Aidan Anderson — OGILVIE

Aidan Anderson P Charlotte Knights

Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 116

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%16.2%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies West	15	0	26	113	19	13	1	0%	1.7	11.4%	14.4%	-2.9%	1.2%	3.86	4.64	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies West	15	0	26	113	19	13	1	0%	1.7	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	0.9%	3.86	3.65	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	53	223	45	24	14	0%	1.7	16.2%	13.0%	3.3%	8.5%	4.58	8.06	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	53	223	45	24	14	0%	1.7	20.2%	10.8%	9.4%	6.3%	4.58	6.19	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	2	42	189	32	12	7	6%	1.3	15.8%	5.4%	10.3%	2.2%	5.62	3.68	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	2	42	189	32	12	7	6%	1.3	16.9%	6.3%	10.6%	3.7%	5.62	4.61	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	66	290	86	25	3	5%	1.6	23.8%	9.6%	14.3%	1.3%	4.11	3.02	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	66	290	86	25	3	5%	1.6	23.8%	9.6%	14.3%	1.3%	4.11	3.02	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	2	66	290	86	25	3	5%	1.6	29.7%	8.6%	21.0%	1.0%	4.11	2.22	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	68	296	73	22	13	5%	1.6	20.3%	6.4%	13.9%	5.2%	5.29	5.02	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	68	296	73	22	13	5%	1.6	20.3%	6.4%	13.9%	5.2%	5.29	5.02	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	2	68	296	73	22	13	5%	1.6	24.7%	7.4%	17.2%	4.4%	5.29	4.41	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	46	201	33	26	5	3%	1.4	10.1%	13.1%	-3.0%	3.6%	3.72	5.91	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	1	46	201	33	26	5	3%	1.4	10.1%	13.1%	-3.0%	3.6%	3.72	5.91	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	1	46	201	33	26	5	3%	1.4	16.4%	12.9%	3.5%	2.5%	3.72	4.77	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	34	0	50	202	26	15	3	0%	1.5	10.4%	6.8%	3.5%	1.8%	3.60	4.08	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	34	0	50	202	26	15	3	0%	1.5	10.4%	6.8%	3.5%	1.8%	3.60	4.08	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AA RAW	CWS	4	0	5	18	3	1	0	0%	1.2	16.7%	5.6%	11.1%	0.0%	3.86	2.40	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	CWS	30	0	45	184	23	14	3	0%	1.5	12.5%	7.6%	4.9%	1.6%	3.57	3.90	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CWS	24	0	25	104	17	11	4	0%	1.0	16.6%	10.2%	6.4%	3.6%	5.26	5.33	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	CWS	9	0	9	38	6	4	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	10.2%	6.4%	3.6%	5.26	5.33	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	6	4	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	10.2%	6.4%	3.6%	5.26	4.95	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	132	88	22	0%	1.1	16.6%	10.2%	6.4%	3.6%	5.26	4.95	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		228	7	350	1514	249	142	55	3%	1.5	16.5%	9.4%	7.1%	3.6%	4.45	4.88	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		130	4	200	865	143	81	31	3%	1.5	16.5%	9.4%	7.1%	3.6%	4.45	4.88	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aidan Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	16.2%	10.0%	3.4%	—	5.33	16.6%	6.4%	25	+0.09	—	—	—
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	89
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	85
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	84
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	83
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	81
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	81
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	80
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	80
Francisco Rodriguez R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	32	SU	4.79	11.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.281	4.04	12.1%	4.4%	139	-0.75	3.16	273	80
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	80
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	79
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	79
Collin Balester R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	14.2%	9.3%	2.1%	.240	3.20	21.2%	15.4%	43	-1.02	3.20	116	79
Esteban Haro R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	29	SU	4.14	11.6%	8.4%	1.7%	.302	4.25	15.6%	7.8%	78	+0.11	3.76	164	78
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	78
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	78
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	16.4%	10.1%	1.35	5.25
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74