Matt Scheffler
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | AASEA | 298 | .250/.380/.316 | 1 | 10 | 74 | — | .227/.329/.285 |
| 2023 | 25 | AASEA | 259 | .208/.335/.259 | 1 | 8 | 40 | — | .172/.268/.216 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAASEA | 15 | .250/.400/.333 | 0 | 1 | 82 | — | .231/.333/.308 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 79 | 70 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 257 | 333 | 486 | 819 | 229 | 318 | 29 | 6 | 357 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 169 | 141 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 363 | 383 | 746 | 142 | 316 | 24 | 14 | 339 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 298 | 244 | 61 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 59 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 250 | 380 | 316 | 695 | 66 | 321 | 20 | 15 | 325 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 259 | 216 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 61 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 208 | 335 | 259 | 594 | 51 | 282 | 24 | 13 | 285 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 400 | 333 | 733 | 83 | 333 | 20 | 13 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 79 | 72 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 256 | 361 | 618 | 167 | 261 | 41 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 169 | 149 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 286 | 315 | 601 | 121 | 277 | 33 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 298 | 256 | 58 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 71 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 227 | 329 | 285 | 614 | 59 | 294 | 24 | 11 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 259 | 227 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 71 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 172 | 268 | 216 | 484 | 44 | 241 | 27 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 308 | 641 | 77 | 301 | 27 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 248 | 221 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 86 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 190 | 272 | 312 | 585 | 122 | 280 | 35 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 248 | 211 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 64 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 354 | 417 | 771 | 171 | 317 | 26 | 12 | 345 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 298 | 256 | 58 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 71 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 227 | 329 | 285 | 614 | 59 | 305 | 24 | 11 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 298 | 244 | 61 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 59 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 250 | 380 | 316 | 695 | 66 | 321 | 20 | 15 | 325 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 259 | 227 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 71 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 172 | 268 | 216 | 484 | 44 | 242 | 27 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 259 | 216 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 61 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 208 | 335 | 259 | 594 | 51 | 282 | 24 | 13 | 285 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 308 | 641 | 77 | 333 | 27 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 400 | 333 | 733 | 83 | 333 | 20 | 13 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 248 | 221 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 86 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 190 | 272 | 312 | 585 | 122 | 272 | 35 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 298 | 257 | 58 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 71 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 226 | 329 | 284 | 613 | 58 | 294 | 24 | 11 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 259 | 227 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 71 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 172 | 268 | 216 | 484 | 44 | 241 | 27 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 308 | 641 | 77 | 301 | 27 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 308 | 641 | 77 | 301 | 27 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 820 | 717 | 142 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 232 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 198 | 293 | 272 | 565 | 74 | 278 | 28 | 9 | 256 | 60 | -39 | +2 | +0 | +15 | +18 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 113 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 184 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 199 | 293 | 276 | 570 | 77 | 279 | 28 | 9 | 256 | 60 | -31 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAATacoma Rainiers · 15 PAwOBA .340 → .290 (−50)K% 20.0% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 6.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 20.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 9.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .340 → .290; ISO .083 → .070; BABIP .333 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAArkansas Travelers · 259 PAwOBA .281 → .227 (−54)K% 23.6% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.55% | ÷1.041 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.74% | ÷1.046 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.09% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.87% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 20.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.87% | ÷0.983 | ×0.840 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 3.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.103 | ×0.940 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.853 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 121, K 108, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .281 → .227; ISO .051 → .044; BABIP .282 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAArkansas Travelers · 298 PAwOBA .321 → .277 (−45)K% 19.8% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.80% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.10% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 10.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 25.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.78% | ÷0.987 | ×0.840 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.48% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .321 → .277; ISO .066 → .057; BABIP .321 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AModesto Nuts · 169 PAwOBA .333 → .264 (−69)K% 24.3% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.26% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.20% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.990 | 19.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×0.990 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×0.990 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.00% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.76% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 81, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .333 → .264; ISO .142 → .122; BABIP .316 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Everett AquaSox · 79 PAwOBA .351 → .251 (−100)K% 29.1% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.11% | ÷0.985 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.33% | ÷1.125 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.80% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 3.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.28% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 18.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.51% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.51% | ÷1.078 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 6.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 86, K 97, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .351 → .251; ISO .229 → .155; BABIP .318 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).