Ismael Mena

CF ACL Cubs
Age 24 L/L 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202320ACHC226.236/.277/.34031326—.181/.214/.256
202421A/ROKCHC124.245/.358/.3241556—.215/.300/.290
202522ROKCHC59.157/.259/.275121—.111/.172/.204
2027PROJMLE24MLBCHC200.208/.273/.30433630.0
2028PROJ29% MLB25MLBCHC24.212/.278/.3170067-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Z-Con%88
K%73
ISO61
BB%38
Whiff%38
Speed28
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .271 / .302
PA47
HR1
K%29
BB%7
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL Cubs — 178156 35312 15451 93 224297295591 71287 258 264 11 — — — — — —
202219 ROKACL Cubs — 121110 29800 10291 76 264331336667 73358 248 306 28 — — — — — —
202320 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 226212 50543 12540 135 236277340616 104303 245 274 26 — — — — — —
202421 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 10988 21211 16192 42 239368318686 80286 1715 315 61 — — — — — —
202421 ROKACL Cubs — 1514 4100 040 10 286286357643 71364 270 267 18 — — — — — —
202522 ROKACL Cubs — 5951 8301 7100 21 157259275533 118171 1712 245 1 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 178162 25211 9651 93 154203198401 43223 375 185 11 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 121114 21500 6431 76 184231228459 44298 365 209 28 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 226215 39432 9730 135 181214256470 74261 324 207 26 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 10993 20211 11262 42 215311290602 75254 2410 258 61 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 1514 3100 060 10 214214286500 71277 400 195 18 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 5954 6201 4150 21 111172204376 93127 257 170 1 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 178162 25211 9651 93 154203198401 43235 375 185 11 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL Cubs — 178156 35312 15451 93 224297295591 71287 258 264 11 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 121114 21500 6431 76 184231228459 44296 365 209 28 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAWACL Cubs — 121110 29800 10291 76 264331336667 73358 248 306 28 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 226215 39432 9730 135 181214256470 74264 324 207 26 — — — — — —
202320 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 226212 50543 12540 135 236277340616 104303 245 274 26 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 124107 22211 11322 52 206292271563 65273 269 250 56 — — — — — —
202421 A RAW2 teams — 124102 25311 16232 52 245358324682 78296 1913 309 56 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 5954 6201 4150 21 111172204376 93128 257 170 1 — — — — — —
202522 ROK RAWACL Cubs — 5951 8301 7100 21 157259275533 118171 1712 245 1 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 178166 25211 9651 93 151203193396 42223 375 185 11 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 121113 21500 6431 76 186231230461 44298 365 209 28 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 226215 39432 9730 135 181214256470 74261 324 207 26 — — — — — —
202421 A MLE2 teams — 124110 22211 11322 52 200292264555 64257 269 250 56 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 5955 6201 4150 21 109172200372 91127 257 170 1 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLE2 teams — 124110 22211 11322 52 200292264555 64257 269 250 56 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 5955 6201 4150 21 109172200372 91127 257 170 1 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECHC 0% 200181 37613 15572 31 208273304577 97283 288 262 63 -9 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECHC 29% 8174 16311 6231 10 211277314590 103283 287 267 67 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202825 MLB CTXCHC 29% 2422 4100 270 00 212278317596 105287 298 269 67 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2422 4100 270 00 182250227477 45267 298 269 32 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 1082700 541900 00 181249227476 45266 298 269 32 -25 +0 +0 +2 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 836770 1382067 482645 3817 179232248480 69257 326 215 32 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650599 1081655 372054 3013 180233249482 68259 326 215 32 -27 +2 +0 +2 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Cubs · 59 PAwOBA .243 → .170 (−73)K% 16.9% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.95%÷0.969×1.440——25.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.86%÷0.983×0.620—×0.9657.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP9.76%÷1.004×0.820×0.990×0.9657.61%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷0.973×0.720×0.990×0.9655.17%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.089×0.720×0.990×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷0.868×0.780—×0.9652.11%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 118, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .243 → .170; ISO .118 → .090; BABIP .171 → .127. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 109 PAwOBA .313 → .258 (−55)K% 17.4% → 24.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.43%÷0.985×1.360——24.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.68%÷1.007×0.690——10.06%
HBP% /PA1.83%—×0.780——1.43%
Singles /BIP24.64%÷0.997×0.920×0.980—22.26%
Doubles /BIP2.90%÷0.986×0.830×0.980—2.39%
Triples /BIP1.45%÷1.150×0.910×0.980—1.12%
Home runs /BIP1.45%÷0.908×0.800——1.28%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .313 → .258; ISO .080 → .068; BABIP .286 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Cubs · 15 PAwOBA .278 → .195 (−82)K% 26.7% → 38.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.67%÷0.989×1.440——38.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.947×0.620—×0.9750.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Singles /BIP30.00%÷1.047×0.820—×0.97522.90%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.903×0.720—×0.9757.77%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.935×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 109, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .278 → .195; ISO .071 → .051; BABIP .364 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 226 PAwOBA .267 → .207 (−59)K% 23.9% → 32.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.89%÷1.011×1.360——32.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.31%÷0.967×0.690—×1.0153.85%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP24.05%÷1.046×0.920×0.981×1.01521.05%
Doubles /BIP3.16%÷0.975×0.830×0.981×1.0152.68%
Triples /BIP2.53%÷1.150×0.910×0.981×1.0151.99%
Home runs /BIP1.90%÷0.957×0.800—×1.0151.61%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .267 → .207; ISO .104 → .078; BABIP .303 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Cubs · 121 PAwOBA .298 → .209 (−89)K% 24.0% → 35.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.97%÷0.981×1.440——35.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.26%÷1.083×0.620—×0.9954.71%
HBP% /PA0.83%—×0.720—×0.9950.59%
Singles /BIP25.93%÷0.993×0.820×1.041×0.99522.17%
Doubles /BIP9.88%÷0.970×0.720×1.041×0.9957.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.054×0.720×1.041×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.963×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 94, 3B 111, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .298 → .209; ISO .073 → .050; BABIP .358 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Cubs · 178 PAwOBA .267 → .185 (−82)K% 25.3% → 36.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.28%÷0.992×1.440——36.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.43%÷1.071×0.620—×1.0084.91%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.720—×1.0080.41%
Singles /BIP26.13%÷1.002×0.820×0.958×1.00820.65%
Doubles /BIP2.70%÷0.947×0.720×0.958×1.0081.98%
Triples /BIP0.90%÷0.947×0.720×0.958×1.0080.66%
Home runs /BIP1.80%÷1.014×0.780—×1.0081.40%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 89, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .267 → .185; ISO .071 → .050; BABIP .287 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).