Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 8 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 45.7% | 2.9% | 42.9% | 2.9% | 6.43 | 1.17 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 8 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 45.7% | 2.9% | 42.9% | 2.9% | 6.43 | 0.81 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 41 | 181 | 41 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 2.85 | 3.33 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 41 | 181 | 41 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 0.6% | 2.85 | 2.51 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 51 | 203 | 46 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 1.24 | 3.70 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 51 | 203 | 46 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 1.5% | 1.24 | 3.00 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 62 | 272 | 66 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 2.0% | 4.06 | 3.68 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 62 | 272 | 66 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 1.8% | 4.06 | 3.23 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 40 | 21 | 10 | 0% | 1.4 | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.88 | 5.19 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 40 | 21 | 10 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 4.88 | 5.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SF | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 42 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.5% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.18 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SF | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 42 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.1% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.17 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SF | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SF | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.1% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.17 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SF | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.33 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 50 | 0 | 53 | 222 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.21 | 4.91 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 129 | 87 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.21 | 4.91 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 181 | 0 | 220 | 946 | 170 | 84 | 21 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 3.48 | 3.93 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 165 | 0 | 200 | 860 | 155 | 77 | 19 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 3.48 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Myrick (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.18 | 14.5% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 5.27 | 15.3% | 4.9% | 128 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 92 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.23 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 3.92 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 68 | -1.31 | 3.92 | 256 | 88 |
| Eder Llamas R 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.20 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.71 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.49 | 3.27 | 171 | 88 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 117 | 87 |
| Collin Balester R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.25 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.40 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -0.85 | 3.40 | 116 | 87 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 86 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 85 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2024 · 5.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.20 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 104 | 85 |
| Jose Casilla R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 85 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 84 |
| Benjamin Sandoval R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.89 | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.27 | 5.8% | -5.7% | 62 | +0.38 | 4.89 | 146 | 83 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .256 | 2.88 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.51 | 2.54 | 130 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 83 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.62 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 82 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.11 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 5.81 | 16.3% | 3.1% | 79 | +0.70 | 4.49 | 215 | 81 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 81 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.27 | 18.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 164 | +0.82 | 3.76 | 399 | 80 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2028 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.75 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | .292 | 4.46 | 11.6% | 2.4% | 107 | -0.29 | 4.11 | 156 | 80 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 15.0% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |