Luis Chevalier3B ACL Royals
Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .279 / .308
PA89
HR1
K%29
BB%8
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.2+$4M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKDSL Mariners 4438 4100 4201 11 105209132341 26222 459 146 -30
201917 ROKDSL Mariners 4436 5100 6141 11 139279167446 28227 3214 223 29
202119 ROKACL Mariners 168151 25313 14512 20 166246258504 93224 308 224 30
202119 ROKACL Mariners 168140 31413 25352 20 221347329676 107272 2115 314 98
202220 A2 teams 6659 4000 7330 21 6816768234 154 5011 131 -41
202220 A2 teams 6656 6000 10240 21 107242107350 188 3615 188 2
202321 ROK2 teams 10086 20202 13220 54 233333326659 93286 2213 292 82
202321 ROK2 teams 10078 23302 21160 54 295444410855 115344 1621 390 156
202422 ROKACL Reds 126107 17312 14353 21 159274262536 103214 2811 245 46
202422 ROKACL Reds 12698 24623 23243 21 245403439842 194296 1918 375 145
202523 ROKACL Royals 6055 10411 3192 00 182250345595 164257 325 225 30
202523 ROKACL Royals 6054 13611 4132 00 241317444761 204300 227 336 116
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBKC 8981 17311 7251 10 210281309590 99285 288 269 64 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBKC 30% 154138 29513 13432 21 210288326614 116286 288 278 71 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
202826 MLBKC 44% 252226 49925 21693 31 217292341633 124287 278 283 75 -7 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.1
202927 MLBKC 49% 310278 601126 26853 41 216290335624 119287 278 286 77 -8 +0 +0 +1 +9 0.2
203028 MLBKC 51% 348312 681327 29954 51 218293340632 122286 278 285 77 -9 +1 -1 +1 +10 0.2
203129 MLBKC 51% 364326 701327 311004 41 215291331622 117285 279 283 75 -10 +0 -1 +1 +10 0.0
202725 MLBKC 30% 4642 9201 4130 10 214283333616 119283 289 267 62 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202826 MLBKC 44% 111100 22412 9311 20 220291340631 120283 288 272 66 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.0
202927 MLBKC 49% 152136 29513 13422 21 213291331622 118283 289 274 68 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
203028 MLBKC 51% 179160 35614 15492 21 219294344638 125283 278 274 68 -6 +0 -0 +1 +5 -0.1
203129 MLBKC 51% 187167 35614 16522 21 210286329616 120282 289 272 66 -7 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 675605 13023414 571877 93 215290336626 121284 288 273 67 -25 +1 -1 +2 +19 -0.4
/ 162G 650583 12522413 551807 93 214290333623 118284 288 273 67 -24 +1 -1 +2 +18 -0.4
Career 20811857 373671337 18259725 3112 201281311592 110273 299 267 62 -88 +1 -2 +7 +59 -2.3
/ 162G 650580 11721412 571868 104 202282314596 112273 299 267 62 -28 +0 -1 +2 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKDSL Mariners 4436 5100 6141 11 139279167446 28227 3214 223 29 -4 -0 +1 -0.3
202119 ROKACL Mariners 168140 31413 25352 20 221347329676 107272 2115 314 98 -0 +0 +5 0.5
202220 ADaytona Tortugas 4840 4000 8190 11 100250100350 190 4017 192 5 -5 -0 +1 -0.4
202220 ROKACL Reds 1816 2000 250 10 125222125347 182 2811 178 -5 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202321 A+Dayton Dragons 3025 5001 560 10 200333320653 120222 2017 306 93 -0 +0 +1 0.1
202321 ROKACL Reds 7053 18301 16100 44 340493453946 113395 1423 425 184 +7 -1 +2 0.8
202422 ROKACL Reds 12698 24623 23243 21 245403439842 194296 1918 375 145 +6 +0 +4 1.0
202523 ROKACL Royals 6054 13611 4132 00 241317444761 204300 227 336 116 +1 +0 +2 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
37651510217288336+3+20.20.2
/162664139+2.4+1.30.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Chevalier (OGILVIE) 24 207/279/308 102285 11 29% 8% 64 -0.1
Skye Bolt
2018 · A
24 40→39 42→50 46→50 39 194/249/303 109285 88 34% 6% 49 -1.8 203/265/337 134296 1312 34% 7% 65 -0.7 238/304/382144312161228%7%89+0.4
Patrick Bailey
2023 · A
24 39→49 45 47→45 46 196/270/318 122268 135 31% 9% 63 -0.9 229/290/349 120305 125 27% 8% 79 +0.3 235/295/35111631112427%7%79+0.2
James Free
2022 · A
24 40→44 40→45 48→30 43 192/262/286 94293 76 35% 8% 50 -1.7 219/273/345 126297 153 30% 6% 71 -0.3 224/277/36113729118129%6%74-0.1
Elih Marrero
2021 · A
24 43 39→40 49→55 44 209/265/293 84274 67 25% 7% 53 -1.5 210/281/284 74303 421 29% 8% 58 -1.2 201/279/2636229632730%9%50-0.6
Hutton Moyer
2016 · A
23 39→43 42→55 50 36 194/252/305 111271 97 31% 4% 51 -1.7 207/256/343 136305 1513 36% 5% 63 -0.8 199/246/342143292171537%4%55-0.6
Chase Simpson
2016 · A
24 41→37 42→45 51→45 45 199/269/307 108284 96 32% 8% 59 -1.1 190/254/306 116279 106 34% 7% 53 -1.5 164/230/28412023810334%7%34-1.1
Chase Strumpf
2022 · AA
24 42→36 43→50 48→45 44 203/282/318 115297 117 33% 8% 68 -0.5 193/294/347 154320 185 41% 11% 82 +0.5 177/286/33615829620343%11%72-0.1
Chris Meyers
2023 · A
24 42→44 44→55 51→45 42 209/269/330 121281 129 29% 7% 65 -0.7 226/282/380 154300 195 30% 6% 84 +0.6 223/282/38015729120330%6%81+0.3
Trei Cruz
2023 · AA
25 37→47 42→45 51→50 49 181/275/288 107278 913 35% 11% 57 -1.2 204/280/326 122294 1210 32% 9% 69 -0.4 223/300/348125306121029%9%81+0.3
Eloy Gutierrez
2009 · AAA
24 39→49 44→45 50 39 194/250/312 117276 1110 33% 6% 52 -1.6 242/300/338 96332 812 27% 7% 79 +0.3 244/304/3237933961328%7%73-0.1
Shayne Fontana
2022 · AA
25 40 41→45 48→55 46 193/273/296 103282 88 32% 9% 58 -1.2 214/297/319 105298 1014 29% 9% 75 -0.0 219/304/31898295101927%8%75-0.0
Noah Campbell
2023 · AA
24 46→45 39→45 51→50 45 213/290/305 92318 613 32% 9% 67 -0.5 217/301/327 110351 89 36% 10% 78 +0.2 211/305/3241133518638%11%74-0.0
James Boone
2007 · A
24 42 37→45 51→50 41 198/266/268 70302 510 34% 7% 48 -1.9 208/267/320 112281 127 29% 6% 62 -0.9 195/253/30410926113630%5%50-0.8
Dwanya Williams-Sutton
2021 · A
24 41 41→45 50 45 190/309/282 92303 810 35% 10% 72 -0.2 207/308/334 127335 1413 39% 9% 85 +0.7 165/295/298133275171841%11%70-0.1
Jose Herrera
2021 · A
24 43 41→40 47→40 50 209/287/310 100280 85 27% 10% 68 -0.5 214/287/309 95287 95 27% 9% 66 -0.6 207/283/288812738326%9%57-0.6
Grant Witherspoon
2021 · A
24 39→45 39→50 52→50 39 192/242/278 86277 713 32% 6% 39 -2.5 220/275/371 151299 1913 32% 7% 79 +0.3 215/275/371156290201432%7%75+0.0
Tanner Allen
2022 · A
24 40 42→50 44→45 43 202/256/306 104251 107 24% 6% 53 -1.5 204/260/310 106250 107 22% 6% 56 -1.3 201/260/30610524411722%6%50-0.8
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Oliver Dominguez
2013 · A
24 40 40 50→45 45 194/265/290 97275 710 31% 8% 53 -1.5 200/256/298 98292 87 32% 7% 50 -1.7 161/205/243822308033%5%13-1.0
Kyler Fedko
2023 · A
23 43→42 43→50 51→55 47 212/285/327 114283 1010 27% 8% 71 -0.3 202/288/323 121269 1214 28% 10% 72 -0.2 197/277/356159247212329%9%74-0.0