Gionti Turner
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A+/A/ROKTB | 241 | .207/.301/.269 | 2 | 9 | 22 | — | .168/.241/.225 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA/A+TB | 265 | .203/.288/.260 | 2 | 11 | 34 | — | .192/.257/.242 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/AA/A+TB | 142 | .180/.261/.273 | 2 | 7 | 4 | — | .136/.197/.219 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | AZL Indians 2 | — | 187 | 169 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 296 | 350 | 396 | 746 | 101 | 386 | 22 | 6 | 329 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 250 | 583 | 83 | 200 | 13 | 20 | 285 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 98 | 81 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 272 | 379 | 358 | 737 | 86 | 323 | 16 | 11 | 331 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 119 | 103 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 223 | 304 | 301 | 605 | 78 | 253 | 13 | 8 | 272 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 98 | 86 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 174 | 268 | 186 | 454 | 12 | 278 | 34 | 8 | 222 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 24 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 263 | 417 | 474 | 890 | 211 | 267 | 12 | 8 | 403 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 219 | 191 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 61 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 225 | 310 | 283 | 593 | 58 | 318 | 28 | 8 | 275 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 46 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 182 | 150 | 332 | 50 | 148 | 28 | 4 | 157 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 36 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 194 | 265 | 459 | 118 | 167 | 25 | 6 | 208 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 23 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 150 | 261 | 200 | 461 | 50 | 375 | 52 | 13 | 226 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 83 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 203 | 289 | 297 | 586 | 95 | 304 | 33 | 6 | 273 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 2 | — | 187 | 173 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 214 | 257 | 283 | 540 | 69 | 306 | 32 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 267 | 231 | 497 | 77 | 173 | 20 | 13 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 98 | 85 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 200 | 284 | 271 | 555 | 71 | 243 | 23 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 119 | 107 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 187 | 243 | 252 | 496 | 65 | 209 | 18 | 4 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 98 | 88 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 46 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 136 | 216 | 148 | 364 | 11 | 246 | 47 | 6 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 24 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 200 | 204 | 17 | 4 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 219 | 198 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 73 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 217 | 282 | 273 | 555 | 56 | 317 | 33 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 46 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 136 | 98 | 234 | 24 | 119 | 39 | 2 | 110 | -39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 36 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 167 | 257 | 424 | 114 | 158 | 31 | 3 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 23 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 95 | 174 | 143 | 317 | 48 | 349 | 65 | 9 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 83 | 76 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 145 | 217 | 224 | 441 | 79 | 245 | 45 | 4 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 2 | — | 187 | 173 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 214 | 257 | 283 | 540 | 69 | 319 | 32 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians 2 | — | 187 | 169 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 296 | 350 | 396 | 746 | 101 | 386 | 22 | 6 | 329 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 184 | 273 | 245 | 518 | 61 | 236 | 23 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 113 | 93 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 258 | 373 | 344 | 717 | 86 | 307 | 16 | 12 | 325 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 241 | 215 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 71 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 167 | 242 | 223 | 465 | 56 | 236 | 29 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 241 | 208 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 52 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 207 | 301 | 269 | 570 | 62 | 263 | 22 | 8 | 264 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 265 | 239 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 91 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 192 | 258 | 243 | 500 | 50 | 299 | 34 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 265 | 231 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 74 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 203 | 288 | 260 | 548 | 56 | 288 | 28 | 8 | 254 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 142 | 131 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 62 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 130 | 197 | 191 | 388 | 61 | 235 | 44 | 5 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 142 | 128 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 180 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 94 | 269 | 34 | 7 | 249 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians 2 | — | 187 | 175 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 211 | 257 | 280 | 537 | 69 | 306 | 32 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 180 | 273 | 240 | 513 | 60 | 234 | 23 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 241 | 218 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 71 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 165 | 242 | 220 | 462 | 55 | 224 | 29 | 5 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 265 | 242 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 91 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 190 | 258 | 240 | 497 | 50 | 283 | 34 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 142 | 130 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 62 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 131 | 197 | 192 | 389 | 62 | 240 | 44 | 5 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 142 | 130 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 62 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 131 | 197 | 192 | 389 | 62 | 240 | 44 | 5 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 948 | 856 | 154 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 310 | 26 | 44 | 22 | 180 | 246 | 238 | 484 | 58 | 270 | 33 | 5 | 211 | 29 | -80 | +0 | +0 | +10 | +21 | -5.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 106 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 213 | 18 | 30 | 15 | 181 | 247 | 240 | 487 | 60 | 272 | 33 | 5 | 211 | 29 | -55 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 83 PAwOBA .266 → .183 (−83)K% 32.5% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.53% | ÷0.956 | ×1.310 | — | — | 44.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.02% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 3.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.82% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 3.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷1.047 | ×0.870 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 18.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 1.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.015 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.82% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .266 → .183; ISO .095 → .065; BABIP .304 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAADurham Bulls · 36 PAwOBA .202 → .163 (−38)K% 25.0% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.014 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 11.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 3.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.77% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .202 → .163; ISO .118 → .083; BABIP .167 → .158. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 23 PAwOBA .221 → .157 (−64)K% 52.2% → 63.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 52.17% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 63.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.022 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 8.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 23.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.972 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 11.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.115 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 94, 3B 123, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .221 → .157; ISO .050 → .037; BABIP .375 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 219 PAwOBA .269 → .240 (−29)K% 27.9% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.85% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.22% | ÷1.072 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.74% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.69% | ÷0.949 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 28.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 3.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.087 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.16% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .269 → .240; ISO .058 → .048; BABIP .318 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 46 PAwOBA .154 → .110 (−44)K% 28.3% → 39.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.26% | ÷0.950 | ×1.310 | — | — | 38.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.060 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 2.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 3.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.008 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 6.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.047 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.103 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 121, K 90, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .154 → .110; ISO .050 → .035; BABIP .148 → .119. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 119 PAwOBA .267 → .214 (−53)K% 13.4% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.45% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 17.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.56% | ÷1.038 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.011 | ×0.870 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 17.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.079 | ×0.780 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 2.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.020 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .267 → .214; ISO .078 → .067; BABIP .253 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ACharleston RiverDogs · 98 PAwOBA .219 → .161 (−58)K% 33.7% → 46.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.67% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 46.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷0.983 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.06% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 23.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.066 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 1.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.943 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 113, 3B 111, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .219 → .161; ISO .012 → .007; BABIP .278 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Rays · 24 PAwOBA .393 → .299 (−94)K% 12.5% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.956 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 12.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 8.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.023 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 14.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.933 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.902 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 5.27% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .393 → .299; ISO .211 → .176; BABIP .267 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).