Spencer Henson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A+NYY | 282 | .211/.315/.384 | 10 | 2 | 36 | — | .149/.222/.282 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+NYY | 339 | .252/.332/.453 | 14 | 1 | 53 | — | .180/.237/.325 |
| 2024 | 26 | AANYY | 16 | .062/.062/.062 | 0 | 0 | -84 | — | .062/.062/.062 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 15 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 600 | 1.000 | 1.600 | 600 | 400 | 20 | 20 | 636 | 224 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 282 | 242 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 86 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 315 | 384 | 700 | 174 | 275 | 30 | 11 | 314 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 339 | 298 | 75 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 88 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 252 | 332 | 453 | 785 | 201 | 303 | 26 | 8 | 344 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 100 | 38 | 0 | 57 | -84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 533 | 909 | 1.442 | 545 | 332 | 27 | 13 | 499 | 224 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 282 | 255 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 111 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 222 | 282 | 505 | 133 | 209 | 39 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 339 | 311 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 115 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 180 | 237 | 325 | 561 | 145 | 230 | 34 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 90 | 44 | 0 | 44 | -84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 533 | 909 | 1.442 | 545 | 400 | 27 | 13 | 499 | 224 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A RAW | Tampa Tarpons | — | 15 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 600 | 1.000 | 1.600 | 600 | 400 | 20 | 20 | 636 | 224 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 282 | 255 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 111 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 222 | 282 | 505 | 133 | 216 | 39 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 282 | 242 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 86 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 315 | 384 | 700 | 174 | 275 | 30 | 11 | 314 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 339 | 311 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 115 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 180 | 237 | 325 | 561 | 145 | 237 | 34 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ RAW | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 339 | 298 | 75 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 88 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 252 | 332 | 453 | 785 | 201 | 303 | 26 | 8 | 344 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 111 | 44 | 0 | 44 | -84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | Somerset Patriots | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 100 | 38 | 0 | 57 | -84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 533 | 909 | 1.442 | 545 | 332 | 27 | 13 | 499 | 224 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 282 | 256 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 111 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 148 | 222 | 281 | 503 | 133 | 209 | 39 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 339 | 313 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 115 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 179 | 237 | 323 | 559 | 144 | 230 | 34 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 90 | 44 | 0 | 44 | -84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 62 | 125 | 90 | 44 | 0 | 44 | -84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 652 | 593 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 21 | 34 | 237 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 167 | 233 | 310 | 543 | 143 | 227 | 36 | 5 | 236 | 46 | -42 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 21 | 34 | 236 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 168 | 234 | 311 | 545 | 144 | 228 | 36 | 5 | 236 | 46 | -42 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AASomerset Patriots · 16 PAwOBA .055 → .044 (−11)K% 37.5% → 44.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.978 | 9.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .055 → .044; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .100 → .090. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 339 PAwOBA .339 → .246 (−93)K% 26.0% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.96% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 33.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.37% | ÷1.092 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.968 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.95% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.968 | 2.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.48% | ÷1.004 | ×0.870 | ×0.958 | ×0.968 | 16.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | ×0.958 | ×0.968 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.958 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 5.64% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 101, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .339 → .246; ISO .201 → .156; BABIP .303 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 282 PAwOBA .309 → .221 (−87)K% 30.5% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.50% | ÷1.015 | ×1.310 | — | — | 39.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.35% | ÷0.976 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷1.084 | ×0.870 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 14.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷0.895 | ×0.780 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.028 | ×0.850 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 5.44% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 79, 3B 106, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .309 → .221; ISO .174 → .138; BABIP .275 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ATampa Tarpons · 15 PAwOBA .619 → .499 (−120)K% 20.0% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 13.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 13.33% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 10.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 25.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 22.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .619 → .499; ISO .600 → .495; BABIP .400 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).