Hugo Sanchez — OGILVIE

Hugo SanchezSS ACL Padres

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .270 / .283

PA54

HR1

K%34

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	180	152	18	2	2	0	26	79	2	10	4	118	256	158	413	39	247	44	14	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	180	133	26	3	4	0	45	52	2	10	4	195	406	278	684	83	321	29	25	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	—	151	128	25	2	1	2	20	46	2	11	1	195	313	273	587	78	284	30	13	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	—	151	116	33	3	2	2	32	31	2	11	1	284	447	397	843	112	369	21	21	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	198	152	29	7	1	4	34	63	5	5	2	191	356	329	685	138	281	32	17	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	198	135	34	8	2	5	51	45	5	5	2	252	471	452	923	200	326	23	26	406	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	82	75	10	2	2	0	6	49	0	2	0	133	198	213	411	80	370	60	7	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	82	72	17	4	3	0	9	33	0	2	0	236	321	375	696	139	425	40	11	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	SD	—	54	48	9	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	188	278	292	569	104	287	33	9	257	55	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	105	93	19	3	1	2	10	34	1	1	0	204	288	323	611	118	289	32	10	268	63	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	SD	44%	222	198	41	8	2	4	20	71	2	3	1	207	286	328	615	121	290	32	9	275	69	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	305	271	55	10	2	6	28	96	3	4	1	203	285	321	606	118	290	31	9	279	72	-10	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2030	27	MLB	SD	52%	353	313	65	12	3	7	33	111	4	5	1	208	291	332	624	125	290	31	9	281	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	382	339	70	13	3	8	36	120	4	5	1	206	290	333	624	127	290	31	9	280	72	-12	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.3
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	172	250	207	457	34	286	31	9	257	55	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	SD	44%	98	88	18	3	1	2	9	31	1	1	0	205	286	330	615	125	286	32	9	264	60	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	155	138	28	5	1	3	14	49	2	2	1	203	286	319	605	116	287	32	9	268	63	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	27	MLB	SD	52%	185	164	33	6	1	4	17	58	2	2	1	201	284	323	607	122	287	31	9	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	204	181	38	7	2	4	19	64	2	3	1	210	292	337	629	127	286	31	9	269	64	-8	+0	-0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	674	600	122	22	5	13	62	212	7	8	3	203	286	322	607	118	288	31	9	267	63	-28	+0	-0	+7	+19	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	118	21	5	13	60	204	7	8	3	204	287	325	612	121	288	31	9	267	63	-27	+0	-0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2032	1769	341	61	17	34	218	687	24	47	11	193	290	304	594	111	289	34	11	269	64	-83	+5	-1	+22	+58	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	109	20	5	11	70	220	8	15	4	193	290	304	594	111	289	34	11	269	64	-27	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	180	133	26	3	4	0	45	52	2	10	4	195	406	278	684	83	321	29	25	335	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2022	19	ROK	DSL Padres	—	151	116	33	3	2	2	32	31	2	11	1	284	447	397	843	112	369	21	21	388	155	+9	+2	—	—	+4	1.6
2023	20	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	198	135	34	8	2	5	51	45	5	5	2	252	471	452	923	200	326	23	26	406	169	+15	+0	—	—	+6	2.2
2024	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	82	72	17	4	3	0	9	33	0	2	0	236	321	375	696	139	425	40	11	309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	727	14	9	205	284	325	+8	+9	0.4	0.5
	/162	664	13	9	205	284	325	+7.1	+8.2	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hugo Sanchez (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	188/270/283	95	287	1	1	34%	9%	55	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Kubitza 2013 · A	23	38→48	40→50	49→50	43	183/258/284	101	293	7	11	37%	9%	49	-1.8	214/290/347	133	337	11	10	36%	9%	79	+0.3	217/294/355	139	335	11	10	35%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	40→50	47→45	41	183/247/269	86	275	9	6	35%	8%	40	-2.4	197/245/284	87	262	8	6	27%	6%	42	-2.3	183/224/259	76	232	7	4	24%	5%	25	-1.0
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	34	41→50	42→40	41	176/240/273	97	255	9	4	33%	7%	38	-2.6	207/260/304	97	277	8	3	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	42→50	44→55	44	196/272/305	109	295	9	6	34%	9%	60	-1.0	191/297/306	115	253	10	15	26%	13%	72	-0.2	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Nick Plummer 2019 · A	23	36→46	41→45	43→50	46	169/274/264	95	288	8	8	40%	11%	52	-1.6	178/278/290	112	307	10	8	41%	10%	60	-1.0	182/279/305	123	300	13	10	40%	9%	62	-0.6
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	48	-1.9	196/284/305	109	362	11	4	44%	10%	66	-0.6	177/274/284	107	334	12	2	45%	11%	53	-0.8
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/224/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	25	-3.5	182/265/327	145	260	18	6	36%	8%	64	-0.8	160/246/298	138	227	19	4	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A	23	40→37	41→50	43→30	41	194/262/294	99	288	9	3	34%	7%	53	-1.5	213/283/342	129	261	14	2	23%	8%	75	-0.0	209/281/339	130	248	15	1	22%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Caleb Roberts 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→45	50	42	199/277/290	90	314	7	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	204/283/328	124	302	11	12	34%	9%	71	-0.3	200/281/332	132	290	12	12	33%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Oliver Dunn 2021 · A	23	43→47	40→50	43→55	42	205/270/295	90	310	7	9	34%	8%	56	-1.3	204/289/347	143	327	14	14	38%	10%	79	+0.3	203/294/358	156	311	16	16	37%	11%	80	+0.2
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Gosuke Katoh 2018 · A	23	44→50	40→45	49→50	43	206/273/305	99	312	7	11	34%	8%	60	-1.0	214/279/310	96	317	8	11	32%	8%	64	-0.8	214/277/319	106	296	10	11	30%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	38→48	40→50	50	43	185/251/280	94	271	8	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	209/267/297	88	289	7	9	28%	7%	55	-1.4	226/305/375	149	299	15	13	28%	10%	88	+0.7
✕Mickey Hall 2008 · A	23	40→44	43→50	48→45	42	192/264/309	117	308	9	6	38%	8%	57	-1.2	193/270/319	126	292	13	8	35%	9%	63	-0.9	170/253/294	123	252	14	8	36%	9%	48	-1.0
✕Kameron Misner 2021 · A	23	46→43	39→50	54→55	48	217/293/303	87	305	6	13	29%	9%	68	-0.5	199/283/333	134	317	13	21	38%	10%	72	-0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Erik Ostberg 2019 · A	23	44	36→55	49→45	40	197/267/264	68	328	3	6	38%	8%	47	-1.9	208/267/297	89	338	9	4	38%	7%	56	-1.3	188/249/337	149	257	20	4	34%	7%	56	-0.4
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	39→45	39→50	52→50	39	192/242/278	86	277	7	13	32%	6%	39	-2.5	220/275/371	151	299	19	13	32%	7%	79	+0.3	215/275/371	156	290	20	14	32%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	42	38→55	47→45	43	200/270/285	85	279	4	10	28%	7%	54	-1.4	212/277/365	153	274	19	5	29%	6%	79	+0.3	203/266/377	174	255	24	2	31%	6%	72	-0.1