Cole Roberts — OGILVIE

Cole RobertsSS Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 25 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 99 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .277 / .304

PA8

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	68	55	22	3	0	2	9	7	1	4	1	400	492	564	1.056	164	408	10	13	447	189	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2023	22	INTL	RA12	—	53	50	9	0	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	180	212	180	392		225	19	2	181	8	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	34	26	5	0	0	0	7	7	0	1	0	192	364	192	556		250	21	21	277	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	23	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	96	86	17	3	2	0	9	22	0	8	2	198	274	279	553	81	266	23	9	252	57	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	24	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	83	70	10	0	0	0	11	16	0	2	0	143	259	143	402		185	19	13	201	23	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	24	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	21	20	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	150	190	150	340		158	5	5	163	-4	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	68	59	19	2	0	2	5	10	1	4	1	322	385	458	842	136	319	15	7	365	133	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	34	29	4	0	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	138	242	138	380		208	29	12	200	22	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	96	88	15	2	2	0	7	29	0	8	2	170	232	239	470	68	242	30	7	201	22	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	83	74	10	0	0	0	7	21	0	2	0	135	210	135	345		185	25	8	163	-4	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2025	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	21	20	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	150	190	150	340		141	5	5	137	-21	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2023	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	121	105	33	4	0	3	10	18	2	5	1	314	385	438	823	124	345	15	8	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	121	105	31	3	0	2	10	17	2	5	1	295	368	381	748	86	326	14	8	330	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	130	117	19	2	2	0	11	39	0	9	2	162	234	214	448	51	241	30	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	130	112	22	3	2	0	16	29	0	9	2	196	297	259	556	63	262	22	12	259	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	104	95	13	0	0	0	7	23	0	2	0	137	196	137	333		181	22	7	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	104	90	13	0	0	0	12	17	0	2	0	144	245	144	390		178	16	12	194	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	121	108	33	4	0	3	10	18	2	5	1	306	385	426	811	120	319	15	8	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	130	118	19	2	2	0	11	39	0	9	2	161	234	212	446	51	233	30	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	104	96	13	0	0	0	7	23	0	2	0	135	196	135	331		176	22	7	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	121	108	33	4	0	3	10	18	2	5	1	306	385	426	811	120	319	15	8	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	130	118	19	2	2	0	11	39	0	9	2	161	234	212	446	51	233	30	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	104	96	13	0	0	0	7	23	0	2	0	135	196	135	331		176	22	7	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		285	25	12	266	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	168	152	34	6	1	3	13	44	1	3	1	224	289	336	625	112	285	26	8	275	72	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	42%	247	224	49	9	1	4	19	65	2	5	1	219	286	321	607	103	286	26	8	279	75	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	302	273	59	10	2	5	24	79	2	5	1	216	284	322	607	106	286	26	8	280	76	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	331	298	65	11	2	6	27	87	3	6	1	218	290	329	618	111	285	26	8	280	75	-10	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	PHI	50%	349	315	69	12	2	6	28	92	3	5	1	219	289	327	616	108	284	26	8	277	74	-11	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	51	47	10	2	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	213	275	319	594	106	288	25	8	273	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	42%	103	93	22	4	1	2	8	27	1	2	0	237	304	366	670	129	288	26	8	277	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	144	130	29	5	1	3	12	38	1	3	1	223	294	346	640	123	288	26	8	278	76	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	163	148	33	6	1	3	13	43	1	3	1	223	290	338	628	115	288	26	8	278	75	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	PHI	50%	175	158	35	6	1	3	14	46	1	3	1	222	289	329	618	108	287	26	8	275	74	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	636	576	129	23	4	12	51	167	4	12	3	224	292	340	632	116	292	26	8	276	70	-19	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	132	24	4	12	52	171	4	12	3	224	291	340	631	115	293	26	8	276	70	-20	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1760	1586	342	54	10	27	140	449	13	40	8	216	285	313	598	98	281	26	8	271	70	-43	+3	-4	+15	+30	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	127	20	4	10	52	166	5	15	3	217	286	316	602	99	283	26	8	271	70	-20	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	637	11	11	220	286	329	+7	+6	0.5	0.5
/162	664	12	11	+7.1	+6.3	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Roberts (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	212/277/304	93	285	1	2	27%	8%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→48	42→45	52→45	43	192/260/290	98	265	10	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	210/280/309	99	283	7	8	26%	8%	69	-0.9	207/281/307	101	276	6	6	25%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	40→45	47→50	45	199/275/284	85	276	8	13	29%	8%	61	-1.5	209/281/317	108	288	11	11	29%	8%	71	-0.8	172/253/309	136	226	17	8	31%	9%	57	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	39→45	51→50	47	203/281/286	83	264	6	12	24%	8%	64	-1.3	217/272/323	106	265	8	9	21%	6%	68	-1.0	220/259/337	117	255	8	5	17%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Cam Devanney 2022 · AA	25	36→41	40→50	44→45	40	179/245/262	83	256	8	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	212/275/354	142	276	15	7	28%	7%	77	-0.3	214/279/364	149	276	16	7	27%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	40→45	41→45	48→55	47	196/269/292	96	252	8	14	25%	8%	61	-1.5	213/289/334	121	273	12	18	25%	8%	78	-0.3	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→34	40→50	46→45	45	207/265/301	95	267	8	8	25%	7%	60	-1.6	204/252/332	128	283	14	6	32%	5%	63	-1.3	198/247/335	137	267	16	5	32%	5%	59	-0.9
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	36	42→50	52→40	39	184/231/287	103	246	10	7	29%	5%	44	-2.8	211/256/331	120	295	12	5	31%	5%	64	-1.3	193/238/303	110	272	11	1	33%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	216/305/312	96	290	6	10	25%	9%	79	-0.2	208/311/302	94	281	5	10	24%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	41	209/279/305	96	283	9	11	28%	6%	68	-1.0	207/259/316	109	289	12	10	31%	5%	62	-1.4	192/232/297	106	271	14	9	34%	3%	45	-1.6
✕T.J. White 2017 · AA	25	44→46	39→45	51→45	43	209/271/297	88	269	6	10	24%	6%	62	-1.4	211/271/335	124	275	12	6	27%	6%	71	-0.8	203/264/342	140	257	15	2	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→50	40→45	55→60	43	197/264/288	91	273	7	19	29%	7%	57	-1.8	216/270/336	120	285	13	28	28%	6%	71	-0.8	213/270/337	124	278	12	27	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Khayyan Norfork 2014 · A	25	43→45	41→40	51→50	43	211/265/311	100	273	7	13	25%	6%	62	-1.4	216/266/293	77	292	4	12	26%	5%	59	-1.7	204/267/256	52	275	4	6	26%	6%	49	-0.9
✕Larry Cobb 2009 · A	24	42→43	43→45	48→50	46	208/273/316	108	257	11	12	23%	7%	68	-1.0	215/275/332	117	288	12	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	176/235/286	110	248	15	4	34%	4%	43	-0.5
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	42→47	41→45	49→50	41	200/280/298	98	296	8	11	33%	7%	66	-1.1	217/295/323	106	323	9	11	33%	7%	78	-0.3	216/300/320	103	327	10	12	34%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Shea Vucinich 2014 · AA	25	42→45	39→40	46→50	45	199/277/286	86	287	6	10	30%	8%	62	-1.4	200/275/291	91	285	6	12	29%	8%	63	-1.4	175/256/263	89	248	4	14	29%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Jason Leblebijian 2016 · A	25	40→49	41→45	47→45	41	197/253/298	101	266	8	9	28%	6%	55	-1.9	211/266/317	106	312	10	8	34%	6%	64	-1.3	207/265/309	102	312	11	7	35%	6%	60	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps