Chris Lanzilli
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | ROKCWS | 28 | .333/.429/.625 | 2 | 0 | 86 | — | .231/.286/.385 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+/ACWS | 388 | .270/.369/.399 | 8 | 3 | 66 | — | .213/.291/.314 |
| 2024 | 26 | A+CWS | 121 | .245/.345/.382 | 3 | 3 | 51 | — | .185/.261/.306 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 28 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 429 | 625 | 1.054 | 292 | 333 | 14 | 14 | 456 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 153 | 128 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 333 | 305 | 638 | 86 | 277 | 23 | 13 | 294 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 235 | 205 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 302 | 391 | 459 | 850 | 156 | 378 | 22 | 9 | 382 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 121 | 102 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 245 | 345 | 382 | 727 | 137 | 319 | 26 | 10 | 325 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 28 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 385 | 670 | 154 | 238 | 21 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 153 | 136 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 169 | 247 | 243 | 489 | 74 | 220 | 31 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 235 | 211 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 69 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 319 | 360 | 679 | 118 | 334 | 29 | 7 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 121 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 185 | 261 | 306 | 566 | 120 | 256 | 36 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 28 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 385 | 670 | 154 | 263 | 21 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK RAW | ACL White Sox | — | 28 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 429 | 625 | 1.054 | 292 | 333 | 14 | 14 | 456 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 347 | 74 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 117 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 213 | 291 | 314 | 605 | 101 | 296 | 30 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 388 | 333 | 90 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 86 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 270 | 369 | 399 | 768 | 129 | 339 | 22 | 11 | 347 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 121 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 185 | 261 | 306 | 566 | 120 | 270 | 36 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 121 | 102 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 245 | 345 | 382 | 727 | 137 | 319 | 26 | 10 | 325 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 28 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 385 | 670 | 154 | 238 | 21 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 347 | 74 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 117 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 213 | 291 | 314 | 605 | 101 | 289 | 30 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 121 | 109 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 183 | 261 | 303 | 563 | 119 | 256 | 36 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 121 | 109 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 183 | 261 | 303 | 563 | 119 | 256 | 36 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 537 | 481 | 100 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 167 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 208 | 284 | 316 | 600 | 108 | 289 | 31 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -23 | -2 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 121 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 202 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 208 | 284 | 314 | 599 | 107 | 290 | 31 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -28 | -3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 121 PAwOBA .322 → .244 (−78)K% 26.4% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.45% | ÷0.952 | ×1.310 | — | — | 36.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.92% | ÷1.006 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.968 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.31% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.968 | 2.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷0.972 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 21.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.070 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 2.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷0.817 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 4.47% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 86, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .322 → .244; ISO .137 → .123; BABIP .319 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 235 PAwOBA .372 → .298 (−74)K% 21.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.70% | ÷1.004 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.36% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.40% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 2.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.970 | 25.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.970 | 7.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 3.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .372 → .298; ISO .156 → .125; BABIP .378 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 153 PAwOBA .293 → .214 (−79)K% 22.9% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.88% | ÷0.948 | ×1.310 | — | — | 31.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.07% | ÷0.943 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 8.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.011 | ×0.870 | ×0.973 | ×0.978 | 18.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | ×0.973 | ×0.978 | 3.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.850 | ×0.973 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.017 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 1.82% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .293 → .214; ISO .086 → .066; BABIP .277 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL White Sox · 28 PAwOBA .443 → .296 (−147)K% 14.3% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.008 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.961 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 8.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.287 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 2.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.173 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 6.35% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 100, 2B 157, 3B 121, K 102, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .443 → .296; ISO .292 → .179; BABIP .333 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).