Ismael Mena — OGILVIE

Ismael MenaCF ACL Cubs

Age 23 L/L 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .276 / .325

PA6

HR0

K%26

BB%7

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	178	156	35	3	1	2	15	45	1	9	3	224	297	295	591	71	287	25	8	264	65	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2022	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	121	110	29	8	0	0	10	29	1	7	6	264	331	336	667	73	358	24	8	306	93	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	212	50	5	4	3	12	54	0	13	5	236	277	340	616	104	303	24	5	274	71	-8	+1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	88	21	2	1	1	16	19	2	4	2	239	368	318	686	80	286	17	15	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	4	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	286	286	357	643	71	364	27	0	267	67	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	59	51	8	3	0	1	7	10	0	2	1	157	259	275	533	118	171	17	12	245	52	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	178	162	25	2	1	1	9	65	1	9	3	154	203	198	401	43	221	37	5	184	11	-19	+1	—	—	+4	-1.5
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	121	114	21	5	0	0	6	43	1	7	6	184	231	228	459	44	299	36	5	210	28	-10	-1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	216	39	4	2	3	8	76	0	13	5	181	210	259	469	79	260	34	4	202	23	-21	+1	—	—	+5	-1.6
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	94	20	2	1	1	10	27	2	4	2	213	302	287	589	74	258	25	9	255	59	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	214	214	286	500	71	284	40	0	200	22	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	59	54	6	2	0	1	4	15	0	2	1	111	172	204	376	93	132	25	7	176	5	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	178	162	25	2	1	1	9	65	1	9	3	154	203	198	401	43	235	37	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	178	156	35	3	1	2	15	45	1	9	3	224	297	295	591	71	287	25	8	264	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	121	114	21	5	0	0	6	43	1	7	6	184	231	228	459	44	296	36	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	121	110	29	8	0	0	10	29	1	7	6	264	331	336	667	73	358	24	8	306	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	216	39	4	2	3	8	76	0	13	5	181	210	259	469	79	263	34	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	212	50	5	4	3	12	54	0	13	5	236	277	340	616	104	303	24	5	274	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	124	108	22	2	1	1	10	33	2	5	2	204	283	269	552	65	273	27	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	124	102	25	3	1	1	16	23	2	5	2	245	358	324	682	78	296	19	13	309	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	59	54	6	2	0	1	4	15	0	2	1	111	172	204	376	93	128	25	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	59	51	8	3	0	1	7	10	0	2	1	157	259	275	533	118	171	17	12	245	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	178	166	25	2	1	1	9	65	1	9	3	151	203	193	396	42	221	37	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	121	113	21	5	0	0	6	43	1	7	6	186	231	230	461	44	299	36	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	216	39	4	2	3	8	76	0	13	5	181	210	259	469	79	260	34	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	124	111	22	2	1	1	10	33	2	5	2	198	283	261	545	63	261	27	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	59	55	6	2	0	1	4	15	0	2	1	109	172	200	372	91	132	25	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	216	39	4	2	3	8	76	0	13	5	181	210	259	469	79	260	34	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	124	111	22	2	1	1	10	33	2	5	2	198	283	261	545	63	261	27	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	59	55	6	2	0	1	4	15	0	2	1	109	172	200	372	91	132	25	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		282	33	0	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	166	152	33	6	1	3	12	43	1	3	1	217	279	329	608	112	284	26	7	283	78	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	265	242	55	10	2	6	19	67	2	5	1	227	289	360	648	132	285	25	7	289	82	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	335	305	69	12	2	8	24	84	3	6	2	226	289	357	647	131	286	25	7	293	84	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	372	337	77	14	2	9	28	94	4	7	2	228	295	362	657	134	286	25	8	294	85	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	394	357	82	15	2	10	30	100	4	7	2	230	297	367	664	137	285	25	8	293	84	-7	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	400	363	82	15	2	10	30	102	4	7	2	226	292	361	653	135	285	26	8	291	83	-8	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	401	364	81	15	2	9	30	103	4	6	2	223	289	349	638	126	284	26	7	289	82	-9	+0	-2	+1	+9	-0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	50	46	10	2	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	217	280	326	606	109	287	26	8	277	78	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	117	107	24	4	1	3	8	30	1	2	1	224	284	364	649	140	287	26	7	283	82	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	170	154	35	6	1	4	12	43	2	3	1	227	292	357	649	130	288	25	7	286	84	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	195	176	40	7	1	5	15	49	2	4	1	227	295	364	659	136	288	25	8	287	85	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	210	190	43	8	1	5	16	53	2	4	1	226	293	358	651	132	287	25	8	286	84	-4	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	210	190	43	8	1	5	16	54	2	4	1	226	293	358	651	132	287	26	8	285	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	209	189	43	8	1	5	16	54	2	3	1	228	295	360	654	132	286	26	8	282	82	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1161	1052	238	43	6	28	87	296	11	21	6	226	292	358	651	132	286	25	7	285	69	-23	+2	-2	+4	+25	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	133	24	3	16	49	166	6	12	3	226	292	358	650	132	285	26	8	285	69	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3047	2780	593	102	17	61	210	827	26	77	29	213	275	328	603	115	278	27	7	271	69	-47	+3	-4	+8	+51	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	127	22	4	13	45	176	6	16	6	214	277	331	607	116	279	27	7	271	69	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,236	29	22	227	289	359	+4	+10	1.5	1.5
/162	664	16	12	+2.4	+5.4	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ismael Mena (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	216/276/325	110	282	1	1	26%	7%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	40→46	40→50	52→50	40	196/246/290	94	274	8	13	31%	6%	51	-2.3	218/273/365	147	298	17	13	31%	7%	78	-0.3	213/273/363	150	289	18	14	32%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2021 · A	22	39→46	42→55	46→45	39	197/249/302	104	270	10	9	30%	6%	55	-2.0	219/276/389	170	272	21	8	27%	7%	86	+0.3	219/282/397	178	265	23	8	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Roman Pena 2011 · A	24	38→48	42→50	43→45	41	192/252/295	103	273	9	9	32%	7%	55	-2.0	229/290/352	123	312	10	9	28%	8%	81	-0.1	229/299/375	147	311	14	7	29%	9%	88	+0.3
●Jack Suwinski 2021 · A	23	37→43	44→60	48→50	40	188/250/302	114	281	12	5	36%	7%	55	-1.9	213/298/396	183	298	23	9	34%	10%	96	+1.0	211/308/417	206	281	27	10	34%	11%	102	+1.2
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	40→44	42→50	51→50	37	200/246/305	105	276	10	12	31%	4%	54	-2.0	214/254/340	126	277	14	9	27%	4%	65	-1.2	216/256/349	133	280	14	7	28%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Jake Fraley 2018 · A	23	40→47	41→55	44→55	40	198/254/298	101	277	8	10	31%	6%	56	-1.9	242/297/395	153	316	14	17	27%	6%	94	+0.9	240/341/409	169	286	22	23	23%	12%	110	+1.1
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	40	47→60	36	184/239/270	86	284	8	13	36%	6%	44	-2.8	212/279/303	91	297	8	18	29%	7%	66	-1.1	236/299/323	88	323	7	32	27%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Tirso Ornelas 2022 · A	22	40→50	39→50	47→45	44	194/261/283	89	276	6	5	30%	8%	55	-1.9	241/299/358	117	307	11	7	24%	7%	86	+0.3	249/307/375	126	306	13	7	22%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Danny Hayes 2014 · A	23	42→47	41→45	45→30	45	203/262/307	104	272	8	3	28%	8%	61	-1.5	219/295/332	113	297	9	2	27%	9%	79	-0.2	217/300/335	118	289	10	0	27%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Narciso Crook 2018 · A	23	38→43	43→50	48→50	34	193/237/303	109	291	11	9	37%	5%	51	-2.3	215/266/334	119	313	10	11	33%	5%	69	-0.9	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Jacob Pearson 2021 · A	23	40→39	39→40	50	43	196/251/285	90	265	7	12	28%	7%	51	-2.2	189/252/285	96	262	8	15	29%	7%	52	-2.2	168/237/260	92	235	8	19	30%	7%	39	-1.2
✕Joe Mahoney 2010 · A	23	43→53	41→50	56→50	36	213/249/316	103	298	8	13	31%	4%	57	-1.8	242/279/371	129	315	12	10	26%	4%	82	-0.0	247/285/379	132	311	12	8	24%	4%	85	+0.2
✕Cole Frenzel 2013 · A	23	41→40	42→45	49→40	42	204/257/312	109	254	9	6	24%	5%	60	-1.6	206/267/308	102	268	9	4	25%	6%	63	-1.4	198/262/294	97	257	8	2	25%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Danny Ortiz 2012 · A	22	38→48	44→55	45	39	195/235/313	118	252	10	5	27%	5%	52	-2.2	220/253/341	121	274	11	4	23%	4%	65	-1.2	217/256/379	162	258	21	2	25%	4%	75	-0.4
✕Juan Carlos Perez 2010 · A	23	40→50	42→45	51→55	36	203/235/309	106	268	9	12	28%	4%	51	-2.3	226/258/339	113	294	9	14	25%	4%	66	-1.1	235/280/351	116	297	9	19	23%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Miguel Aparicio 2021 · A	22	39→37	44→50	50	37	197/235/315	118	254	11	8	27%	4%	52	-2.2	205/265/355	150	282	18	8	33%	6%	74	-0.6	181/249/342	161	241	21	6	34%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Aneury Tavárez 2015 · A	23	42→52	43→45	52→50	31	207/241/320	112	312	10	17	36%	3%	55	-1.9	239/278/355	116	319	9	16	27%	4%	77	-0.3	256/296/374	118	328	8	17	23%	4%	85	+0.2
✕Aristides Aquino 2016 · A	22	39→41	46→60	52→50	34	200/235/330	130	266	13	10	30%	3%	56	-1.9	200/242/346	146	267	16	8	31%	4%	62	-1.4	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	195/250/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	55	-1.9	178/230/283	105	303	12	3	43%	6%	41	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps