Ian Foggo — OGILVIE

Ian Foggo P Asheville Tourists

Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 108

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%23.2%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	6	0	7	29	14	4	0	0%	1.2	48.3%	13.8%	34.5%	0.0%	0.00	0.77	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	6	0	7	29	14	4	0	0%	1.2	48.3%	13.8%	34.5%	0.0%	0.00	0.81	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	154	51	34	0	0%	1.4	20.1%	23.0%	-2.9%	0.0%	2.23	4.31	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	32	154	51	34	0	0%	1.4	33.1%	22.1%	11.0%	0.0%	2.23	3.10	—
2023	25	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	32	0	30	135	45	26	3	0%	0.9	24.7%	22.7%	1.9%	2.9%	3.86	5.49	—
2023	25	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	32	0	30	135	45	26	3	0%	0.9	33.3%	19.3%	14.1%	2.2%	3.86	3.99	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	24	0	23	114	33	22	4	0%	1.0	22.3%	22.2%	0.1%	4.1%	6.17	6.27	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	24	0	23	114	33	22	4	0%	1.0	22.3%	22.2%	0.1%	4.1%	6.17	6.27	—
2024	26	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	24	0	23	114	33	22	4	0%	1.0	28.9%	19.3%	9.6%	3.5%	6.17	5.33	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	HOU	13	0	14	59	14	8	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.9%	10.3%	3.0%	4.81	4.81	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	19	0	20	84	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.9%	12.8%	10.0%	3.2%	4.87	4.94	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	12.8%	10.0%	3.2%	4.87	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	12.8%	10.0%	3.2%	4.87	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	22.9%	12.8%	10.0%	3.2%	4.87	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		85	0	93	432	104	95	9	0%	1.1	24.0%	22.1%	1.9%	2.0%	3.58	4.96	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		183	0	200	929	223	205	18	0%	1.1	24.0%	22.1%	1.9%	2.0%	3.58	4.96	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ian Foggo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	23.2%	12.9%	3.0%	—	4.94	22.9%	10.0%	20	+0.13	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	85
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	84
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	79
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	78
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	78
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	78
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	78
Jose Veras R 2010 · 4.10 FIP	29	SU	4.10	26.9%	14.4%	2.6%	.239	3.42	25.3%	14.8%	201	-0.68	3.37	422	78
Brian Sanches R 2008 · 4.74 FIP	29	SU	4.74	18.5%	9.3%	3.7%	.378	4.01	20.5%	10.8%	182	-0.73	3.39	229	77
Dan Winkler R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	29	SU	4.99	20.6%	15.2%	3.1%	.237	4.44	23.0%	8.4%	104	-0.55	2.40	231	75
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	75
Manny Acosta R 2010 · 3.61 FIP	29	SU	3.61	26.8%	10.8%	2.5%	.277	4.12	21.9%	12.6%	94	+0.51	3.08	350	75
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	75
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	74
Scott Dohmann R 2007 · 4.28 FIP	29	SU	4.28	19.1%	12.5%	2.2%	.289	4.38	18.2%	9.1%	15	+0.10	4.28	173	74