Justin Jones
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROKOrem Owlz | 166 | .229/.349/.321 | 2 | 7 | 35 | — | .168/.253/.221 |
| 2019 | 23 | ABurlington Be… | 364 | .260/.362/.391 | 10 | 11 | 59 | — | .202/.279/.306 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 166 | 140 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 349 | 321 | 671 | 93 | 261 | 14 | 13 | 315 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 364 | 312 | 81 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 69 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 260 | 362 | 391 | 753 | 131 | 302 | 19 | 12 | 341 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 166 | 149 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 168 | 253 | 221 | 474 | 54 | 203 | 20 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 364 | 327 | 66 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 202 | 279 | 306 | 585 | 104 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 166 | 149 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 168 | 253 | 221 | 474 | 54 | 209 | 20 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 166 | 140 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 349 | 321 | 671 | 93 | 261 | 14 | 13 | 315 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 364 | 327 | 66 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 202 | 279 | 306 | 585 | 104 | 258 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 364 | 312 | 81 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 69 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 260 | 362 | 391 | 753 | 131 | 302 | 19 | 12 | 341 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 166 | 148 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 169 | 253 | 223 | 476 | 54 | 203 | 20 | 8 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 364 | 326 | 66 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 202 | 279 | 307 | 586 | 104 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 530 | 476 | 91 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 129 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 191 | 271 | 279 | 550 | 88 | 241 | 24 | 8 | 244 | 51 | -31 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +11 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 112 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 49 | 158 | 15 | 22 | 6 | 192 | 272 | 281 | 552 | 89 | 242 | 24 | 8 | 244 | 51 | -38 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 ABurlington Bees · 364 PAwOBA .335 → .255 (−80)K% 19.0% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.96% | ÷0.973 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.081 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 21.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.017 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.967 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷0.960 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 3.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 103, 3B 93, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .255; ISO .131 → .105; BABIP .302 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKOrem Owlz · 166 PAwOBA .307 → .220 (−88)K% 13.9% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 7.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.41% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.975 | 15.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.975 | 4.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 1.25% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .307 → .220; ISO .093 → .067; BABIP .261 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).