Fernando Caldera

C FCL Astros

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 230 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	20	ROKHOU	62	.283/.387/.453	2	1	53	—	.196/.274/.286
2024	21	A+/AHOU	154	.130/.260/.183	1	0	-16	—	.087/.175/.122
2025	22	A+/ROKHOU	45	.195/.267/.268	0	0	-7	—	.145/.200/.218
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBHOU	200	.195/.262/.289	3	3	56	0.0
2028PROJ29% MLB	25	MLBHOU	24	.201/.268/.303	0	0	60	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 A+

BB%80

Chase%68

ISO47

wOBA9

Speed8

wRC+5

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .260 / .287

PA47

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Astros	—	89	78	13	4	0	2	9	27	1	1	3	167	261	295	556	128	224	30	10	254	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	94	26	5	1	4	13	40	3	3	1	277	382	479	861	202	415	35	12	373	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	53	15	3	0	2	8	15	1	1	0	283	387	453	840	170	361	24	13	377	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	75	65	8	4	0	1	10	36	0	0	0	123	240	231	471	108	250	48	13	225	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	79	66	9	0	0	0	11	26	2	0	1	136	278	136	415		225	33	14	219	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		154	36	5	114	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	FCL Astros	—	23	20	6	1	1	0	2	7	1	0	0	300	391	450	841	150	462	30	9	376	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	81	9	3	0	1	6	33	1	1	3	111	182	185	367	74	156	37	7	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	99	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	162	245	273	518	111	306	51	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	277	32	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	75	69	5	2	0	1	6	48	0	0	0	72	147	145	292	72	199	64	8	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	79	70	7	0	0	0	7	35	2	0	1	100	203	100	303		197	44	9	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	48	91	48	139		136	50	5	76	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	23	21	5	1	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	238	304	381	685	143	361	43	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	81	9	3	0	1	6	33	1	1	3	111	182	185	367	74	170	37	7	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	—	89	78	13	4	0	2	9	27	1	1	3	167	261	295	556	128	224	30	10	254	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	99	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	162	245	273	518	111	333	51	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	94	26	5	1	4	13	40	3	3	1	277	382	479	861	202	415	35	12	373	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	286	32	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	62	53	15	3	0	2	8	15	1	1	0	283	387	453	840	170	361	24	13	377	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	138	12	2	0	1	14	82	2	0	1	87	182	123	305	36	200	53	9	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	154	131	17	4	0	1	21	62	2	0	1	130	260	183	443	53	235	40	14	222	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	286	47	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	45	41	8	1	1	0	3	15	1	0	0	195	267	268	535	73	308	33	7	248	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	82	9	3	0	1	6	33	1	1	3	110	182	183	365	73	156	37	7	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	101	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	158	245	267	513	109	306	51	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	277	32	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	137	12	2	0	1	14	82	2	0	1	88	182	124	306	36	198	53	9	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	251	47	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	137	12	2	0	1	14	82	2	0	1	88	182	124	306	36	198	53	9	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	251	47	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	200	182	35	6	1	3	14	67	2	3	1	195	262	289	551	94	287	34	7	251	56	-10	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	29%	81	74	14	3	0	1	6	26	1	1	0	199	266	300	566	101	287	32	7	257	60	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	29%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	201	268	303	571	102	292	33	8	259	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	182	250	227	477	45	286	33	8	259	21	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	108	27	0	0	54	217	0	0	0	181	249	227	476	45	285	33	8	259	21	-31	+0	+0	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	591	534	77	16	2	7	44	256	9	7	5	144	221	221	442	77	255	43	7	199	21	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	85	18	2	8	48	282	10	8	5	145	221	223	445	78	257	43	7	199	21	-32	+2	+0	+12	+14	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Astros · 23 PAwOBA .367 → .234 (−133)K% 30.4% → 44.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.43%	÷0.984	×1.440	—	—	44.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.70%	÷0.992	×0.620	—	×0.965	5.25%
HBP% /PA	4.35%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	3.02%
Singles /BIP	30.77%	÷0.956	×0.820	—	×0.965	25.46%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.982	×0.720	—	×0.965	5.44%
Triples /BIP	7.69%	÷1.030	×0.720	—	×0.965	5.19%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.023	×0.780	—	×0.965	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .367 → .234; ISO .150 → .086; BABIP .462 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Asheville Tourists · 22 PAwOBA .111 → .076 (−35)K% 36.4% → 48.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.36%	÷0.977	×1.310	—	—	48.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.55%	÷1.016	×0.600	—	×0.998	2.68%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷0.984	×0.870	—	×0.998	13.57%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.095	×0.780	—	×0.998	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.297	×0.880	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 97, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .111 → .076; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .154 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 79 PAwOBA .215 → .156 (−58)K% 32.9% → 43.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.91%	÷1.020	×1.360	—	—	43.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.92%	÷1.024	×0.690	—	—	9.38%
HBP% /PA	2.53%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.97%
Singles /BIP	22.50%	÷1.038	×0.920	×0.985	—	19.65%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.132	×0.830	×0.985	—	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.985	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.118	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .215 → .156; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .225 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 75 PAwOBA .220 → .132 (−88)K% 48.0% → 63.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	48.00%	÷0.991	×1.310	—	—	63.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷0.977	×0.600	—	×1.012	8.29%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	10.34%	÷0.988	×0.870	—	×1.012	9.22%
Doubles /BIP	13.79%	÷1.079	×0.780	—	×1.012	10.09%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.45%	÷1.073	×0.880	—	×1.012	2.86%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .220 → .132; ISO .108 → .061; BABIP .250 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Astros · 62 PAwOBA .368 → .247 (−121)K% 24.2% → 32.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.19%	÷1.058	×1.440	—	—	32.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.90%	÷1.007	×0.620	—	×0.985	7.83%
HBP% /PA	1.61%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	1.14%
Singles /BIP	26.32%	÷1.014	×0.820	—	×0.985	20.97%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷0.939	×0.720	—	×0.985	5.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.379	×0.780	—	×0.985	2.93%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 103, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 112, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .368 → .247; ISO .170 → .100; BABIP .361 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Astros Orange · 113 PAwOBA .373 → .231 (−142)K% 35.4% → 51.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.40%	÷0.986	×1.440	—	—	51.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.50%	÷0.997	×0.620	—	×0.995	7.12%
HBP% /PA	2.65%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	1.90%
Singles /BIP	29.63%	÷0.977	×0.820	×0.950	×0.995	23.50%
Doubles /BIP	9.26%	÷1.006	×0.720	×0.950	×0.995	6.26%
Triples /BIP	1.85%	÷1.006	×0.720	×0.950	×0.995	1.25%
Home runs /BIP	7.41%	÷1.056	×0.780	—	×0.995	5.44%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .373 → .231; ISO .202 → .118; BABIP .415 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Astros · 89 PAwOBA .248 → .159 (−89)K% 30.3% → 37.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.34%	÷0.999	×1.220	—	—	37.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.11%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	7.04%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.78%
Singles /BIP	13.73%	÷0.979	×0.680	×1.050	×0.995	9.96%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷0.927	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	5.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.042	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.92%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.83%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 108, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .248 → .159; ISO .128 → .068; BABIP .224 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).