Fernando Caldera

Fernando CalderaC FCL Astros

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 230 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .262 / .288

PA5

HR0

K%33

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Astros	—	89	78	13	4	0	2	9	27	1	1	3	167	261	295	556	128	224	30	10	254	58	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	19	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	94	26	5	1	4	13	40	3	3	1	277	382	479	861	202	415	35	12	373	138	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	53	15	3	0	2	8	15	1	1	0	283	387	453	840	170	361	24	13	377	141	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	75	65	8	4	0	1	10	36	0	0	0	123	240	231	471	108	250	48	13	225	39	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	79	66	9	0	0	0	11	26	2	0	1	136	278	136	415		225	33	14	219	34	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		154	36	5	114	-37	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	22	ROK	FCL Astros	—	23	20	6	1	1	0	2	7	1	0	0	300	391	450	841	150	462	30	9	376	141	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	81	9	3	0	1	6	39	1	1	3	111	182	185	367	74	191	44	7	171	2	-10	-1	—	—	+2	-1.0
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	99	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	162	245	273	518	111	308	51	7	232	43	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	282	32	8	250	55	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	75	68	5	2	0	1	7	49	0	0	0	74	160	147	307	74	207	65	9	132	-24	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2024	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	79	70	7	0	0	0	7	36	2	0	1	100	203	100	303		201	46	9	152	-11	-10	-0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2025	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	22	21	1	0	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	48	91	48	139		144	50	5	80	-60	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.4
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	23	21	5	1	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	238	304	381	685	143	374	43	4	241	49	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	81	9	3	0	1	6	39	1	1	3	111	182	185	367	74	195	44	7	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	—	89	78	13	4	0	2	9	27	1	1	3	167	261	295	556	128	224	30	10	254	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	99	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	162	245	273	518	111	333	51	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	94	26	5	1	4	13	40	3	3	1	277	382	479	861	202	415	35	12	373	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	286	32	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	62	53	15	3	0	2	8	15	1	1	0	283	387	453	840	170	361	24	13	377	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	138	12	2	0	1	14	85	2	0	1	87	182	123	305	36	212	55	9	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	154	131	17	4	0	1	21	62	2	0	1	130	260	183	443	53	235	40	14	222	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	286	47	4	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	45	41	8	1	1	0	3	15	1	0	0	195	267	268	535	73	308	33	7	248	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	89	82	9	3	0	1	6	39	1	1	3	110	182	183	365	73	191	44	7	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	101	16	3	1	2	8	58	3	3	1	158	245	267	513	109	308	51	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	282	32	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	137	12	2	0	1	14	85	2	0	1	88	182	124	306	36	204	55	9	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	262	47	4	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	282	32	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	137	12	2	0	1	14	85	2	0	1	88	182	124	306	36	204	55	9	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	21	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	262	47	4	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		287	40	0	253	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	160	145	30	5	1	3	12	50	2	2	1	207	277	317	594	110	288	31	8	264	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	261	236	49	9	1	5	20	80	3	3	1	208	278	318	596	110	289	31	8	271	70	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	332	301	64	12	2	7	25	100	3	4	1	213	280	336	615	123	289	30	8	276	73	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	369	333	71	13	2	8	29	111	4	5	2	213	284	336	620	123	289	30	8	277	74	-12	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	392	354	75	14	2	8	31	119	4	5	2	212	283	331	613	119	288	30	8	276	73	-13	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	398	359	75	14	2	8	32	121	4	5	1	209	281	326	607	117	287	30	8	274	72	-13	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	400	361	74	13	2	8	32	123	4	4	1	205	277	319	596	114	286	31	8	271	70	-14	+0	-2	+7	+9	-0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	48	44	9	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	205	271	318	589	114	290	31	8	257	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	115	104	22	4	1	2	9	35	1	2	0	212	281	327	608	115	291	30	8	264	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	168	151	32	6	1	3	13	51	2	2	1	212	283	325	608	113	291	30	8	268	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	193	174	37	7	1	4	15	58	2	3	1	213	283	333	616	121	291	30	8	270	74	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	209	189	39	7	1	4	16	63	2	3	1	206	275	317	593	111	290	30	8	269	73	-7	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	209	188	39	7	1	4	17	64	2	2	1	207	280	319	599	112	290	31	8	267	72	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	208	187	39	7	1	4	17	64	2	2	1	209	282	321	602	112	288	31	8	264	70	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1150	1037	217	40	6	22	91	350	11	15	5	209	280	323	603	114	291	30	8	267	61	-39	+1	-2	+21	+25	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	122	23	3	12	51	198	6	8	3	208	278	319	597	111	290	30	8	267	61	-22	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2780	2510	493	91	14	52	216	929	32	33	14	196	269	306	575	110	286	33	8	259	61	-79	+2	-4	+41	+50	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	115	21	3	12	51	217	7	8	3	196	269	303	572	107	285	33	8	259	61	-22	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.8	1,218	24	15	210	277	326	+22	+16	1.5	1.5
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fernando Caldera (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	195/262/288	93	287	1	1	33%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Montano 2021 · A	22	35→45	39→45	48→50	36	176/216/262	86	249	6	10	32%	5%	32	-3.6	210/275/311	101	320	8	8	34%	8%	66	-1.1	203/278/309	107	310	9	6	35%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Gerrion Grim 2017 · A	23	34	41→55	46→40	31	169/216/260	92	299	9	6	45%	5%	33	-3.6	196/236/332	136	286	18	5	37%	4%	57	-1.8	183/216/336	152	239	24	2	35%	3%	47	-1.6
✕Tyler Massey 2012 · A	23	37→47	37→45	46→50	34	180/217/254	73	265	4	8	33%	4%	30	-3.8	220/262/326	106	287	10	14	26%	5%	65	-1.2	224/266/331	107	283	11	16	24%	5%	64	-1.0
✕Luis Tejada 2015 · A	22	40→44	37→45	51→50	36	193/234/261	68	269	4	10	29%	4%	39	-3.1	217/262/318	101	275	9	8	24%	5%	63	-1.4	217/264/324	108	265	10	7	22%	5%	62	-0.7
✕Anthony Hewitt 2011 · A	22	34→39	42→45	46→55	25	173/207/271	98	304	11	8	46%	3%	32	-3.7	188/221/300	112	313	12	16	43%	3%	43	-2.8	172/205/268	96	292	11	16	44%	3%	27	-2.2
✕Ryan Roberson 2007 · A	23	43→46	36→50	49→40	31	191/240/255	64	345	3	8	43%	5%	40	-3.1	215/262/349	134	314	15	5	35%	5%	71	-0.8	213/260/352	139	298	17	4	33%	5%	69	-0.7
✕Ian Gac 2008 · A	22	34→42	45→55	46→40	26	173/210/290	117	315	14	5	48%	4%	37	-3.3	208/258/369	161	311	22	3	39%	5%	75	-0.5	205/259/363	158	285	19	2	34%	6%	71	-0.7
✕Brian Navarreto 2018 · AA	23	37	37→45	43→30	37	183/224/248	65	243	5	3	27%	4%	32	-3.6	197/235/284	87	242	8	3	22%	4%	45	-2.7	200/249/314	115	246	14	1	25%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Ben Verlander 2015 · A	23	39→34	37→40	44→40	35	190/218/258	68	263	5	7	29%	3%	31	-3.7	190/235/267	77	267	5	4	29%	5%	40	-3.0	183/231/255	72	255	5	2	29%	5%	36	-1.9
✕Travis Ozga 2010 · A	23	40	35→40	45	36	184/241/243	59	316	3	9	40%	6%	38	-3.2	210/258/283	73	282	6	6	26%	6%	53	-2.1	205/253/273	69	263	7	4	24%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Montrell Marshall 2018 · A	22	36	39→40	48→40	36	179/229/264	85	280	7	4	37%	6%	38	-3.2	179/240/270	91	314	6	4	42%	7%	45	-2.7	126/200/212	86	246	4	1	47%	7%	15	-2.1
✕Domingo Martinez 2018 · A	23	38	38→45	41→40	41	185/234/263	78	239	6	3	25%	5%	40	-3.1	197/257/278	81	286	6	5	31%	6%	53	-2.1	169/235/241	72	250	5	2	32%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Malik Collymore 2017 · A	22	38	36→40	52→50	33	175/226/241	67	321	3	13	44%	6%	32	-3.7	193/250/289	96	334	8	15	42%	6%	52	-2.2	189/250/304	115	311	10	19	40%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Antonio Jimenez 2009 · A	22	39	37→40	48→50	33	187/224/256	69	298	4	11	38%	4%	34	-3.5	191/224/264	73	297	4	9	35%	3%	35	-3.4	166/183/237	70	246	2	7	33%	1%	11	-2.0
✕Jake Gatewood 2017 · A	21	35→39	41→50	42→45	30	179/211/276	97	279	9	5	39%	4%	34	-3.5	189/231/310	121	299	13	5	39%	5%	50	-2.3	160/206/312	152	240	20	6	42%	4%	39	-2.1
✕Randy Claxton 2007 · A	21	35	35→30	46→45	40	170/233/226	56	243	3	7	30%	6%	32	-3.7	195/281/257	62	265	2	6	25%	8%	57	-1.8	184/298/226	42	243	0	2	21%	10%	58	-0.6
✕Mike Planeta 2012 · A	22	42	35→30	46→50	31	198/225/257	59	296	2	10	34%	3%	33	-3.6	198/234/266	68	309	4	11	35%	4%	39	-3.1	196/233/259	63	298	2	13	34%	4%	34	-2.3
✕Aaron Whitefield 2021 · AA	24	36→46	37→40	53→60	33	175/223/245	70	294	4	24	40%	5%	32	-3.7	214/269/309	95	320	8	31	33%	7%	63	-1.3	211/269/308	97	313	8	38	33%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Drew Hedman 2011 · A	25	39	37→40	47→45	34	188/231/259	71	300	5	6	38%	5%	37	-3.3	197/262/300	103	288	9	9	33%	7%	60	-1.6	186/261/298	112	263	11	10	32%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Taylor Zeutenhorst 2015 · A	23	39	36→30	49→40	32	174/226/241	67	333	4	5	46%	6%	31	-3.7	190/237/260	70	295	4	6	35%	5%	40	-3.1	173/213/229	56	253	4	4	32%	4%	22	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps