Aidan Anderson
P
Round Rock Express
Age 29
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA5.17
FIP5.17
K%19.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 15 | 0 | 26 | 113 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 11.4% | 14.4% | -2.9% | 1.2% | 3.86 | 4.64 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | 15 | 0 | 26 | 113 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 3.86 | 3.65 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 45 | 24 | 14 | 0% | 1.7 | 16.2% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 4.58 | 8.05 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 45 | 24 | 14 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.58 | 6.19 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 2 | 42 | 189 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 6% | 1.3 | 15.8% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 5.62 | 3.88 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 2 | 42 | 189 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 6% | 1.3 | 16.9% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 5.62 | 4.61 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 2 | 66 | 290 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 5% | 1.6 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 1.4% | 4.11 | 3.04 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 2 | 66 | 290 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 5% | 1.6 | 29.7% | 8.6% | 21.0% | 1.0% | 4.11 | 2.22 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 2 | 68 | 296 | 73 | 22 | 13 | 5% | 1.6 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 5.6% | 5.29 | 5.29 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 2 | 68 | 296 | 73 | 22 | 13 | 5% | 1.6 | 24.7% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 4.4% | 5.29 | 4.41 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 46 | 201 | 33 | 26 | 5 | 3% | 1.4 | 10.7% | 15.3% | -4.6% | 4.0% | 3.72 | 6.35 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 46 | 201 | 33 | 26 | 5 | 3% | 1.4 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.72 | 4.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 22 | 0 | 32 | 139 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.5% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.12 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TEX | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 5.17 | 5.17 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TEX | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 5.17 | 5.17 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 58 | 250 | 41 | 25 | 7 | — | — | 16.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 5.14 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 5.17 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.19 | 5.26 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.19 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.19 | 4.86 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 154 | 85 | 34 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.19 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 216 | 7 | 332 | 1451 | 251 | 150 | 57 | 3% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.64 | 5.12 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 130 | 4 | 200 | 875 | 151 | 91 | 35 | 3% | 1.5 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.64 | 5.12 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aidan Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.17 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 3.5% | — | 5.26 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 25 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 91 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 87 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 83 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 82 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 82 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 82 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 80 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 80 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 79 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.54 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 79 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.70 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .351 | 5.58 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.88 | 4.03 | 229 | 78 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 78 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 78 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 78 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 78 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.58 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 78 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 19.1% | 10.8% | 1.40 | 5.18 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |