Gabe Mosser
P
Tacoma Rainiers
+0.0
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA5.20
FIP5.20
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.1%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%9.8%
IP116
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD4545
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 3 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 18 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 22 | 19 | 108 | 465 | 110 | 25 | 9 | 17.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 4.17 | 3.77 | +1.9 |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 21 | 14 | 80 | 337 | 72 | 23 | 7 | 16.5% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 4.39 | 4.04 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 5 | 5 | 24 | 103 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.94 | 6.39 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 17 | 12 | 53 | 241 | 53 | 20 | 11 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.72 | 6.56 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 28 | 26 | 133 | 585 | 103 | 48 | 15 | 15.5% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 5.40 | 4.32 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 25 | 25 | 125 | 546 | 127 | 49 | 25 | 19.8% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 5.20 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 4 | 3 | 22 | 86 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 16.4% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 2.49 | 3.35 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 21 | 116 | 491 | 91 | 48 | 19 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 5.30 | 5.30 | 0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 138 | 577 | 107 | 54 | 20 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.99 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 112 | 473 | 88 | 46 | 18 | 18.6% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 5.24 | 5.27 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 108 | 454 | 84 | 44 | 18 | 18.6% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 5.23 | 5.28 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 19 | 103 | 434 | 80 | 42 | 17 | 18.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 5.27 | 5.33 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 18 | 18 | 98 | 413 | 75 | 41 | 17 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 5.34 | 5.41 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 17 | 92 | 389 | 69 | 39 | 16 | 17.8% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 5.46 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 63 | 38 | 15 | 17.3% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 5.58 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 125 | 104 | 557 | 2411 | 420 | 197 | 88 | 17.4% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 37 | 200 | 866 | 151 | 71 | 32 | 17.4% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabe Mosser (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 3.9% | — | 5.29 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 322 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 87 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 87 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 86 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.36 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.4% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 86 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 82 |
| Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 82 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.16 | 18.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .265 | 3.45 | 17.8% | 10.8% | 81 | -0.71 | 3.45 | 315 | 81 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 78 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.13 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 248 | 78 |
| Tim Adleman R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.33 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | .276 | 4.33 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -1.00 | 3.64 | 605 | 78 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.87 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | +0.17 | 4.87 | 294 | 78 |
| Jeremy Kehrt R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.72 | 8.5% | -4.6% | 21 | +0.55 | 3.38 | 262 | 77 |
| Dillon Gee R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.15 | 16.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | .302 | 3.80 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 127 | -1.35 | 3.68 | 380 | 77 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2024 · 6.02 FIP | 28 | SP- | 6.02 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 223 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.40 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .289 | 4.45 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.05 | 4.33 | 221 | 76 |
| Jerome Williams R 2029 · 4.66 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.66 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | .326 | 5.79 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.13 | 4.66 | 195 | 76 |
| Scott McGregor R 2024 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 76 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .353 | 3.35 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.54 | 3.27 | 283 | 75 |
| Luke Irvine R 2023 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 75 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.86 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .328 | 4.86 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.00 | 4.54 | 269 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.