Ismael Mena — OGILVIE

Ismael MenaCF ACL Cubs

Age 23 L/L 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .275 / .326

PA75

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	178	163	25	2	1	1	8	66	1	9	3	153	198	196	394	43	235	37	4	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	178	156	35	3	1	2	15	45	1	9	3	224	297	295	591	71	287	25	8	264	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	121	115	22	6	0	0	5	43	1	7	6	191	231	243	475	52	306	36	4	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	121	110	29	8	0	0	10	29	1	7	6	264	331	336	667	73	358	24	8	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	216	38	4	2	3	8	75	0	13	5	176	205	255	460	79	254	33	4	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	212	50	5	4	3	12	54	0	13	5	236	277	340	616	104	303	24	5	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	124	108	22	2	1	1	10	34	2	5	2	204	283	269	552	65	276	27	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	124	102	25	3	1	1	16	23	2	5	2	245	358	324	682	78	296	19	13	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	59	54	6	2	0	1	4	15	0	2	1	111	172	204	376	93	128	25	7	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	59	51	8	3	0	1	7	10	0	2	1	157	259	275	533	118	171	17	12	245	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	CHC	—	75	69	14	3	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	203	267	290	557	87	282	27	7	273	67	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CHC	30%	166	152	33	6	1	3	12	43	1	3	1	217	279	329	608	112	284	26	7	283	75	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2028	25	MLB	CHC	44%	265	242	55	10	2	6	19	68	2	5	1	227	289	360	648	132	285	26	7	289	79	-6	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2029	26	MLB	CHC	51%	335	305	69	12	2	8	24	85	3	6	2	226	289	357	647	131	286	25	7	293	82	-7	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.4
2030	27	MLB	CHC	52%	372	337	77	14	2	9	28	94	4	7	2	228	295	362	657	134	286	25	8	294	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.5
2027	24	MLB	CHC	30%	50	46	10	2	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	217	280	326	606	109	286	26	8	277	71	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB	CHC	44%	117	107	24	4	1	3	8	30	1	2	1	224	284	364	649	140	287	26	7	284	75	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2029	26	MLB	CHC	51%	170	154	35	6	1	4	12	43	2	3	1	227	292	357	649	130	287	25	7	287	78	-4	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2030	27	MLB	CHC	52%	195	176	40	7	1	5	15	49	2	4	1	227	295	364	659	136	287	25	8	288	79	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	532	483	109	19	3	13	39	135	5	10	3	226	290	358	649	133	284	25	7	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	133	23	4	16	48	165	6	12	4	225	290	359	650	134	283	25	7	286	77	-17	+1	+0	+2	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	1921	1761	361	61	11	33	123	543	15	58	23	205	263	308	571	103	273	28	6	258	55	-97	+2	+0	+7	+54	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	123	21	4	11	42	184	5	20	8	206	264	310	575	104	276	28	6	258	55	-33	+1	+0	+2	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	178	156	35	3	1	2	15	45	1	9	3	224	297	295	591	71	287	25	8	264	61	-8	+1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2022	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	121	110	29	8	0	0	10	29	1	7	6	264	331	336	667	73	358	24	8	306	92	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	212	50	5	4	3	12	54	0	13	5	236	277	340	616	104	303	24	5	274	68	-8	+1	—	—	+6	-0.1
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	88	21	2	1	1	16	19	2	4	2	239	368	318	686	80	286	17	15	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	4	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	286	286	357	643	71	364	27	0	267	62	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	59	51	8	3	0	1	7	10	0	2	1	157	259	275	533	118	171	17	12	245	45	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	607	14	12	227	287	358	+2	+8	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	15	13	227	287	358	+2.4	+8.2	0.7	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ismael Mena (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	215/275/326	110	282	1	1	26%	7%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→37	43→60	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	56	-1.3	187/269/294	107	266	9	14	31%	9%	56	-1.3	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
●Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→48	43→55	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	63	-0.8	223/283/386	163	289	19	21	29%	7%	85	+0.7	215/274/386	171	284	21	23	31%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	42→41	43→45	53→55	42	211/261/321	110	274	10	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	215/272/329	114	309	11	21	32%	7%	66	-0.6	220/287/349	129	316	15	25	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Steele Walker 2019 · A	23	37→46	43→45	49→50	38	192/244/297	105	256	11	10	29%	5%	46	-2.0	216/269/331	115	270	10	10	23%	6%	65	-0.7	216/270/338	122	261	12	10	22%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A	23	42→49	41→50	48→50	40	206/271/300	94	280	10	13	29%	6%	59	-1.1	218/277/357	139	304	13	11	32%	5%	76	+0.0	212/271/361	149	298	14	9	32%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Orlando Martinez 2021 · A	23	42→45	46→50	44→50	41	215/262/342	127	276	14	7	27%	6%	65	-0.7	217/260/340	123	296	12	8	30%	5%	63	-0.8	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Tanner Allen 2022 · A	24	40	42→50	44→45	43	202/256/306	104	251	10	7	24%	6%	53	-1.5	204/260/310	106	250	10	7	22%	6%	56	-1.3	201/260/306	105	244	11	7	22%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Tommy Giles 2007 · A	23	42→41	45→55	47→40	37	216/254/339	123	277	13	7	27%	4%	60	-1.0	220/272/380	160	292	19	6	30%	6%	79	+0.3	218/277/398	180	283	23	4	31%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	194/277/307	113	282	11	9	33%	9%	63	-0.8	224/271/333	109	314	11	8	31%	6%	66	-0.6	231/283/327	97	303	10	3	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Austin Davidson 2016 · A	23	37→40	43→45	41→45	43	188/254/291	103	226	11	8	22%	5%	50	-1.8	219/283/334	115	270	10	7	22%	7%	72	-0.2	227/291/351	124	279	11	6	22%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Kyle Kubitza 2013 · A	23	38→48	40→50	49→50	43	183/258/284	101	293	7	11	37%	9%	49	-1.8	214/290/347	133	337	11	10	36%	9%	79	+0.3	217/294/355	139	335	11	10	35%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	39→45	44→55	50	38	194/257/317	122	286	11	7	35%	6%	56	-1.3	217/265/358	141	299	16	9	32%	5%	70	-0.3	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	41→43	44→45	49→50	42	201/278/321	120	303	12	13	36%	8%	67	-0.5	221/291/358	137	320	14	11	33%	8%	82	+0.5	221/292/378	157	308	17	10	32%	9%	82	+0.3