Nico Tellache

P Arkansas Travelers

Age 29 LHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.6 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	27	MIX2 levels	23	12	82	6.59	3.56	20.3%	6.6%	—	K 16.2% · BB 7.0% · FIP 3.98
2026	28	AASEA	25	23	129	4.53	3.81	16.5%	7.1%	—	K 13.4% · BB 7.8% · FIP 4.39
2027PROJ	29	MLBSEA	13	13	78	4.97	4.97	12.7%	7.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBSEA	4	4	23	5.01	5.08	13.4%	8.3%	-0.0
2029PROJ51% MLB	31	MLBSEA	6	6	35	5.12	5.23	13.8%	8.7%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control55Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsEdgar Osuna (age 29) · Carlos Teller (age 29) · Alejandro Soto (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 128

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%12.7%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%4.9%

Proj IP78

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	82	379	77	25	9	52%	3.6	16.2%	7.0%	9.2%	2.5%	6.59	3.98	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	82	379	77	25	9	52%	3.6	16.2%	7.0%	9.2%	2.5%	6.59	3.98	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	12	82	379	77	25	9	52%	3.6	20.3%	6.6%	13.7%	2.4%	6.59	3.56	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	25	23	129	551	91	39	12	92%	5.2	13.4%	7.8%	5.6%	2.6%	4.53	4.39	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	25	23	129	551	91	39	12	92%	5.2	13.4%	7.8%	5.6%	2.6%	4.53	4.39	—
2026	28	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	25	23	129	551	91	39	12	92%	5.2	16.5%	7.1%	9.4%	2.2%	4.53	3.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	SEA	13	13	78	329	42	26	9	100%	6.0	12.7%	7.8%	4.9%	2.9%	4.97	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	SEA	12	12	73	308	41	26	9	100%	6.1	13.4%	8.3%	5.2%	3.1%	5.01	5.08	-0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	SEA	11	11	68	288	40	25	9	100%	6.2	13.8%	8.7%	5.1%	3.3%	5.12	5.23	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	SEA	4	4	23	97	13	8	3	100%	5.8	13.4%	8.3%	5.2%	3.1%	5.01	5.08	-0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	SEA	6	6	35	148	20	13	5	100%	5.8	13.8%	8.7%	5.1%	3.3%	5.12	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	58	244	33	21	8	100%	5.8	13.6%	8.5%	5.1%	3.2%	5.08	4.79	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	114	73	28	100%	6.0	13.6%	8.5%	5.1%	3.2%	5.08	4.79	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		48	35	211	930	135	69	24	73%	4.4	14.5%	7.5%	7.1%	2.6%	5.33	4.22	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	33	200	882	128	66	23	73%	4.4	14.5%	7.5%	7.1%	2.6%	5.33	4.22	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nico Tellache (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	12.7%	7.8%	2.9%	—	5.15	13.6%	5.1%	141	+0.18	—	—	—
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	88
Carlos Teller L 2016 · 4.86 FIP	29	SP-	4.86	14.3%	10.7%	2.9%	.297	4.74	12.6%	1.1%	148	-0.12	3.75	333	83
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	81
Kyle Hald L 2015 · 4.33 FIP	26	SP	4.33	12.1%	7.4%	2.4%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	124	79
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	78
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	77
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	77
Kramer Sneed L 2016 · 4.21 FIP	27	SP	4.21	13.2%	8.2%	2.2%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	116	77
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	76
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	76
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	11.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	321	76
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	76
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	74
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	74
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	74
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	74
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	74
Santiago Gutierrez L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	29	SP	4.29	11.0%	7.9%	2.0%	.314	3.92	14.9%	6.1%	169	-0.37	3.90	341	72
Chris Michalak L 2001 · 4.92 FIP	30	SP-	4.92	11.0%	8.2%	3.1%	.291	4.71	7.0%	-4.3%	14	-0.21	4.71	186	70
Matt Crouse L 2017 · 4.64 FIP	27	SP	4.64	12.0%	7.4%	2.9%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	342	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	73	13.3%	8.3%	1.19	5.03
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Russ Swan ('89-'94, -2 WAR*)	1.3	89	12.3%*	9.9%*	1.13*	5.09*
Pat Perry ('85-'90, 2 WAR*)	1.3	66	15.3%*	9.0%*	1.14*	3.85*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*