Cole Roberts — OGILVIE

Cole RobertsSS Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 25 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 99 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .275 / .304

PA99

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	2 teams	—	121	106	33	4	0	4	9	18	2	5	1	311	376	462	838	151	333	15	7	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	2 teams	—	121	105	31	3	0	2	10	17	2	5	1	295	368	381	748	86	326	14	8	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	130	118	20	3	2	0	10	40	0	9	2	169	234	229	463	59	253	31	8	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	130	112	22	3	2	0	16	29	0	9	2	196	297	259	556	63	262	22	12	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	104	95	13	0	0	0	7	23	0	2	0	137	196	137	333		181	22	7	157	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	104	90	13	0	0	0	12	17	0	2	0	144	245	144	390		178	16	12	194	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	PHI	—	99	91	19	3	1	1	7	27	1	2	0	209	273	297	569	88	285	27	7	265	61	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	PHI	30%	168	152	34	6	1	3	13	45	1	3	1	224	289	336	625	112	286	27	8	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2028	27	MLB	PHI	42%	247	224	49	9	1	4	19	65	2	5	1	219	286	321	607	103	286	26	8	278	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2029	28	MLB	PHI	48%	302	273	59	10	2	5	24	79	2	5	1	216	284	322	607	106	286	26	8	279	72	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2030	29	MLB	PHI	49%	331	299	65	11	2	6	26	87	3	6	1	217	287	328	614	110	286	26	8	279	71	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2027	26	MLB	PHI	30%	51	47	10	2	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	213	275	319	594	106	288	27	8	270	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	27	MLB	PHI	42%	103	93	22	4	1	2	8	27	1	2	0	237	304	366	670	129	288	26	8	274	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	28	MLB	PHI	48%	144	131	29	5	1	3	11	38	1	3	1	221	287	344	630	122	288	26	8	275	69	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	29	MLB	PHI	49%	163	148	33	6	1	3	13	43	1	3	1	223	290	338	628	115	288	26	8	275	68	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	461	419	94	17	3	9	36	122	3	9	2	224	290	344	634	119	292	26	8	274	68	-17	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	133	24	4	13	51	172	4	13	3	225	291	345	636	120	293	26	8	274	68	-23	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	1502	1358	292	46	9	23	115	384	11	37	7	215	282	313	595	98	280	26	8	269	64	-61	+5	-2	+16	+43	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	127	20	4	10	50	166	5	16	3	216	283	315	598	99	281	26	8	269	64	-26	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	68	55	22	3	0	2	9	7	1	4	1	400	492	564	1.056	164	408	10	13	447	200	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2023	22	INTL	RA12	—	53	50	9	0	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	180	212	180	392		225	19	2	181	-3	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	34	26	5	0	0	0	7	7	0	1	0	192	364	192	556		250	21	21	277	70	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	23	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	96	86	17	3	2	0	9	22	0	8	2	198	274	279	553	81	266	23	9	252	51	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	24	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	83	70	10	0	0	0	11	16	0	2	0	143	259	143	402		185	19	13	201	12	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	24	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	21	20	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	150	190	150	340		158	5	5	163	-17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	461	8	8	220	285	330	+5	+6	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	12	12	220	285	330	+7.1	+8.6	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Roberts (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	211/275/304	93	285	1	2	27%	7%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→48	42→45	52→45	43	192/260/290	98	265	10	12	30%	7%	51	-1.7	209/280/310	101	283	7	8	27%	8%	64	-0.8	206/280/308	102	277	6	6	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	42→43	40→45	49→55	42	203/268/292	89	272	8	15	27%	6%	55	-1.4	195/266/301	106	281	11	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	186/271/302	116	271	12	26	34%	8%	57	-0.7
✕T.J. White 2017 · AA	25	43→44	39→45	52→45	42	206/268/297	90	269	6	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	209/270/340	131	276	14	6	28%	6%	68	-0.5	198/262/348	150	252	18	2	29%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Jason Leblebijian 2016 · A	25	38→46	41→45	47→45	41	192/248/291	99	260	9	9	29%	6%	46	-2.0	207/261/317	110	313	11	8	35%	6%	58	-1.2	204/261/313	109	314	12	7	37%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	47	200/279/278	78	260	5	12	24%	8%	56	-1.3	214/270/318	104	261	9	9	21%	6%	62	-0.9	211/252/327	117	243	9	5	17%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Khayyan Norfork 2014 · A	25	42→44	41→40	51→50	42	207/261/312	104	267	8	13	25%	6%	56	-1.3	213/264/291	78	288	4	12	26%	5%	52	-1.6	202/266/260	58	276	5	6	27%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	42	209/281/304	95	283	9	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	206/259/318	112	293	12	10	33%	5%	57	-1.2	188/228/300	112	272	15	9	36%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/271/295	91	290	6	12	30%	8%	56	-1.3	206/274/333	127	284	14	20	31%	7%	68	-0.5	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0