Devin Sweet

P Worcester Red Sox

Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 183 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	28	AAAPHI	46	2	51	5.08	4.79	21.2%	11.7%	—	K 18.2% · BB 10.5% · FIP 5.10
2026	29	AAABOS	43	8	62	4.91	5.31	17.7%	12.7%	—	K 15.2% · BB 11.4% · FIP 5.40
2027PROJ	30	MLBBOS	65	0	68	5.45	5.45	17.2%	11.9%	-0.7
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBBOS	22	0	23	5.46	5.54	17.5%	12.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBBOS	30	0	32	5.55	5.67	17.5%	12.2%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control45Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsWirfin Obispo (age 30) · Angel Castro (age 32) · Grant Black (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%17.2%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%5.3%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4040

SL-0.7

FB-0.7

CH-2.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	11	49	13	3	1	0%	1.3	26.5%	6.1%	20.4%	2.0%	5.56	2.76	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	0	11	49	13	3	1	0%	1.3	26.5%	6.1%	20.4%	2.0%	5.56	2.75	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	15	127	509	152	27	9	44%	3.7	22.2%	6.2%	16.0%	2.3%	2.76	3.29	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	15	127	509	152	27	9	44%	3.7	29.9%	5.3%	24.6%	1.8%	2.76	2.27	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	25	13	80	345	93	29	18	52%	3.2	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	7.0%	4.74	6.28	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	25	13	80	345	93	29	18	52%	3.2	27.0%	8.4%	18.6%	5.2%	4.74	4.79	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	43	0	58	248	68	23	9	0%	1.3	22.2%	10.2%	12.0%	4.8%	5.28	5.15	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	43	0	58	248	68	23	9	0%	1.3	27.4%	9.3%	18.1%	3.6%	5.28	3.96	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	53	218	63	17	8	0%	1.2	28.0%	6.5%	21.5%	1.0%	3.59	2.12	+1.5
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	0	53	218	63	17	8	0%	1.2	28.9%	7.8%	21.1%	3.7%	3.59	3.65	+0.6
2024	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	52	4	76	327	111	35	11	8%	1.5	29.2%	9.6%	19.6%	4.7%	3.91	4.42	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	52	4	76	327	111	35	11	8%	1.5	29.2%	9.6%	19.6%	4.7%	3.91	4.42	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	52	4	76	327	111	35	11	8%	1.5	33.9%	10.7%	23.2%	3.4%	3.91	3.44	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	2	51	231	49	27	8	4%	1.1	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	4.0%	5.08	5.10	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	2	51	231	49	27	8	4%	1.1	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	4.0%	5.08	5.10	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	46	2	51	231	49	27	8	4%	1.1	21.2%	11.7%	9.5%	3.5%	5.08	4.79	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	43	8	62	283	50	36	10	19%	1.4	15.2%	11.4%	3.7%	3.9%	4.91	5.40	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	43	8	62	283	50	36	10	19%	1.4	15.2%	11.4%	3.7%	3.9%	4.91	5.40	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	43	8	62	283	50	36	10	19%	1.4	17.7%	12.7%	4.9%	3.5%	4.91	5.31	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			7	0	9	43	6	6	4	0%	1.2	14.0%	14.0%	0.0%	9.3%	10.38	9.79	-0.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	BOS	65	0	68	287	50	34	10	0%	1.0	17.2%	11.9%	5.3%	3.5%	5.45	5.45	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	BOS	60	0	63	267	47	32	10	0%	1.1	17.5%	12.0%	5.4%	3.7%	5.46	5.54	-0.7
2029	32	MLB MLE	BOS	56	0	59	247	43	30	10	0%	1.0	17.5%	12.2%	5.3%	3.9%	5.55	5.67	-0.7
2028	31	MLB CTX	BOS	22	0	23	97	17	12	4	0%	1.0	17.5%	12.0%	5.4%	3.7%	5.46	5.54	-0.3
2029	32	MLB CTX	BOS	30	0	32	135	24	16	5	0%	1.1	17.5%	12.2%	5.3%	3.9%	5.55	5.67	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	64	278	47	34	13	0%	1.1	16.9%	12.4%	4.5%	4.6%	6.17	5.79	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	864	146	106	40	0%	1.1	16.9%	12.4%	4.5%	4.6%	6.17	5.79	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		295	42	519	2210	498	194	87	14%	1.8	22.5%	8.8%	13.8%	3.9%	4.15	4.47	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	16	200	852	192	75	33	14%	1.8	22.5%	8.8%	13.8%	3.9%	4.15	4.47	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Devin Sweet (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	17.2%	11.9%	3.5%	—	5.60	17.5%	5.3%	122	+0.15	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	77
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	76
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	76
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	75
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	74
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	74
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	73
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	72
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	71
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	70
Hector Velázquez R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	30	SW	4.82	19.6%	12.3%	3.3%	.292	3.81	19.2%	10.9%	25	-1.01	2.75	536	70
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	70
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	70
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	69
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	69
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	68
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	68
Jeff Gray R 2012 · 5.43 FIP	30	SU	5.43	11.0%	9.3%	3.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	127	68
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	17.2%	12.1%	1.53	5.70
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Dave Stevens ('00)	1.3	50	14.6%	11.3%	1.76	6.02
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Phil Hennigan ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.4	70	20.9%*	10.4%*	1.50*	4.95*