Hunter McMahon

P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	24	MIX3 levels	43	1	74	2.81	3.10	27.1%	5.7%	—	K 21.2% · BB 5.5% · FIP 3.68
2023	25	MIX2 levels	47	2	72	5.90	3.95	20.3%	7.6%	—	K 16.5% · BB 8.0% · FIP 4.24
2024	26	AAMIN	8	0	14	5.65	4.77	7.0%	3.5%	—	K 5.7% · BB 3.9% · FIP 5.84
2027PROJ	29	MLBMIN	8	0	8	4.44	4.44	20.8%	8.3%	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBMIN	6	0	6	4.53	4.60	20.7%	8.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsNeil Wagner (age 29) · Tyler Sturdevant (age 29) · Diego Moreno (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 101

ERA4.44

FIP4.44

K%20.8%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%12.5%

Proj IP8

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	2	0	5	19	4	0	0	0%	2.3	21.1%	0.0%	21.1%	0.0%	0.00	1.32	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	2	0	5	19	4	0	0	0%	2.3	21.1%	0.0%	21.1%	0.0%	0.00	1.39	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	3	20	82	24	4	0	60%	4.0	19.7%	6.3%	13.4%	0.0%	2.70	2.23	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	3	20	82	24	4	0	60%	4.0	29.3%	4.9%	24.4%	0.0%	2.70	1.30	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	1	74	280	76	16	8	2%	1.7	21.2%	5.5%	15.8%	3.1%	2.81	3.68	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	1	74	280	76	16	8	2%	1.7	27.1%	5.7%	21.4%	2.9%	2.81	3.10	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	2	72	316	64	24	9	4%	1.5	16.5%	8.0%	8.5%	2.8%	5.90	4.24	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	2	72	316	64	24	9	4%	1.5	20.3%	7.6%	12.7%	2.8%	5.90	3.95	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	8	0	14	57	4	2	2	0%	1.8	5.7%	3.9%	1.8%	5.0%	5.65	5.84	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	8	0	14	57	4	2	2	0%	1.8	5.7%	3.9%	1.8%	5.0%	5.65	5.84	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	8	0	14	57	4	2	2	0%	1.8	7.0%	3.5%	3.5%	3.5%	5.65	4.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	MIN	8	0	8	34	7	3	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	8.3%	12.5%	3.0%	4.44	4.44	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	17	7	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	3.2%	4.53	4.60	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIN	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	3.2%	4.53	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	2	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	3.2%	4.53	4.22	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	64	32	0%	1.1	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	3.2%	4.53	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		105	6	184	754	135	48	20	6%	1.8	17.9%	6.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.15	3.86	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	7	200	818	147	52	22	6%	1.8	17.9%	6.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.15	3.86	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter McMahon (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	20.8%	8.3%	3.0%	—	4.60	20.7%	12.0%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	86
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	83
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	83
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	81
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	80
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	79
Brian Sanches R 2008 · 4.74 FIP	29	SU	4.74	18.5%	9.3%	3.7%	.378	4.01	20.5%	10.8%	182	-0.73	3.39	229	79
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	78
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	78
Tyler Walker R 2005 · 4.19 FIP	29	SU	4.19	19.4%	7.5%	3.2%	.303	3.61	19.7%	11.3%	93	-0.58	2.38	289	77
Jeremy Fikac R 2004 · 4.91 FIP	29	SU	4.91	19.6%	8.0%	4.5%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	136	77
Joel Peralta R 2005 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.7%	8.3%	4.1%	.227	4.27	18.0%	13.3%	214	-0.40	2.70	648	77
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	76
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	76
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	76
Evan Scribner R 2013 · 4.06 FIP	28	SU	4.06	16.7%	6.1%	2.9%	.271	4.59	26.9%	25.2%	60	+0.53	3.23	136	76
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	76
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	76