Zak Kent

P Rochester Red Wings

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 208 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	15	4	26	6.66	3.80	25.4%	14.8%	—	K 21.5% · BB 14.0% · FIP 4.04
2025	27	MIX2 levels	46	0	56	3.40	2.99	28.1%	12.3%	1.0	K 25.1% · BB 11.4% · FIP 3.13
2026	28	MIX2 levels	51	6	73	4.81	4.42	20.9%	9.0%	0.1	K 18.5% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.62
2027PROJ	29	MLBWSH	60	0	63	4.70	4.90	18.7%	10.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ61% MLB	30	MLBWSH	34	0	36	4.88	5.05	18.5%	11.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ72% MLB	31	MLBWSH	37	0	39	5.06	5.22	18.1%	11.2%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo26

Whiff%20

xwOBA vs19

K%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsYoanner Negrin (age 31) · Ramon Delgado (age 29) · Vinny Nittoli (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.70

FIP4.90

K%18.7%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%7.9%

Proj IP63

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2692.8

Whiff%

p2021.1%

p1015.6%

xwOBA vs

p190.349

SI (2%)

CU (18%)

FB-1.1 (43%)

SL-2.5 (40%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	15	89	367	117	23	14	75%	4.5	25.0%	7.1%	17.9%	4.6%	3.64	4.40	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	15	89	367	117	23	14	75%	4.5	31.9%	6.3%	25.6%	3.8%	3.64	3.29	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	110	462	110	43	13	100%	4.6	19.6%	10.1%	9.5%	3.6%	3.94	4.71	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	110	462	110	43	13	100%	4.6	23.8%	9.3%	14.5%	2.8%	3.94	3.81	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	41	171	43	13	7	100%	3.1	20.9%	6.4%	14.5%	3.0%	4.87	3.82	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	41	171	43	13	7	100%	3.1	25.1%	7.6%	17.5%	4.1%	4.87	4.18	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	4	26	122	31	18	2	27%	1.7	21.5%	14.0%	7.5%	1.8%	6.66	4.04	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	4	26	122	31	18	2	27%	1.7	21.5%	14.0%	7.5%	1.8%	6.66	4.04	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	4	26	122	31	18	2	27%	1.7	25.4%	14.8%	10.7%	1.6%	6.66	3.80	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	56	235	66	29	3	0%	1.2	25.1%	11.4%	13.7%	1.3%	3.40	3.13	+0.9
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	56	235	66	29	3	0%	1.2	25.1%	11.4%	13.7%	1.3%	3.40	3.13	+0.9
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	56	235	66	29	3	0%	1.2	28.1%	12.3%	15.7%	1.3%	3.40	2.99	+1.0
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	6	73	321	67	29	11	12%	1.4	18.5%	8.4%	10.1%	3.7%	4.81	4.62	-0.1
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	6	73	321	67	29	11	12%	1.4	18.5%	8.4%	10.1%	3.7%	4.81	4.62	-0.1
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	6	73	321	67	29	11	12%	1.4	20.9%	9.0%	11.8%	3.4%	4.81	4.42	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			23	0	34	153	28	16	4	0%	1.5	18.3%	10.5%	7.8%	2.6%	5.03	4.39	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	WSH	60	0	63	266	50	29	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.8%	7.9%	3.0%	4.70	4.90	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	WSH	56	0	59	249	46	27	8	0%	1.1	18.5%	11.0%	7.5%	3.2%	4.88	5.05	-0.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	WSH	52	0	55	232	42	26	8	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.2%	6.9%	3.4%	5.06	5.22	-0.4
2028	30	MLB CTX	WSH	34	0	36	152	28	17	5	0%	1.1	18.5%	11.0%	7.5%	3.2%	4.88	5.05	-0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	WSH	37	0	39	165	30	18	6	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.2%	6.9%	3.4%	5.06	5.22	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		95	0	109	470	86	51	14	0%	1.1	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.1%	4.99	4.62	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		173	0	200	862	158	93	26	0%	1.2	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.1%	4.99	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		170	62	395	1682	365	155	56	36%	2.3	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	3.3%	4.22	4.25	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	31	200	852	185	78	28	36%	2.3	21.7%	9.2%	12.5%	3.3%	4.22	4.25	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zak Kent (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	18.7%	10.8%	3.0%	—	5.13	18.3%	7.2%	114	+0.23	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	70
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	68
Vinny Nittoli R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	19.0%	6.9%	3.3%	.302	3.86	26.9%	20.4%	93	-0.32	3.66	331	68
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	68
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	68
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	67
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	67
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	67
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	66
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	66
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	321	66
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	66
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	66
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	66
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	65
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	65
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	65
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	65
Jared Fernandez R 2001 · 4.66 FIP	29	SW	4.66	8.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.267	3.95	14.0%	5.6%	89	-0.71	3.57	101	65
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	236	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	70	18.4%	10.9%	1.19	4.90
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Jerry Don Gleaton ('79-'92, 2 WAR*)	2.2	64	19.4%*	10.2%*	1.05*	4.44*