Jake Guenther
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+TEX | 358 | .256/.346/.383 | 9 | 3 | 65 | — | .211/.286/.315 |
| 2022 | 25 | A+TEX | 122 | .181/.283/.333 | 4 | 1 | 20 | — | .128/.208/.239 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 358 | 308 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 256 | 346 | 383 | 729 | 127 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 325 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 122 | 105 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 283 | 333 | 617 | 152 | 217 | 28 | 9 | 279 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 358 | 317 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 98 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 211 | 286 | 315 | 601 | 104 | 259 | 27 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 122 | 109 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 208 | 239 | 447 | 110 | 171 | 36 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 358 | 317 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 98 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 211 | 286 | 315 | 601 | 104 | 272 | 27 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 358 | 308 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 256 | 346 | 383 | 729 | 127 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 325 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 122 | 109 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 128 | 208 | 239 | 447 | 110 | 172 | 36 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 122 | 105 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 283 | 333 | 617 | 152 | 217 | 28 | 9 | 279 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 358 | 322 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 98 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 208 | 286 | 311 | 596 | 102 | 259 | 27 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 122 | 110 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 127 | 208 | 236 | 445 | 109 | 171 | 36 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 480 | 426 | 81 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 142 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 190 | 266 | 296 | 562 | 106 | 249 | 30 | 6 | 247 | 53 | -27 | -1 | +0 | -9 | +10 | -2.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 110 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 41 | 192 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 191 | 267 | 296 | 564 | 106 | 249 | 30 | 6 | 247 | 53 | -36 | -2 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 A+Hickory Crawdads · 122 PAwOBA .276 → .198 (−78)K% 27.9% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.87% | ÷1.007 | ×1.310 | — | — | 36.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.02% | ÷0.985 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.49% | ÷1.039 | ×0.870 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 12.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | ×0.974 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.123 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 4.32% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .276 → .198; ISO .152 → .113; BABIP .217 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hickory Crawdads · 358 PAwOBA .322 → .264 (−58)K% 20.1% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.11% | ÷0.990 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.94% | ÷0.964 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.79% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.58% | ÷1.024 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 21.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.011 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.81% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 3.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .322 → .264; ISO .127 → .108; BABIP .300 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).