Manuel Sequera — OGILVIE

Manuel SequeraSS FCL Tigers

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .241 / .282

PA85

HR2

K%29

BB%6

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Tigers East	—	194	177	28	7	0	9	9	83	4	1	1	158	216	350	566	192	213	43	5	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Tigers East	—	194	171	42	12	0	11	15	57	4	1	1	246	321	509	830	263	290	29	8	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	491	462	78	24	1	9	15	162	11	4	5	169	213	284	497	115	235	33	3	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	491	457	106	28	1	19	20	110	11	4	5	232	281	422	703	190	263	22	4	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	263	243	40	8	0	5	13	100	6	3	1	165	225	259	484	95	252	38	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	263	235	54	12	0	9	21	67	6	3	1	230	309	396	705	166	281	25	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	28	27	6	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	0	222	250	370	620	148	294	32	4	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	28	26	7	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	269	321	423	745	154	316	21	7	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	DET	—	85	79	15	3	0	2	5	25	1	1	0	190	247	304	551	114	240	29	6	239	41	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	DET	30%	145	132	26	5	1	3	10	41	2	2	1	197	264	318	582	121	247	28	7	253	52	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	DET	44%	251	229	45	8	1	6	17	70	3	4	1	197	261	319	580	122	251	28	7	261	58	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	DET	30%	44	40	7	1	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	175	250	275	525	100	243	30	7	240	42	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	DET	44%	111	101	20	3	1	3	8	31	1	2	0	198	264	337	600	139	246	28	7	248	48	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	155	141	27	4	1	4	11	44	2	3	0	191	260	319	579	128	245	28	7	246	46	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	113	17	4	17	46	185	8	13	0	191	259	320	578	129	244	28	7	246	46	-39	+3	+0	+7	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	1457	1349	238	56	3	35	70	490	27	15	9	176	232	300	532	124	243	34	5	233	36	-105	-1	+0	+16	+41	-5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	106	25	1	16	31	219	12	7	4	176	231	301	531	125	243	34	5	233	36	-47	-0	+0	+7	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Tigers East	—	194	171	42	12	0	11	15	57	4	1	1	246	321	509	830	263	290	29	8	355	130	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	491	457	106	28	1	19	20	110	11	4	5	232	281	422	703	190	263	22	4	309	95	-3	-1	—	—	+14	1.0
2023	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	237	213	44	11	0	7	18	63	5	3	1	207	284	357	641	150	257	27	8	289	79	-6	+0	—	—	+7	0.1
2023	20	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	26	22	10	1	0	2	3	4	1	0	0	455	538	773	1.311	318	500	15	12	562	288	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	28	26	7	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	269	321	423	745	154	316	21	7	332	112	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	239	5	4	190	251	306	+3	+6	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	14	10	190	251	306	+7.1	+16.6	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Sequera (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	179/241/282	103	240	2	1	29%	6%	41	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	36→33	40	47→45	40	182/238/273	91	226	8	7	24%	4%	37	-2.6	196/252/283	87	254	7	6	25%	4%	46	-2.0	190/245/269	79	248	6	3	25%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	35→31	43→50	47→50	33	181/224/287	106	270	10	13	36%	4%	34	-2.8	185/234/295	110	296	11	12	39%	5%	40	-2.4	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	175/249/267	92	300	10	4	41%	8%	41	-2.3	154/232/237	84	271	10	3	44%	8%	25	-2.5
✕Brian Valichka 2007 · A	23	39	41→40	46→45	39	196/244/292	96	255	9	8	27%	4%	44	-2.1	213/261/306	93	290	6	7	27%	5%	54	-1.4	216/261/301	85	297	4	5	27%	5%	50	-0.5
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕J.V. Martinez 2022 · A	23	40→34	43→45	47→30	40	197/257/312	115	273	10	3	31%	6%	55	-1.4	203/259/310	107	292	9	6	32%	6%	55	-1.4	173/226/265	91	254	8	2	34%	5%	27	-1.1
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Osiris Johnson 2023 · A	22	36	41→45	51→50	39	186/239/277	91	257	10	9	31%	6%	38	-2.6	194/242/295	101	272	11	14	32%	5%	44	-2.1	178/225/278	100	246	13	18	33%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Will Banfield 2023 · AA	23	34→35	44→50	45→30	34	182/222/296	114	253	12	3	33%	4%	36	-2.7	197/235/324	127	272	15	3	33%	4%	49	-1.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Michael Mosby 2012 · A	22	36	42→45	49→40	42	182/251/282	100	244	10	5	29%	6%	46	-2.0	195/256/287	92	302	7	5	35%	6%	48	-1.9	185/245/270	85	298	6	3	37%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Jarek Cunningham 2013 · AA	23	35→38	44→55	46→45	37	182/238/300	118	260	11	6	34%	5%	44	-2.1	192/243/341	149	270	18	7	35%	5%	57	-1.2	186/236/344	158	258	20	7	36%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Drew Butera 2007 · A	23	35	40	48→40	45	176/247/261	85	235	8	4	28%	7%	39	-2.5	193/251/288	95	236	8	2	21%	6%	46	-2.0	238/290/357	119	300	12	0	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	36	43→45	42→30	41	186/243/296	110	256	11	4	31%	7%	45	-2.1	217/257/323	106	294	10	3	28%	5%	57	-1.2	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Roldani Baldwin 2019 · A	23	40	44→45	48→30	36	202/237/315	113	264	11	4	28%	4%	47	-1.9	210/260/333	123	304	14	7	34%	5%	62	-0.9	180/238/309	129	310	15	3	45%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Chris Baker 2018 · A	23	35→28	42→45	48→45	35	178/226/279	101	268	10	6	37%	5%	33	-2.9	184/232/278	94	299	9	7	39%	5%	35	-2.8	163/207/246	82	271	10	5	42%	4%	14	-1.3