Kolton Ingram

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 30 LHP 5'9" / 170 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX3 levels	50	66	3.39	3.18	29.5%	12.6%	1.1	K 25.2% · BB 12.4% · FIP 3.28
2024	27	MIX2 levels	46	53	3.59	5.15	23.2%	16.1%	—	K 20.3% · BB 13.9% · FIP 5.32
2025	28	MIX2 levels	10	13	5.68	4.68	21.7%	18.3%	—	K 21.7% · BB 18.3% · FIP 4.51
2027PROJ	30	MLBATL	33	35	4.74	4.74	21.8%	11.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBATL	11	12	4.82	4.90	21.6%	11.4%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Andrew Barbosa (age 29) · Jose Meraz (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.74

FIP4.74

K%21.8%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%10.6%

Proj IP35

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

FB-0.9

SL-0.9

CT-2.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	15	1	30	129	28	10	1	7%	2.0	14.8%	9.7%	5.1%	1.1%	4.15	3.68	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	15	1	30	129	28	10	1	7%	2.0	21.7%	7.8%	14.0%	0.8%	4.15	2.67	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	47	190	67	25	3	0%	1.3	26.7%	15.3%	11.4%	1.9%	3.47	3.84	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	0	47	190	67	25	3	0%	1.3	35.3%	13.2%	22.1%	1.6%	3.47	2.67	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	50	0	61	237	73	17	6	0%	1.2	24.9%	7.9%	17.1%	2.7%	2.67	3.47	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	50	0	61	237	73	17	6	0%	1.2	30.8%	7.2%	23.6%	2.5%	2.67	2.82	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	0	66	285	84	36	5	0%	1.3	25.2%	12.4%	12.8%	1.3%	3.39	3.28	+1.0
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	0	66	285	84	36	5	0%	1.3	29.5%	12.6%	16.8%	1.8%	3.39	3.18	+1.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	53	224	52	36	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	13.9%	6.4%	4.0%	3.59	5.32	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	53	224	52	36	8	0%	1.1	20.3%	13.9%	6.4%	4.0%	3.59	5.32	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	53	224	52	36	8	0%	1.1	23.2%	16.1%	7.1%	3.6%	3.59	5.15	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	13	60	13	11	1	0%	1.3	21.7%	18.3%	3.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.51	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	13	60	13	11	1	0%	1.3	21.7%	18.3%	3.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.51	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	13	60	13	11	1	0%	1.3	21.7%	18.3%	3.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.68	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	5	30	7	5	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	16.7%	6.7%	6.7%	8.44	8.16	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	ATL	33	0	35	148	32	17	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.2%	10.6%	3.1%	4.74	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	ATL	31	0	33	138	30	16	5	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.4%	10.2%	3.3%	4.82	4.90	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	ATL	11	0	12	51	11	6	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.4%	10.2%	3.3%	4.82	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	81	18	11	4	0%	1.1	22.2%	13.4%	8.9%	4.5%	5.93	5.41	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	931	207	127	46	0%	1.1	22.2%	13.4%	8.9%	4.5%	5.93	5.41	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		207	1	269	1125	259	138	25	0%	1.3	23.0%	12.3%	10.8%	2.2%	3.48	3.93	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	1	200	835	193	102	19	0%	1.3	23.0%	12.3%	10.8%	2.2%	3.48	3.93	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kolton Ingram (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	21.8%	11.2%	3.1%	—	4.90	21.6%	10.2%	33	+0.16	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	83
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	75
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	74
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	74
Clay Rapada L 2011 · 4.34 FIP	30	SU	4.34	26.1%	10.1%	3.9%	.268	3.00	24.5%	14.2%	38	-1.34	3.00	120	74
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	26.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	4.25	23.9%	12.6%	140	+0.62	3.63	203	73
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	73
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	73
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	73
Nick Hagadone L 2015 · 3.65 FIP	29	SU	3.65	22.6%	8.9%	2.4%	.329	3.74	22.6%	13.3%	33	+0.09	2.97	141	73
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	72
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	72
Armando Almanza L 2003 · 4.95 FIP	30	SU	4.95	21.3%	10.0%	4.3%	.331	5.29	24.1%	14.8%	12	+0.34	2.90	211	71
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	71
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	71
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	70
Kelly Wunsch L 2002 · 4.60 FIP	30	SU	4.60	15.9%	13.0%	2.2%	.242	3.54	20.8%	8.3%	60	-1.06	3.36	175	69
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	69
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	68
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	21.9%	11.8%	1.35	5.05
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78