	.279	17	16	27%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.292/.400	.175	.278	20	21	26%	8%	91	+1.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	40→39	43→60	53→50	47	.198/.263/.312	.114	.259	9	8	26%	8%	57	-1.2	.192/.274/.305	.113	.267	10	14	30%	10%	61	-1.0	.210/.274/.401	.191	.276	23	15	32%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	40→45	40→55	52→50	40	.196/.247/.290	.094	.271	8	12	30%	6%	44	-2.1	.219/.273/.373	.154	.297	19	13	32%	7%	78	+0.2	.216/.275/.377	.161	.291	21	14	32%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	38→48	40→45	47→60	36	.188/.241/.276	.088	.286	8	13	36%	6%	39	-2.5	.212/.279/.309	.097	.297	8	17	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.240/.303/.338	.098	.325	8	32	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Mike Daniel 2007 · A	22	39→49	42→45	48→50	42	.193/.256/.293	.100	.274	10	11	32%	7%	50	-1.8	.232/.283/.346	.114	.314	11	14	28%	6%	74	-0.1	.239/.288/.351	.112	.317	11	15	27%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Bligh Madris 2019 · A	23	41→47	42→50	44→50	39	.203/.253/.307	.103	.282	10	5	31%	6%	51	-1.7	.215/.265/.321	.106	.284	10	4	27%	6%	60	-1.0	.202/.273/.357	.154	.262	18	14	29%	8%	71	-0.2
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2021 · A	24	40→50	36→50	50→60	43	.191/.253/.260	.069	.283	3	8	32%	8%	40	-2.4	.208/.267/.327	.119	.308	11	25	34%	6%	63	-0.8	.245/.299/.367	.122	.338	11	36	29%	6%	83	+0.5
●Leo Rivas 2021 · A	23	39→49	39→40	48→65	46	.188/.266/.276	.088	.284	7	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	.215/.292/.302	.087	.300	7	21	28%	9%	67	-0.5	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	40→43	45→55	51→50	38	.201/.261/.328	.127	.288	11	7	33%	6%	61	-1.0	.215/.262/.357	.142	.295	16	9	32%	5%	69	-0.4	.211/.283/.380	.168	.276	21	6	31%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	40→43	42→50	50	42	.194/.271/.297	.103	.298	9	12	36%	8%	58	-1.2	.202/.279/.332	.130	.296	12	11	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.195/.272/.328	.134	.276	13	10	32%	8%	64	-0.6
✕Travis Swaggerty 2021 · A	23	43→45	40→45	50→55	44	.206/.271/.299	.093	.295	8	14	31%	8%	57	-1.2	.214/.279/.329	.115	.301	10	18	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.209/.277/.321	.112	.309	8	20	32%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Joey DeMichele 2014 · A	23	40→45	41→45	49→50	41	.199/.248/.302	.103	.270	8	11	29%	6%	48	-1.9	.206/.251/.295	.089	.283	6	9	28%	5%	47	-1.9	.205/.250/.296	.091	.281	6	7	28%	5%	44	-1.9
✕Tirso Ornelas 2022 · A	22	40→50	38→50	48→45	44	.191/.257/.275	.084	.274	5	5	31%	8%	46	-2.0	.236/.295/.354	.118	.303	11	6	25%	7%	82	+0.5	.245/.303/.373	.128	.302	14	7	23%	7%	87	+0.8
✕Matt Mangini 2009 · AA	23	40→50	41→45	45	38	.197/.254/.290	.093	.285	10	5	33%	6%	49	-1.8	.236/.281/.353	.117	.313	12	7	27%	5%	76	+0.0	.258/.299/.378	.121	.331	12	6	25%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	39→46	39→55	49→45	44	.191/.262/.281	.090	.258	6	5	27%	7%	50	-1.8	.216/.278/.376	.160	.319	19	7	36%	7%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.385	.165	.272	18	6	25%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	40→49	41→45	49→45	37	.197/.246/.296	.098	.279	8	8	32%	5%	46	-2.0	.220/.267/.345	.125	.300	13	6	30%	5%	68	-0.5	.219/.284/.338	.119	.295	13	7	29%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Carlos Guzman 2009 · A	23	42→48	44→50	52→50	37	.208/.257/.321	.112	.300	12	12	34%	6%	57	-1.2	.230/.279/.338	.108	.309	11	6	28%	6%	70	-0.3	.235/.287/.332	.097	.308	10	3	26%	6%	70	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)