Fernando Caldera

Fernando CalderaC FCL Astros

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 230 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .261 / .287

PA67

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Astros	—	89	81	9	3	0	1	6	39	1	1	3	111	182	185	367	74	195	44	7	175	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Astros	—	89	78	13	4	0	2	9	27	1	1	3	167	261	295	556	128	224	30	10	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	99	16	3	1	2	8	59	3	3	1	162	245	273	518	111	341	52	7	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	94	26	5	1	4	13	40	3	3	1	277	382	479	861	202	415	35	12	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	196	274	286	560	89	278	31	8	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	53	15	3	0	2	8	15	1	1	0	283	387	453	840	170	361	24	13	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	154	138	11	2	0	0	14	85	2	0	1	80	175	94	270	14	208	55	9	139	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	154	131	17	4	0	1	21	62	2	0	1	130	260	183	443	53	235	40	14	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	2 teams	—	45	42	6	1	1	0	2	22	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	300	49	4	163	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	2 teams	—	45	41	8	1	1	0	3	15	1	0	0	195	267	268	535	73	308	33	7	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	HOU	—	67	61	12	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	197	269	279	547	82	287	33	7	252	51	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	HOU	30%	160	145	30	5	1	3	12	50	2	2	1	207	277	317	594	110	289	31	8	263	60	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2028	25	MLB	HOU	44%	261	236	49	9	1	5	20	80	3	3	1	208	278	318	596	110	289	31	8	271	65	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2029	26	MLB	HOU	51%	332	301	64	12	2	7	25	101	3	4	1	213	280	336	615	123	289	30	8	275	69	-12	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2030	27	MLB	HOU	52%	369	333	71	13	2	8	29	112	4	5	2	213	284	336	620	123	289	30	8	277	70	-13	+0	+0	+7	+10	0.5
2031	28	MLB	HOU	53%	392	354	75	14	2	8	31	119	4	5	2	212	283	331	613	119	289	30	8	276	69	-14	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.4
2027	24	MLB	HOU	30%	48	44	9	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	205	271	318	589	114	291	31	8	258	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB	HOU	44%	115	104	22	4	1	2	9	35	1	2	0	212	281	327	608	115	292	30	8	266	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	26	MLB	HOU	51%	168	151	33	6	1	4	13	51	2	2	1	219	289	351	640	132	292	30	8	271	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	27	MLB	HOU	52%	193	174	37	7	1	4	15	58	2	3	1	213	283	333	616	121	292	30	8	272	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	28	MLB	HOU	53%	209	189	39	7	1	4	16	63	2	3	1	206	275	317	593	111	291	30	8	271	65	-8	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	733	662	140	26	4	15	57	222	7	11	3	211	281	331	612	119	291	30	8	269	64	-30	+1	-0	+13	+21	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	124	23	4	13	51	197	6	10	3	211	281	330	612	119	291	30	8	269	64	-26	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	2044	1846	354	66	10	36	157	708	25	25	12	192	264	297	561	105	286	35	8	253	52	-111	+0	-1	+36	+58	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	112	21	3	11	50	225	8	8	4	191	264	293	557	102	285	35	8	253	52	-35	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Astros	—	89	78	13	4	0	2	9	27	1	1	3	167	261	295	556	128	224	30	10	254	53	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	19	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	113	94	26	5	1	4	13	40	3	3	1	277	382	479	861	202	415	35	12	373	143	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	53	15	3	0	2	8	15	1	1	0	283	387	453	840	170	361	24	13	377	147	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	75	65	8	4	0	1	10	36	0	0	0	123	240	231	471	108	250	48	13	225	31	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	79	66	9	0	0	0	11	26	2	0	1	136	278	136	415		225	33	14	219	26	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		154	36	5	114	-55	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	22	ROK	FCL Astros	—	23	20	6	1	1	0	2	7	1	0	0	300	391	450	841	150	462	30	9	376	146	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	801	16	11	210	276	326	+14	+12	0.7	0.8
	/162	664	13	9	210	276	326	+11.9	+9.9	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fernando Caldera (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	195/261/287	92	287	1	1	33%	7%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Alex De Goti 2018 · A	23	41→47	40→45	44→50	44	198/272/290	92	289	8	7	33%	8%	56	-1.3	225/277/344	119	285	12	7	24%	6%	72	-0.2	215/285/328	114	279	10	6	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	41→47	40→45	48→45	37	199/247/294	95	288	8	8	33%	5%	46	-2.0	221/270/348	127	302	13	6	30%	5%	70	-0.3	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	42→50	40→45	47→50	41	200/273/299	98	286	7	11	31%	6%	59	-1.1	217/287/310	93	290	7	13	26%	7%	68	-0.5	209/292/304	96	279	9	16	26%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	44→55	46→45	37	202/247/323	121	282	12	7	32%	5%	53	-1.5	194/256/297	103	298	10	10	36%	7%	50	-1.7	163/228/254	91	247	10	10	36%	8%	25	-0.9
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	38	41→45	48→30	31	189/228/283	93	291	9	6	37%	4%	34	-2.8	198/249/283	85	295	6	6	33%	4%	43	-2.2	156/203/205	49	241	0	0	33%	2%	1	-1.2
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	35	180/230/254	74	285	6	3	38%	6%	28	-3.2	209/261/311	102	295	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.3	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Rowdey Jordan 2022 · A	23	43→42	39→45	43→55	43	202/267/285	82	298	6	8	32%	8%	52	-1.6	204/274/318	114	284	11	18	30%	8%	64	-0.8	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	208/289/325	117	317	12	4	35%	9%	72	-0.2	195/284/314	119	296	12	2	35%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	39→46	44→45	48→45	45	198/261/314	116	258	13	6	28%	8%	57	-1.2	214/281/337	123	274	14	7	26%	8%	72	-0.2	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A	23	42	45→50	50	38	204/261/333	129	310	11	8	36%	6%	63	-0.9	221/267/351	130	335	15	5	37%	5%	69	-0.4	222/262/357	135	329	19	1	37%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→36	42→50	49→45	42	208/284/314	106	306	8	7	33%	7%	68	-0.5	195/290/334	139	313	15	5	39%	10%	76	+0.1	179/286/335	156	287	19	4	41%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	35→40	45→55	45→50	43	180/260/303	123	268	12	7	36%	9%	55	-1.4	206/284/377	171	294	20	9	35%	9%	85	+0.7	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1