Jack Patterson

P South Bend Cubs

Age 31 LHP 6'0" / 210 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2018	22	ROKAZL Cubs 2	10	5	30	2.70	3.40	21.6%	6.4%	—	K 14.7% · BB 8.0% · FIP 4.72
2019	23	MIX3 levels	24	9	80	1.69	2.42	25.6%	9.9%	—	K 19.4% · BB 11.5% · FIP 3.10
2024	28	MIX3 levels	20	0	29	5.65	3.48	25.4%	16.4%	—	K 17.4% · BB 20.5% · FIP 5.13
2027PROJ	31	MLBCHC	10	0	10	4.71	4.71	22.5%	11.8%	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	32	MLBCHC	6	0	6	4.80	4.89	22.2%	11.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Andrew Barbosa (age 29) · Luke Westphal (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106115vR 123

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%22.5%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%10.8%

Proj IP10

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	10	5	30	125	27	8	3	50%	3.0	14.7%	8.0%	6.7%	3.4%	2.70	4.72	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	10	5	30	125	27	8	3	50%	3.0	21.6%	6.4%	15.2%	2.4%	2.70	3.40	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	9	80	312	80	31	1	38%	3.3	19.4%	11.5%	7.9%	0.3%	1.69	3.10	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	9	80	312	80	31	1	38%	3.3	25.6%	9.9%	15.7%	0.3%	1.69	2.42	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	0	29	134	34	22	1	0%	1.4	17.4%	20.5%	-3.1%	1.6%	5.65	5.13	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	0	29	134	34	22	1	0%	1.4	17.4%	20.5%	-3.1%	1.6%	5.65	5.13	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	0	29	134	34	22	1	0%	1.4	25.4%	16.4%	9.0%	0.7%	5.65	3.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	CHC	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.8%	10.8%	3.0%	4.71	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.2%	11.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.80	4.89	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	11.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.80	4.89	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	11.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.80	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	22.2%	11.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.80	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		54	14	138	571	102	73	7	26%	2.6	17.9%	12.9%	5.1%	1.3%	2.73	3.93	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	20	200	826	148	106	11	26%	2.6	17.9%	12.9%	5.1%	1.3%	2.73	3.93	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Patterson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	22.5%	11.8%	3.0%	—	4.89	22.2%	10.3%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	73
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	71
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	69
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	68
Jason Gurka L 2019 · 5.13 FIP	31	SW	5.13	15.5%	7.6%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	183	67
Nick Hagadone L 2017 · 3.74 FIP	31	SU	3.74	22.6%	9.3%	2.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	141	65
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	64
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	64
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	63
David Purcey L 2013 · 3.79 FIP	31	SU	3.79	20.4%	11.5%	1.7%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	206	63
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	62
George Sherrill L 2008 · 3.86 FIP	31	SU	3.86	24.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.277	3.38	20.6%	12.4%	141	-0.48	2.74	323	62
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	62
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	62
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	62
Randy Flores L 2006 · 4.00 FIP	31	SU	4.00	20.4%	9.7%	2.5%	.333	3.30	18.1%	10.5%	93	-0.70	2.51	250	62
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	61
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	60
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	59
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	239	59