Zach Agnos
P
Colorado Rockies
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 225 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 111
ERA4.64
FIP4.61
K%16.7%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%6.8%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p2021.1%
K%
p1014.4%
xwOBA vs
p110.358
SL+0.8 (28%)
SI (12%)
CU (1%)
FB-0.9 (38%)
CT-2.0 (24%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 9.00 | 14.71 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 9.00 | 14.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 47 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 6.9% | 15.8% | 1.7% | 2.06 | 3.00 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 47 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.8% | 5.9% | 24.9% | 1.8% | 2.06 | 2.24 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 52 | 201 | 63 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 5.5% | 19.3% | 2.0% | 1.38 | 2.78 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 52 | 201 | 63 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.3% | 5.0% | 26.4% | 1.5% | 1.38 | 2.01 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 43 | 184 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.8% | 12.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.40 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 43 | 184 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.40 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 25 | 2 | 58 | 263 | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8% | 2.3 | 14.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 6.48 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 52 | 0 | 55 | 231 | 45 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 44 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 42 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 42 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 201 | 2 | 243 | 1048 | 183 | 102 | 33 | 1% | 1.2 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 5.43 | 4.59 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 165 | 2 | 200 | 863 | 151 | 84 | 27 | 1% | 1.2 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 5.43 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 158 | 2 | 207 | 873 | 164 | 71 | 22 | 1% | 1.3 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 3.86 | 3.91 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 2 | 200 | 842 | 159 | 69 | 21 | 1% | 1.3 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 3.86 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Agnos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.78 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 161 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Alvarado R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 16.3% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .342 | 4.48 | 24.3% | 14.8% | 78 | -0.52 | 2.72 | 102 | 88 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .273 | 2.80 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 188 | -1.91 | 2.42 | 302 | 86 |
| Confesor Lara R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 86 |
| El'Hajj Muhammad R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .285 | 5.19 | 7.1% | -2.5% | 11 | +0.48 | 4.65 | 113 | 86 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.23 | 17.8% | 10.7% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.45 | 19.6% | 9.2% | 141 | +0.22 | 3.97 | 248 | 85 |
| Josh Hejka R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.87 | 16.7% | 10.8% | 3.3% | .363 | 4.09 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 77 | -0.78 | 2.94 | 182 | 85 |
| Woo-Suk Go R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.88 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .359 | 3.88 | 23.1% | 12.4% | 54 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 107 | 85 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 85 |
| Luis De La O R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.5% | .370 | 3.72 | 15.3% | 10.8% | 81 | -0.53 | 3.19 | 145 | 84 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.34 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .238 | 4.64 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 263 | +0.30 | 3.75 | 299 | 84 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 16.0% | 10.9% | 1.7% | .293 | 3.40 | 12.8% | 1.8% | 17 | -0.64 | 3.40 | 134 | 84 |
| Will Latcham R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 134 | 84 |
| David Goforth R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 84 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 188 | 84 |
| David Holman R 2028 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.21 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.04 | 5.04 | 129 | 84 |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.76 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .286 | 4.02 | 11.0% | 5.9% | 72 | -0.74 | 4.02 | 141 | 84 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .304 | 4.10 | 17.3% | 4.6% | 57 | +0.15 | 3.91 | 171 | 83 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.21 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 152 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.19 | 4.83 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |