Chris Lanzilli — OGILVIE

Chris LanzilliOF Winston-Salem Dash

Age 28 R/R 6'2" / 225 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .288 / .345

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO132

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	24	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	28	24	8	1	0	2	4	4	0	0	0	333	429	625	1.054	292	333	14	14	456	195	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	25	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	153	128	28	5	0	2	20	35	2	3	2	219	333	305	638	86	277	23	13	294	85	-3	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	25	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	235	205	62	14	0	6	22	51	8	0	1	302	391	459	850	156	378	22	9	382	144	+12	-0	—	—	+5	1.7
2024	26	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	121	102	25	3	1	3	12	32	4	3	5	245	345	382	727	137	319	26	10	325	106	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	24	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	28	25	6	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	240	321	400	721	160	250	21	11	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	153	134	24	4	0	2	14	49	2	3	2	179	267	254	520	75	238	32	9	226	39	-11	-0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	25	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	235	212	53	10	0	6	15	72	8	0	1	250	323	382	705	132	352	31	6	308	95	-2	-0	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	26	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	121	107	21	2	1	3	8	45	4	3	5	196	277	318	595	121	280	37	7	255	59	-6	-1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	24	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	28	25	6	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	240	321	400	721	160	278	21	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	28	24	8	1	0	2	4	4	0	0	0	333	429	625	1.054	292	333	14	14	456	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	388	347	76	14	0	7	28	122	10	3	3	219	296	320	616	101	312	31	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A RAW	2 teams	—	388	333	90	19	0	8	42	86	10	3	3	270	369	399	768	129	339	22	11	347	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	121	107	21	2	1	3	8	45	4	3	5	196	277	318	595	121	295	37	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	121	102	25	3	1	3	12	32	4	3	5	245	345	382	727	137	319	26	10	325	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	28	25	6	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	240	321	400	721	160	250	21	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	388	347	76	14	0	7	28	122	10	3	3	219	296	320	616	101	307	31	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	121	108	21	2	1	3	8	45	4	3	5	194	277	315	592	120	280	37	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	388	347	76	14	0	7	28	122	10	3	3	219	296	320	616	101	307	31	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	121	108	21	2	1	3	8	45	4	3	5	194	277	315	592	120	280	37	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		289	29	14	287	81	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	22%	109	97	22	4	1	3	9	31	2	2	1	227	306	381	687	155	288	28	8	289	82	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	22%	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	227	292	409	701	182	289	29	8	280	82	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	227	292	409	701	182	286	29	8	280	73	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	135	27	0	27	54	190	0	0	0	227	291	408	698	181	285	29	8	280	73	-14	+0	-8	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	653	582	126	21	2	14	49	206	16	8	9	216	295	332	627	115	304	32	8	276	73	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	126	21	2	14	49	205	16	8	9	218	297	333	630	116	306	32	8	276	73	-14	+0	-8	-4	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chris Lanzilli (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	215/288/345	131	289	2	1	29%	8%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	39→43	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/334	130	266	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	216/265/341	125	294	14	8	30%	6%	70	-0.9	218/256/337	119	286	16	6	29%	4%	62	-1.0
✕Weston Wilson 2021 · AA	26	39→43	47→55	49→55	43	204/262/334	130	263	15	10	28%	7%	68	-1.0	212/275/360	148	284	19	18	31%	8%	78	-0.3	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA	28	41	45→55	48→45	40	210/262/331	121	285	13	10	31%	6%	66	-1.1	215/260/357	142	318	16	9	36%	5%	72	-0.7	204/243/360	156	309	18	6	39%	4%	63	-0.8
✕Zack Zehner 2021 · AAA	28	40→50	45	44→45	39	203/257/325	122	289	12	6	33%	6%	63	-1.4	219/286/331	112	334	10	12	34%	8%	75	-0.5	211/285/307	97	333	7	12	36%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Daniel Carbonell 2019 · AA	28	45→53	43→50	47→55	38	222/263/332	110	293	10	11	27%	4%	67	-1.1	248/300/396	148	306	15	22	23%	6%	96	+1.0	264/316/430	166	318	17	31	22%	6%	107	+1.4
✕Kent Matthes 2015 · AAA	28	38→48	49→60	50	37	203/246/354	151	269	17	11	31%	5%	66	-1.1	208/257/328	120	274	11	10	27%	5%	63	-1.3	190/238/285	95	243	5	9	23%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	48→50	46	199/285/316	117	280	13	9	32%	9%	73	-0.6	212/301/356	144	295	17	5	32%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/369	163	277	20	1	31%	10%	87	+0.2
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	40→46	49→55	50	42	209/268/364	155	265	16	10	28%	6%	76	-0.4	216/264/389	173	256	19	8	24%	6%	81	-0.1	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Curt Smith 2014 · AA	27	43→50	46→45	44→40	39	219/267/351	132	285	14	5	28%	5%	73	-0.6	230/278/339	109	282	11	6	22%	6%	74	-0.6	235/281/332	97	278	10	3	19%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Matt Carson 2008 · AA	27	42→50	46→60	50	40	214/264/345	131	270	14	9	26%	5%	71	-0.8	230/276/390	160	280	18	13	24%	5%	85	+0.2	226/275/415	188	271	23	16	26%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Jim Murphy 2013 · A	27	42→44	48→50	42→30	40	210/274/356	146	297	15	2	33%	7%	77	-0.3	214/274/343	129	282	14	3	28%	7%	74	-0.5	208/269/331	123	266	14	1	26%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2018 · MLB	28	40→50	48→55	45→50	41	207/266/346	139	280	17	8	32%	7%	72	-0.7	219/280/396	177	289	22	5	31%	6%	89	+0.5	206/263/380	174	271	22	4	32%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Tyler Marincov 2018 · AA	26	42	45→50	44→50	39	210/264/336	125	294	13	9	32%	6%	68	-1.0	201/258/338	137	302	17	11	37%	6%	67	-1.1	172/228/299	127	252	18	14	39%	6%	45	-1.6
✕D.J. Peterson 2019 · AAA	27	43→44	46→50	45→40	38	218/260/343	124	285	14	5	28%	5%	68	-1.0	208/258/334	126	284	14	8	31%	5%	65	-1.2	161/236/309	147	213	20	2	34%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Dustin Peterson 2023 · AAA	28	45→50	43→45	46→45	44	219/275/327	107	277	10	6	24%	6%	70	-0.8	206/265/336	130	277	15	7	30%	7%	69	-0.9	183/247/317	134	242	18	4	32%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Alfredo Marte 2017 · MLB	28	46→47	43→50	51→45	42	226/279/338	112	300	10	10	28%	6%	74	-0.6	223/284/345	122	283	13	13	25%	6%	78	-0.3	204/270/311	106	250	14	14	24%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Michael Choice 2019 · AAA	29	41→51	47→50	45→40	38	209/267/340	132	294	14	6	33%	6%	71	-0.8	252/302/415	163	337	20	9	30%	5%	101	+1.4	267/313/443	175	355	22	7	30%	4%	112	+1.3
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA	27	38→47	45→50	46→40	39	195/256/312	118	283	13	6	35%	6%	60	-1.6	206/271/321	115	330	11	7	38%	7%	68	-1.0	166/240/282	116	284	11	0	42%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39→40	50→55	44→40	38	206/252/366	160	275	18	3	32%	5%	71	-0.8	210/256/354	144	284	16	6	31%	6%	70	-0.9	195/240/341	146	255	17	4	30%	5%	57	-1.3
✕John-Ford Griffin 2008 · AAA	28	39→38	50	49→40	42	205/262/359	153	267	18	5	30%	7%	73	-0.6	222/281/361	139	289	14	6	27%	7%	80	-0.1	225/285/357	132	289	12	4	25%	6%	79	-0.1