Mitchell Stumpo

P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 31 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	26	AAAARI	45	43	3.53	4.02	27.3%	16.0%	—	K 24.0% · BB 16.8% · FIP 4.55
2023	27	MIX2 levels	42	44	9.20	6.85	25.3%	20.1%	—	K 20.6% · BB 20.8% · FIP 6.35
2024	28	MIX2 levels	41	42	6.00	4.48	25.5%	8.7%	—	K 22.6% · BB 7.1% · FIP 4.77
2027PROJ	31	MLBARI	18	19	4.28	4.28	23.2%	8.5%	0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	32	MLBARI	6	6	4.42	4.51	22.7%	9.0%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Mike Broadway (age 31) · Mark Serrano (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 98

ERA4.28

FIP4.28

K%23.2%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%14.7%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	23	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	2	0	2	11	3	0	0	0%	1.0	27.3%	0.0%	27.3%	0.0%	9.00	0.80	—
2019	23	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	2	0	2	11	3	0	0	0%	1.0	27.3%	0.0%	27.3%	0.0%	9.00	0.10	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	36	0	51	202	66	13	6	0%	1.4	25.6%	8.0%	17.7%	3.7%	2.63	3.97	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	36	0	51	202	66	13	6	0%	1.4	32.7%	6.4%	26.2%	3.0%	2.63	2.81	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	45	0	43	187	51	30	4	0%	1.0	24.0%	16.8%	7.2%	2.4%	3.53	4.55	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	45	0	43	187	51	30	4	0%	1.0	27.3%	16.0%	11.2%	2.1%	3.53	4.02	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	44	229	58	46	11	0%	1.0	20.6%	20.8%	-0.2%	4.3%	9.20	6.35	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	44	229	58	46	11	0%	1.0	25.3%	20.1%	5.2%	4.8%	9.20	6.85	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	42	184	47	16	8	0%	1.0	22.6%	7.1%	15.5%	4.9%	6.00	4.77	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	42	184	47	16	8	0%	1.0	22.6%	7.1%	15.5%	4.9%	6.00	4.77	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	42	184	47	16	8	0%	1.0	25.5%	8.7%	16.8%	4.3%	6.00	4.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	ARI	18	0	19	80	19	7	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.5%	14.7%	3.1%	4.28	4.28	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	9.0%	13.8%	3.3%	4.42	4.51	+0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	ARI	6	0	6	25	6	2	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	9.0%	13.8%	3.3%	4.42	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	2	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	9.0%	13.8%	3.3%	4.42	4.13	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	64	32	0%	1.1	22.7%	9.0%	13.8%	3.3%	4.42	4.13	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		166	0	183	813	188	108	31	0%	1.1	23.2%	13.3%	9.9%	3.8%	5.27	4.91	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		182	0	200	890	206	118	34	0%	1.1	23.2%	13.3%	9.9%	3.8%	5.27	4.91	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mitchell Stumpo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.28	23.2%	8.5%	3.1%	—	4.51	22.7%	13.8%	20	+0.23	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	87
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	82
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	81
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	80
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	79
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	79
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	79
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	78
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	78
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	76
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	76
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	75
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.27	300	75
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	75
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	74
Grant Sides R 2019 · 3.31 FIP	30	SU	3.31	21.7%	9.8%	1.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	159	74
Gerardo Sanchez R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	30	SU	3.58	20.5%	5.4%	2.8%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.65	137	74
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	74
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2000 · 3.93 FIP	32	SU	3.93	29.4%	9.8%	3.8%	.212	2.88	24.9%	19.3%	161	-1.05	2.76	223	74
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	73