Juan Santander
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROKFCL Astros Bl… | 123 | .168/.276/.234 | 1 | 1 | -5 | — | .124/.195/.177 |
| 2023 | 20 | A/ROKHOU | 123 | .259/.344/.444 | 5 | 2 | 54 | — | .193/.254/.309 |
| 2024 | 21 | AHOU | 252 | .220/.304/.336 | 6 | 8 | 35 | — | .172/.232/.250 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 78 | 72 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 194 | 247 | 236 | 483 | 42 | 286 | 31 | 3 | 223 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros Blue | — | 123 | 107 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 276 | 234 | 510 | 65 | 218 | 23 | 11 | 246 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 39 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 297 | 333 | 378 | 712 | 81 | 345 | 18 | 5 | 321 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 84 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 349 | 479 | 828 | 239 | 250 | 19 | 13 | 362 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 252 | 223 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 60 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 220 | 304 | 336 | 640 | 117 | 270 | 24 | 11 | 291 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 78 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 137 | 182 | 164 | 346 | 27 | 240 | 45 | 1 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros Blue | — | 123 | 113 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 124 | 195 | 177 | 372 | 53 | 172 | 34 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 39 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 282 | 342 | 624 | 79 | 329 | 23 | 3 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 84 | 75 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 241 | 293 | 534 | 133 | 186 | 26 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 252 | 232 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 80 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 172 | 232 | 250 | 482 | 78 | 240 | 32 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 78 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 137 | 182 | 164 | 346 | 27 | 256 | 45 | 1 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Astros | — | 78 | 72 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 194 | 247 | 236 | 483 | 42 | 286 | 31 | 3 | 223 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros Blue | — | 123 | 113 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 124 | 195 | 177 | 372 | 53 | 186 | 34 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Astros Blue | — | 123 | 107 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 276 | 234 | 510 | 65 | 218 | 23 | 11 | 246 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 123 | 113 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 254 | 310 | 564 | 115 | 237 | 25 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 123 | 108 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 344 | 444 | 789 | 185 | 284 | 19 | 11 | 349 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 252 | 232 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 80 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 172 | 232 | 250 | 482 | 78 | 240 | 32 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 252 | 223 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 60 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 220 | 304 | 336 | 640 | 117 | 270 | 24 | 11 | 291 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 78 | 74 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 135 | 182 | 162 | 344 | 27 | 240 | 45 | 1 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros Blue | — | 123 | 112 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 195 | 179 | 374 | 54 | 172 | 34 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 123 | 113 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 254 | 310 | 564 | 115 | 231 | 25 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 252 | 232 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 80 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 172 | 232 | 250 | 482 | 78 | 240 | 32 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 252 | 232 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 80 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 172 | 232 | 250 | 482 | 78 | 240 | 32 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 576 | 531 | 86 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 188 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 162 | 222 | 235 | 457 | 73 | 230 | 33 | 6 | 204 | 24 | -52 | +2 | +0 | +10 | +12 | -2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 97 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 212 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 162 | 222 | 235 | 457 | 73 | 230 | 33 | 6 | 204 | 24 | -59 | +3 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 252 PAwOBA .284 → .220 (−64)K% 23.8% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.020 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.32% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | — | 20.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.68% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | — | 2.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | — | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.68% | ÷1.118 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.63% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .284 → .220; ISO .117 → .083; BABIP .270 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Astros · 84 PAwOBA .357 → .237 (−119)K% 19.0% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.058 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷1.007 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 7.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.55% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 11.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.939 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 6.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.27% | ÷1.379 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 4.05% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 103, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 112, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .357 → .237; ISO .239 → .146; BABIP .250 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 39 PAwOBA .312 → .268 (−44)K% 17.9% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.95% | ÷1.016 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 32.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.73% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .268; ISO .081 → .062; BABIP .345 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Astros Blue · 123 PAwOBA .240 → .161 (−79)K% 22.8% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.76% | ÷0.968 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.38% | ÷1.039 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.46% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 13.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷1.003 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.112 | ×0.720 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.058 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.93% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 122, K 94, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .240 → .161; ISO .065 → .043; BABIP .218 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Astros · 78 PAwOBA .220 → .151 (−69)K% 30.8% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷0.994 | ×1.440 | — | — | 44.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.56% | ÷1.052 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 1.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷0.978 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 20.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.105 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 4.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 96, 2B 121, 3B 105, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .220 → .151; ISO .042 → .024; BABIP .286 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).