Jake Means
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 491 | .213/.325/.402 | 17 | 7 | 51 | — | .163/.255/.313 |
| 2022 | 26 | AANorthwest Ark… | 430 | .208/.308/.355 | 11 | 10 | 44 | — | .167/.242/.279 |
| 2023 | 27 | AANorthwest Ark… | 266 | .165/.265/.277 | 7 | 5 | 19 | — | .129/.205/.220 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 292 | 247 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 227 | 337 | 417 | 754 | 190 | 287 | 27 | 13 | 336 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 121 | 96 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 347 | 458 | 805 | 250 | 241 | 26 | 17 | 354 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 78 | 70 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 171 | 247 | 271 | 518 | 100 | 229 | 28 | 8 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 430 | 375 | 78 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 119 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 208 | 308 | 355 | 662 | 147 | 272 | 28 | 11 | 302 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 266 | 231 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 70 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 165 | 265 | 277 | 542 | 113 | 199 | 26 | 11 | 252 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 292 | 261 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 104 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 172 | 258 | 318 | 576 | 146 | 238 | 36 | 9 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 121 | 106 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 142 | 248 | 302 | 550 | 160 | 190 | 37 | 11 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 430 | 390 | 65 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 147 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 167 | 242 | 279 | 522 | 113 | 235 | 34 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 266 | 241 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 129 | 205 | 220 | 424 | 91 | 162 | 32 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 491 | 435 | 69 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 177 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 159 | 252 | 297 | 548 | 138 | 227 | 36 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 491 | 413 | 88 | 23 | 2 | 17 | 65 | 132 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 213 | 325 | 402 | 727 | 189 | 267 | 27 | 13 | 325 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 430 | 390 | 65 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 147 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 167 | 242 | 279 | 522 | 113 | 238 | 34 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 430 | 375 | 78 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 119 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 208 | 308 | 355 | 662 | 147 | 272 | 28 | 11 | 302 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 266 | 241 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 129 | 205 | 220 | 424 | 91 | 163 | 32 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 266 | 231 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 70 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 165 | 265 | 277 | 542 | 113 | 199 | 26 | 11 | 252 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 491 | 434 | 69 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 177 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 159 | 252 | 297 | 549 | 138 | 224 | 36 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 430 | 388 | 65 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 147 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 168 | 242 | 281 | 523 | 113 | 235 | 34 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 266 | 241 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 84 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 129 | 205 | 220 | 424 | 91 | 162 | 32 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1187 | 1066 | 165 | 38 | 2 | 28 | 101 | 408 | 15 | 22 | 4 | 155 | 238 | 273 | 511 | 118 | 216 | 34 | 9 | 230 | 42 | -82 | +3 | +0 | +4 | +26 | -5.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 55 | 223 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 154 | 236 | 271 | 507 | 116 | 215 | 34 | 8 | 230 | 42 | -45 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 266 PAwOBA .248 → .196 (−52)K% 26.3% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.15% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.978 | 13.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.11% | ÷1.131 | ×0.840 | ×0.982 | ×0.978 | 2.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 111, 2B 126, 3B 112, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .248 → .196; ISO .113 → .096; BABIP .199 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 430 PAwOBA .294 → .233 (−60)K% 27.7% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.67% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.16% | ÷0.993 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.58% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 15.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.59% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.983 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.30% | ÷0.905 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.75% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .294 → .233; ISO .147 → .119; BABIP .272 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 292 PAwOBA .329 → .248 (−81)K% 26.7% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.71% | ÷1.013 | ×1.350 | — | — | 35.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.36% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 9.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.34% | ÷1.059 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×0.978 | 15.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.978 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷0.988 | ×0.820 | ×1.006 | ×0.978 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.92% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 4.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .329 → .248; ISO .190 → .144; BABIP .287 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AColumbia Fireflies · 121 PAwOBA .345 → .238 (−107)K% 26.4% → 36.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.45% | ÷0.974 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.53% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 10.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 10.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 7.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.237 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 5.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 103, 2B 92, 3B 111, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .345 → .238; ISO .250 → .161; BABIP .241 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .