Luis Chevalier

3B ACL Royals

Age 25 S/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	21	A+/ROKCIN	100	.295/.444/.410	2	5	84	—	.233/.333/.326
2024	22	ROKCIN	126	.245/.403/.439	3	2	53	—	.159/.274/.271
2025	23	ROKKC	60	.241/.317/.444	1	0	33	—	.179/.233/.339
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBKC	200	.201/.273/.305	3	2	64	0.0
2028PROJ29% MLB	26	MLBKC	23	.202/.274/.309	0	0	67	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

ISO93

K%50

Whiff%47

wOBA43

wRC+43

Z-Con%27

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .271 / .302

PA47

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	44	36	5	1	0	0	6	14	1	1	1	139	279	167	446	28	227	32	14	223	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	168	140	31	4	1	3	25	35	2	2	0	221	347	329	676	107	272	21	15	314	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	48	40	4	0	0	0	8	19	0	1	1	100	250	100	350		190	40	17	192	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	18	16	2	0	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		182	28	11	178	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	30	25	5	0	0	1	5	6	0	1	0	200	333	320	653	120	222	20	17	306	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	70	53	18	3	0	1	16	10	0	4	4	340	493	453	946	113	395	14	23	425	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK	ACL Reds	—	126	98	24	6	2	3	23	24	3	2	1	245	403	439	842	194	296	19	18	375	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	ACL Royals	—	60	54	13	6	1	1	4	13	2	0	0	241	317	444	761	204	300	22	7	336	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	44	38	4	1	0	0	4	17	1	1	1	105	209	132	341	26	154	39	9	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	168	150	25	3	1	3	15	51	2	2	0	167	251	260	511	93	219	30	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	48	42	3	0	0	0	6	25	0	1	1	71	188	71	259		178	52	12	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	18	17	1	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	59	111	59	170		145	39	6	115	-36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	30	26	5	0	0	1	4	8	0	1	0	192	300	308	608	115	213	27	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	70	60	15	2	0	1	9	14	0	4	4	250	348	333	681	83	308	20	13	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	126	107	17	4	1	2	14	35	3	2	1	159	274	271	545	112	210	28	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	60	56	10	4	1	1	2	19	2	0	0	179	233	339	573	161	219	32	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	44	38	4	1	0	0	4	17	1	1	1	105	209	132	341	26	190	39	9	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	44	36	5	1	0	0	6	14	1	1	1	139	279	167	446	28	227	32	14	223	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	168	150	25	3	1	3	15	51	2	2	0	167	251	260	511	93	227	30	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	168	140	31	4	1	3	25	35	2	2	0	221	347	329	676	107	272	21	15	314	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	66	59	4	0	0	0	7	32	0	2	1	68	167	68	234		148	48	11	132	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	66	56	6	0	0	0	10	24	0	2	1	107	242	107	350		188	36	15	188	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	100	86	20	2	0	2	13	22	0	5	4	233	333	326	659	93	286	22	13	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	100	78	23	3	0	2	21	16	0	5	4	295	444	410	855	115	344	16	21	390	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	126	107	17	4	1	2	14	35	3	2	1	159	274	271	545	112	214	28	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	126	98	24	6	2	3	23	24	3	2	1	245	403	439	842	194	296	19	18	375	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	60	56	10	4	1	1	2	19	2	0	0	179	233	339	573	161	250	32	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	60	54	13	6	1	1	4	13	2	0	0	241	317	444	761	204	300	22	7	336	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	44	39	4	1	0	0	4	17	1	1	1	103	209	128	338	26	154	39	9	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	168	149	25	3	1	3	15	51	2	2	0	168	251	262	513	94	219	30	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	66	59	4	0	0	0	7	32	0	2	1	68	167	68	234		169	48	11	132	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	100	87	20	2	0	2	13	22	0	5	4	230	333	322	655	92	279	22	13	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	126	108	17	4	1	2	14	35	3	2	1	157	274	269	543	111	210	28	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	60	56	10	4	1	1	2	19	2	0	0	179	233	339	573	161	219	32	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	126	108	17	4	1	2	14	35	3	2	1	157	274	269	543	111	210	28	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	60	56	10	4	1	1	2	19	2	0	0	179	233	339	573	161	219	32	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	KC	0%	200	181	37	7	2	3	15	61	2	2	1	201	273	305	578	104	285	30	8	263	64	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	29%	80	73	15	3	1	1	6	24	1	1	0	204	276	314	589	109	285	30	8	267	67	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	29%	23	21	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	202	274	309	583	107	284	30	9	265	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	23	21	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	190	261	238	499	48	286	30	9	265	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	113	28	0	0	57	198	0	0	0	191	262	238	499	47	286	30	9	265	43	-26	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	691	611	104	19	4	10	65	214	10	14	7	170	261	264	524	93	242	31	9	231	43	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	98	18	4	9	61	201	9	13	7	170	260	263	523	92	243	31	9	231	43	-26	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Royals · 60 PAwOBA .327 → .217 (−111)K% 21.7% → 31.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.67%	÷0.985	×1.440	—	—	31.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷0.971	×0.620	—	×0.965	4.11%
HBP% /PA	3.33%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	2.32%
Singles /BIP	12.20%	÷1.019	×0.820	—	×0.965	9.47%
Doubles /BIP	14.63%	÷0.975	×0.720	—	×0.965	10.43%
Triples /BIP	2.44%	÷1.070	×0.720	—	×0.965	1.58%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷0.939	×0.780	—	×0.965	1.95%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 114, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .327 → .217; ISO .204 → .134; BABIP .300 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Reds · 126 PAwOBA .366 → .246 (−119)K% 19.0% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.05%	÷0.989	×1.440	—	—	27.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.25%	÷1.005	×0.620	—	×0.975	10.98%
HBP% /PA	2.38%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	1.67%
Singles /BIP	17.57%	÷0.970	×0.820	×0.965	×0.975	13.97%
Doubles /BIP	8.11%	÷1.144	×0.720	×0.965	×0.975	4.80%
Triples /BIP	2.70%	÷1.144	×0.720	×0.965	×0.975	1.60%
Home runs /BIP	4.05%	÷1.063	×0.780	—	×0.975	2.90%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 94, 2B 129, 3B 129, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .366 → .246; ISO .194 → .128; BABIP .296 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Reds · 70 PAwOBA .422 → .312 (−109)K% 14.3% → 20.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.027	×1.440	—	—	20.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.86%	÷1.040	×0.620	—	×0.985	13.42%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Singles /BIP	32.56%	÷1.004	×0.820	—	×0.985	26.19%
Doubles /BIP	6.98%	÷1.038	×0.720	—	×0.985	4.76%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷1.059	×0.780	—	×0.985	1.69%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .422 → .312; ISO .113 → .086; BABIP .395 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Dayton Dragons · 30 PAwOBA .299 → .250 (−49)K% 20.0% → 26.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.975	×1.270	—	—	26.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.020	×0.710	—	×1.027	11.91%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.05%	÷0.979	×0.920	—	×1.027	20.31%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.027	×0.810	—	×1.027	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.916	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷0.951	×0.800	—	×1.027	4.55%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 83, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .299 → .250; ISO .120 → .102; BABIP .222 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ADaytona Tortugas · 48 PAwOBA .188 → .138 (−50)K% 39.6% → 52.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.58%	÷1.021	×1.360	—	—	52.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×1.030	12.02%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷1.016	×0.920	—	×1.030	17.76%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.028	×0.830	—	×1.030	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.016	×0.910	—	×1.030	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.883	×0.800	—	×1.030	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 103, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .188 → .138; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .190 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Reds · 18 PAwOBA .174 → .115 (−59)K% 27.8% → 39.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.78%	÷1.005	×1.440	—	—	39.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.11%	÷1.011	×0.620	—	×0.995	6.78%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷1.022	×0.820	—	×0.995	14.51%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.035	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.983	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.970	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .174 → .115; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Mariners · 168 PAwOBA .306 → .222 (−84)K% 20.8% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.83%	÷0.996	×1.440	—	—	30.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.29%	÷1.024	×0.620	—	×1.008	8.72%
HBP% /PA	1.19%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.86%
Singles /BIP	21.90%	÷0.992	×0.820	×0.993	×1.008	18.12%
Doubles /BIP	3.81%	÷1.030	×0.720	×0.993	×1.008	2.67%
Triples /BIP	0.95%	÷0.904	×0.720	×0.993	×1.008	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	2.86%	÷0.904	×0.780	—	×1.008	2.48%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 98, 2B 106, 3B 81, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .306 → .222; ISO .107 → .084; BABIP .272 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 DSLDSL Mariners · 44 PAwOBA .219 → .152 (−67)K% 31.8% → 38.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.82%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	38.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.64%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.022	9.76%
HBP% /PA	2.27%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.63%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.022	12.64%
Doubles /BIP	4.55%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.022	2.79%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .219 → .152; ISO .028 → .017; BABIP .227 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).