Naoyuki Uwasawa — OGILVIE

Naoyuki Uwasawa P Worcester Red Sox

Age 33 RHP 6'1" / 194 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 37 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 115

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%15.0%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%4.6%

ROS IP37

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

FB (21%)

CU (8%)

SL (2%)

CT (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	6	63	295	50	38	8	27%	2.9	14.5%	11.6%	2.9%	3.2%	7.29	5.09	-0.4
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	6	63	295	50	38	8	27%	2.9	14.5%	11.6%	2.9%	3.2%	7.29	5.09	-0.4
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	6	63	295	50	38	8	27%	2.9	16.9%	12.9%	4.1%	2.7%	7.29	4.97	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	4	16	3	2	0	0%	2.0	18.8%	12.5%	6.2%	0.0%	2.25	3.10	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	BOS	35	0	37	156	23	16	5	0%	1.1	15.0%	10.4%	4.6%	3.0%	5.18	5.18	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	BOS	32	0	34	143	22	15	5	0%	1.1	15.3%	10.8%	4.5%	3.3%	5.26	5.37	-0.3
2028	34	MLB CTX	BOS	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	15.3%	10.8%	4.5%	3.3%	5.26	5.37	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	0	6	24	4	3	0	0%	1.5	17.6%	11.9%	5.7%	1.1%	3.21	3.72	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		129	0	200	814	136	102	0	0%	1.6	17.6%	11.9%	5.7%	1.1%	3.21	3.72	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		22	6	63	295	43	34	9	27%	2.9	14.5%	11.6%	2.9%	3.2%	7.29	5.09	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	19	200	937	136	109	30	27%	2.9	14.5%	11.6%	2.9%	3.2%	7.29	5.09	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Naoyuki Uwasawa (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	15.0%	10.4%	3.0%	—	5.37	15.3%	4.5%	34	+0.19	—	—	—
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	76
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	76
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	75
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	74
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	74
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	71
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2017 · 5.96 FIP	32	SW	5.96	10.0%	13.0%	3.8%	.316	4.50	21.3%	16.2%	15	-1.46	3.39	212	71
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	68
Angel Castro R 2016 · 5.42 FIP	33	SW	5.42	12.3%	9.1%	4.0%	.304	3.51	14.5%	7.1%	139	-1.91	3.51	292	67
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	66
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	66
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	64
Jhan Mariñez R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	33	SU	5.36	17.4%	11.4%	4.2%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	63
JC Ramírez R 2022 · 6.17 FIP	33	SU	6.17	15.7%	14.0%	4.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	63
Fernando Villalobos R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	32	SU	4.70	10.6%	8.0%	2.7%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	152	63
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	63
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	60
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	60
Tony Fiore R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	31	SU	5.17	14.3%	12.4%	3.1%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	142	60
Luis Angel Daniel R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	32	SU	4.16	9.8%	9.5%	1.2%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	156	59

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	15.3%	10.7%	1.16	5.06
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26