Luke Brown
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A+/APIT | 218 | .200/.304/.281 | 2 | 8 | 23 | — | .166/.242/.232 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+PIT | 239 | .270/.366/.471 | 8 | 13 | 57 | — | .192/.264/.332 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+PIT | 240 | .175/.289/.316 | 8 | 10 | 15 | — | .124/.201/.225 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | — | 53 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 240 | 200 | 440 | 44 | 189 | 21 | 9 | 199 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 101 | 91 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 165 | 214 | 275 | 489 | 110 | 222 | 29 | 5 | 214 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 117 | 94 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 379 | 287 | 667 | 53 | 318 | 24 | 15 | 319 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 239 | 204 | 55 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 63 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 270 | 366 | 471 | 837 | 201 | 348 | 26 | 10 | 366 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 206 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 75 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 175 | 289 | 316 | 604 | 141 | 228 | 31 | 12 | 279 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates Gold | — | 53 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 180 | 170 | 350 | 43 | 153 | 30 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 101 | 94 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 138 | 173 | 234 | 408 | 96 | 180 | 38 | 3 | 154 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 117 | 100 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 302 | 230 | 532 | 40 | 283 | 32 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 239 | 214 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 82 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 192 | 264 | 332 | 596 | 140 | 260 | 34 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 218 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 96 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 124 | 201 | 225 | 426 | 101 | 179 | 40 | 8 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates Gold | — | 53 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 180 | 170 | 350 | 43 | 176 | 30 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK RAW | FCL Pirates Gold | — | 53 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 240 | 200 | 440 | 44 | 189 | 21 | 9 | 199 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 218 | 194 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 76 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 155 | 234 | 206 | 440 | 52 | 242 | 35 | 7 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 218 | 185 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 57 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 200 | 304 | 281 | 585 | 81 | 271 | 26 | 11 | 270 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 239 | 214 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 82 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 192 | 264 | 332 | 596 | 140 | 273 | 34 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 239 | 204 | 55 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 63 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 270 | 366 | 471 | 837 | 201 | 348 | 26 | 10 | 366 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 218 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 96 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 124 | 201 | 225 | 426 | 101 | 181 | 40 | 8 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 206 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 75 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 175 | 289 | 316 | 604 | 141 | 228 | 31 | 12 | 279 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates Gold | — | 53 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 120 | 180 | 160 | 340 | 40 | 153 | 30 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 218 | 196 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 76 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 153 | 234 | 204 | 438 | 51 | 235 | 35 | 7 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 239 | 216 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 82 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 190 | 264 | 329 | 593 | 139 | 260 | 34 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 217 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 96 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 124 | 201 | 226 | 427 | 101 | 179 | 40 | 8 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 240 | 217 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 96 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 124 | 201 | 226 | 427 | 101 | 179 | 40 | 8 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 750 | 673 | 104 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 270 | 14 | 32 | 7 | 155 | 229 | 250 | 479 | 95 | 229 | 36 | 7 | 211 | 29 | -63 | +4 | +0 | -5 | +16 | -4.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 90 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 234 | 12 | 28 | 6 | 154 | 228 | 247 | 475 | 93 | 229 | 36 | 7 | 211 | 29 | -55 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -4.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 240 PAwOBA .272 → .191 (−81)K% 31.2% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.029 | ×1.310 | — | — | 39.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.974 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.32% | ÷1.024 | ×0.870 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 14.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.29% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 1.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.11% | ÷1.106 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 4.75% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .272 → .191; ISO .141 → .105; BABIP .228 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 239 PAwOBA .359 → .252 (−108)K% 26.4% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.36% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.46% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.51% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.70% | ÷1.016 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 18.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.22% | ÷1.154 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.202 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 103, 2B 131, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .359 → .252; ISO .201 → .139; BABIP .348 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ABradenton Marauders · 117 PAwOBA .315 → .245 (−70)K% 23.9% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.93% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.42% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.79% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.990 | 26.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×0.990 | 2.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.111 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.08% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .315 → .245; ISO .053 → .037; BABIP .318 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 101 PAwOBA .212 → .154 (−58)K% 28.7% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.71% | ÷0.999 | ×1.310 | — | — | 37.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.95% | ÷1.063 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 2.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.90% | ÷0.961 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 11.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.273 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .212 → .154; ISO .110 → .077; BABIP .222 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Pirates Gold · 53 PAwOBA .206 → .152 (−54)K% 20.8% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.75% | ÷1.014 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷0.982 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.986 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 14.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.132 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 126, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .206 → .152; ISO .044 → .029; BABIP .189 → .153. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).