Justin Miknis — OGILVIE

Justin MiknisC Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .257 / .274

PA7

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	41	33	5	1	0	0	8	12	0	0	0	152	317	182	499	30	238	29	20	256	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	117	93	18	3	0	1	23	28	0	0	0	194	353	258	612	65	262	24	20	296	87	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	48	9	0	0	1	7	19	0	0	1	188	291	250	541	62	276	33	12	245	52	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	41	35	4	1	0	0	6	16	0	0	0	114	244	143	387	29	231	39	15	201	22	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	117	100	16	2	0	1	16	41	0	0	0	160	276	210	486	50	248	35	14	233	44	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	50	8	0	0	1	5	26	0	0	1	160	236	220	456	60	265	45	9	198	20	-6	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	41	35	4	1	0	0	6	16	0	0	0	114	244	143	387	29	211	39	15	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	41	33	5	1	0	0	8	12	0	0	0	152	317	182	499	30	238	29	20	256	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	117	100	16	2	0	1	16	41	0	0	0	160	276	210	486	50	254	35	14	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	117	93	18	3	0	1	23	28	0	0	0	194	353	258	612	65	262	24	20	296	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	50	8	0	0	1	5	26	0	0	1	160	236	220	456	60	292	45	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	48	9	0	0	1	7	19	0	0	1	188	291	250	541	62	276	33	12	245	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	41	35	4	1	0	0	6	16	0	0	0	114	244	143	387	29	231	39	15	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	117	100	16	2	0	1	16	41	0	0	0	160	276	210	486	50	248	35	14	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	53	8	0	0	1	5	26	0	0	1	151	236	208	444	57	265	45	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	41	35	4	1	0	0	6	16	0	0	0	114	244	143	387	29	231	39	15	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	117	100	16	2	0	1	16	41	0	0	0	160	276	210	486	50	248	35	14	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	53	8	0	0	1	5	26	0	0	1	151	236	208	444	57	265	45	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		258	29	14	246	53	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	151	136	26	4	1	3	13	46	1	2	1	191	267	301	568	110	262	30	9	256	59	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	42%	235	211	40	7	1	4	20	70	2	3	1	190	266	289	555	100	264	30	9	261	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	294	264	52	9	1	6	26	87	2	4	1	197	274	307	581	110	265	30	9	263	64	-13	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	PIT	49%	325	291	57	10	1	6	29	96	2	4	1	196	273	299	572	103	265	30	9	263	64	-14	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	PIT	50%	346	310	59	10	1	6	30	103	3	4	1	190	268	287	555	97	264	30	9	260	62	-16	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	46	42	7	1	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	167	239	262	501	95	260	30	9	247	59	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	42%	98	89	17	3	0	2	8	29	1	1	0	191	265	292	557	101	262	30	8	252	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	140	126	25	4	1	3	12	41	1	2	1	198	273	317	591	119	263	29	9	254	64	-6	+0	-0	+3	+3	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	PIT	49%	160	144	28	5	1	3	14	47	1	2	1	194	270	306	576	111	263	29	9	253	64	-7	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	PIT	50%	174	156	30	5	1	3	15	52	1	2	1	192	267	295	562	103	262	30	9	251	62	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	618	557	107	18	3	12	53	183	4	8	3	192	267	300	567	108	260	30	9	252	59	-27	+0	-2	+11	+13	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	113	19	3	13	56	192	4	8	3	193	268	302	570	109	260	30	9	252	59	-29	+0	-2	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1574	1403	263	43	5	27	146	487	10	17	6	187	269	283	552	96	263	31	9	255	59	-60	+1	-4	+24	+29	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	109	18	2	11	60	201	4	7	2	188	269	283	552	95	264	31	9	255	59	-29	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	618	12	8	195	269	302	+11	+8	0.1	0.1
/162	664	13	8	+11.9	+8.6	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Miknis (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	182/257/274	92	258	1	1	31%	8%	53	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	194/261/281	86	283	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/256/281	101	278	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→38	42→50	51→45	40	204/259/318	114	293	9	7	32%	6%	62	-1.4	196/263/336	140	295	16	6	37%	8%	69	-0.9	185/255/332	147	273	18	5	38%	8%	61	-1.0
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	36	43→45	47→30	44	183/249/294	111	257	10	4	32%	8%	53	-2.1	187/258/290	103	288	9	5	35%	8%	56	-1.9	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA	25	37	43→40	46→45	45	187/273/288	101	243	12	5	27%	8%	62	-1.4	210/288/330	120	290	13	9	31%	7%	77	-0.3	183/273/312	129	276	14	8	36%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Garrett Kennedy 2018 · AA	25	35	42→45	45→30	41	181/241/282	101	254	10	3	32%	7%	47	-2.5	195/264/292	97	285	9	5	32%	8%	58	-1.7	153/240/222	70	229	6	0	33%	9%	31	-1.0
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	47→40	40	175/240/253	78	277	7	5	37%	8%	40	-3.0	200/267/305	105	333	10	6	40%	7%	63	-1.4	166/245/275	109	270	12	0	41%	7%	46	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Andy Thomas 2023 · A	25	41→39	42→40	47→40	47	199/286/298	99	288	10	4	32%	10%	69	-0.9	201/272/295	94	273	9	5	28%	8%	62	-1.4	193/263/280	87	255	9	5	27%	8%	53	-1.5
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	38	46→45	46→40	39	196/258/318	122	283	14	4	35%	7%	63	-1.4	207/287/317	110	285	12	5	29%	9%	74	-0.6	195/283/285	90	265	9	2	28%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Chris Kroski 2007 · A	25	41	41→45	49→40	38	201/251/297	96	288	8	5	32%	5%	54	-2.0	214/274/329	115	283	9	4	26%	6%	71	-0.8	219/286/355	136	281	11	0	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/280/293	102	262	10	6	29%	9%	65	-1.2	199/277/327	128	250	14	10	25%	7%	72	-0.7	186/267/323	137	222	16	12	24%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Eric Jagielo 2017 · AA	25	41→36	44→45	47→30	39	202/265/317	115	293	12	2	34%	6%	65	-1.2	184/246/276	92	267	9	3	33%	6%	49	-2.4	163/227/246	83	235	8	1	32%	6%	32	-2.4
✕Matthew Morizio 2009 · A	25	40	38→40	48→50	47	193/266/271	77	258	5	9	26%	8%	55	-2.0	188/257/262	74	249	4	9	24%	7%	49	-2.4	119/196/142	23	155	0	3	21%	7%	-2	-1.3
✕Shane Matheny 2021 · A	25	38→41	41→45	44→50	37	187/244/280	92	294	9	4	38%	6%	48	-2.5	198/275/313	115	315	12	8	38%	9%	68	-1.0	190/280/310	120	295	13	9	37%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→45	49→40	42	200/265/310	110	270	11	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	190/246/297	107	260	12	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	179/234/280	101	242	12	2	31%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	40	41→40	44→45	42	196/258/292	96	269	8	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	194/248/291	97	281	9	6	32%	6%	52	-2.2	151/202/238	87	213	10	0	34%	5%	19	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps