Manuel Sequera — OGILVIE

Manuel SequeraSS FCL Tigers

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .242 / .285

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%6

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Tigers East	—	194	171	42	12	0	11	15	57	4	1	1	246	321	509	830	263	290	29	8	355	126	+6	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
2022	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	491	457	106	28	1	19	20	110	11	4	5	232	281	422	703	190	263	22	4	309	95	-3	-1	—	—	+11	0.7
2023	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	237	213	44	11	0	7	18	63	5	3	1	207	284	357	641	150	257	27	8	289	82	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2023	20	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	26	22	10	1	0	2	3	4	1	0	0	455	538	773	1.311	318	500	15	12	562	266	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	28	26	7	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	269	321	423	745	154	316	21	7	332	111	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	—	194	177	27	7	0	8	9	83	4	1	1	153	211	328	538	175	201	43	5	232	43	-13	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2022	19	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	491	462	81	23	1	12	15	159	11	4	5	175	219	307	527	132	230	32	3	226	39	-36	-1	—	—	+11	-2.7
2023	20	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	237	219	32	8	0	4	12	92	5	3	1	146	208	237	445	91	229	39	5	207	26	-21	+0	—	—	+5	-1.6
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	26	23	9	1	0	2	2	6	1	0	0	391	462	696	1.157	304	400	23	8	420	170	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	28	27	6	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	0	222	250	370	620	148	254	32	4	229	41	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	—	194	177	27	7	0	8	9	83	4	1	1	153	211	328	538	175	211	43	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	—	194	171	42	12	0	11	15	57	4	1	1	246	321	509	830	263	290	29	8	355	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	491	462	81	23	1	12	15	159	11	4	5	175	219	307	527	132	235	32	3	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	491	457	106	28	1	19	20	110	11	4	5	232	281	422	703	190	263	22	4	309	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	263	242	41	9	0	6	14	98	6	3	1	169	233	281	514	112	252	37	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	263	235	54	12	0	9	21	67	6	3	1	230	309	396	705	166	281	25	8	316	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	28	27	6	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	0	222	250	370	620	148	294	32	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	28	26	7	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	269	321	423	745	154	316	21	7	332	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	—	194	179	27	7	0	8	9	83	4	1	1	151	211	324	535	173	201	43	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	491	462	81	23	1	12	15	159	11	4	5	175	219	307	527	132	230	32	3	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	263	241	41	9	0	6	14	98	6	3	1	170	233	282	515	112	246	37	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	28	27	6	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	0	222	250	370	620	148	254	32	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	263	241	41	9	0	6	14	98	6	3	1	170	233	282	515	112	246	37	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	28	27	6	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	0	222	250	370	620	148	254	32	4	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	DET	0%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		240	29	0	241	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	DET	30%	145	132	26	5	1	3	10	41	2	2	1	197	264	318	582	121	246	28	7	254	58	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	44%	251	229	45	8	1	6	17	69	3	4	1	197	261	319	580	122	250	27	7	263	64	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	DET	51%	326	296	60	11	2	8	23	89	4	5	1	203	269	334	604	132	252	27	7	267	67	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	DET	52%	367	333	67	12	2	9	27	100	4	5	2	201	269	330	600	129	253	27	7	269	68	-14	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	DET	53%	390	353	71	13	2	10	29	107	5	6	2	201	271	334	606	133	253	27	7	268	68	-15	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	DET	30%	44	40	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	175	250	275	525	100	242	27	7	241	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	44%	111	101	20	3	1	3	8	31	1	2	0	198	264	337	600	139	246	28	7	249	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	DET	51%	165	150	29	5	1	4	12	45	2	2	1	193	262	320	582	127	248	27	7	254	67	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	DET	52%	192	174	35	6	1	5	14	52	2	3	1	201	268	333	602	132	249	27	7	256	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	DET	53%	208	189	37	7	1	5	15	57	2	3	1	196	262	323	585	127	249	27	7	255	68	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	720	654	128	22	4	18	52	197	8	11	3	196	263	324	587	128	248	27	7	253	56	-29	+1	-0	+8	+16	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	116	20	4	16	47	178	7	10	3	197	264	325	589	129	250	27	7	253	56	-26	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2462	2258	425	89	9	63	145	757	39	30	14	188	249	319	569	131	249	31	6	251	56	-60	+2	-1	+16	+32	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	112	23	2	17	38	200	10	8	4	188	248	319	567	131	248	31	6	251	56	-26	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	805	19	12	198	261	324	+9	+9	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	16	10	+7.1	+7.4	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Sequera (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	180/242/285	105	240	2	1	29%	6%	49	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	36	42→50	52→40	39	184/231/287	103	246	10	7	29%	5%	44	-2.8	211/256/331	120	295	12	5	31%	5%	64	-1.3	193/238/303	110	272	11	1	33%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	37→35	41→40	47→45	40	187/241/282	95	234	9	7	24%	4%	48	-2.5	200/255/288	88	257	7	6	24%	4%	54	-2.0	195/249/276	81	251	5	3	23%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→45	49→50	39	204/254/301	97	266	10	15	27%	5%	57	-1.8	211/256/332	121	306	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	186/219/331	145	265	16	11	36%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	43→50	46→45	38	201/248/313	112	281	10	7	32%	5%	57	-1.8	196/259/294	98	295	9	10	34%	8%	57	-1.8	166/232/250	84	247	9	10	35%	8%	35	-0.9
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→34	44→50	47→50	32	186/229/299	113	278	11	13	37%	4%	47	-2.6	195/241/315	120	305	12	12	38%	5%	55	-2.0	189/239/340	151	271	18	12	36%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→35	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	63	-1.3	179/252/275	96	301	10	4	41%	8%	51	-2.3	159/236/248	88	274	11	3	43%	8%	37	-2.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/278	87	253	5	11	26%	6%	51	-2.2	186/241/310	124	254	15	9	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	47	-2.5	196/263/293	97	280	8	3	31%	8%	58	-1.7	207/270/340	133	282	19	3	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Derrick Mitchell 2010 · A	23	36→45	45→50	47→55	36	190/226/314	124	249	12	8	30%	4%	49	-2.4	211/258/339	128	277	13	16	28%	5%	67	-1.1	211/260/336	125	269	13	19	26%	5%	64	-0.9
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	38→35	43→50	49→55	37	193/242/301	107	263	10	9	30%	5%	52	-2.2	194/263/314	120	281	13	15	34%	7%	63	-1.3	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Brian Valichka 2007 · A	23	39	41→40	46→45	39	196/244/292	96	255	9	8	27%	4%	51	-2.3	213/260/305	92	290	6	7	27%	5%	59	-1.6	216/261/300	84	296	4	5	27%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	39	47→50	47→45	36	206/242/334	128	274	16	4	31%	4%	59	-1.6	200/240/330	130	259	14	4	28%	5%	58	-1.7	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps