Matt Cogen
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROKOgden Raptors | 238 | .316/.408/.553 | 9 | 3 | 86 | — | .229/.294/.381 |
| 2019 | 23 | ALAD | 187 | .207/.297/.256 | 0 | 1 | 19 | — | .165/.232/.206 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 238 | 206 | 65 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 316 | 408 | 553 | 961 | 238 | 350 | 16 | 12 | 420 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 187 | 164 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 297 | 256 | 553 | 49 | 276 | 23 | 10 | 259 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 238 | 218 | 50 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 294 | 381 | 675 | 151 | 276 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 187 | 170 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 232 | 206 | 438 | 41 | 234 | 30 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 238 | 218 | 50 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 294 | 381 | 675 | 151 | 277 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 238 | 206 | 65 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 316 | 408 | 553 | 961 | 238 | 350 | 16 | 12 | 420 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 187 | 170 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 232 | 206 | 438 | 41 | 241 | 30 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 187 | 164 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 297 | 256 | 553 | 49 | 276 | 23 | 10 | 259 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 238 | 216 | 50 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 231 | 294 | 384 | 678 | 153 | 276 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 187 | 170 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 232 | 206 | 438 | 41 | 234 | 30 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 425 | 388 | 78 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 201 | 267 | 304 | 571 | 103 | 262 | 26 | 7 | 252 | 57 | -22 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 119 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 167 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 201 | 267 | 302 | 569 | 101 | 262 | 26 | 7 | 252 | 57 | -33 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AGreat Lakes Loons · 187 PAwOBA .256 → .197 (−59)K% 23.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.99% | ÷1.035 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.16% | ÷1.031 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 6.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.14% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.934 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 2.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.061 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 87, 3B 112, K 107, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .256 → .197; ISO .049 → .038; BABIP .276 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKOgden Raptors · 238 PAwOBA .409 → .296 (−113)K% 15.5% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.965 | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 19.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.965 | 2.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.965 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .409 → .296; ISO .238 → .169; BABIP .350 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).