Gabe Mosser — OGILVIE

Gabe Mosser P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION132 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%16.6%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 139 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	3	0	12	48	18	3	0	0%	4.0	37.5%	6.2%	31.2%	0.0%	0.00	0.73	—
2018	22	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	3	0	12	48	18	3	0	0%	4.0	37.5%	6.2%	31.2%	0.0%	0.00	0.85	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	19	108	465	110	25	9	86%	4.9	17.7%	6.3%	11.5%	2.5%	4.17	3.75	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	19	108	465	110	25	9	86%	4.9	23.7%	5.4%	18.3%	1.9%	4.17	2.84	—
2021	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	21	14	80	337	72	23	7	67%	3.8	16.5%	7.8%	8.6%	2.5%	4.39	4.05	—
2021	25	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	21	14	80	337	72	23	7	67%	3.8	21.4%	6.8%	14.5%	2.1%	4.39	3.30	—
2022	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	5	5	24	103	12	8	4	100%	4.7	9.4%	8.5%	0.9%	5.4%	4.94	6.32	—
2022	26	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	5	5	24	103	12	8	4	100%	4.7	11.7%	7.8%	3.9%	3.9%	4.94	5.30	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	12	53	241	53	20	11	71%	3.1	17.1%	8.5%	8.5%	7.3%	4.72	6.72	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	12	53	241	53	20	11	71%	3.1	17.1%	8.5%	8.5%	7.3%	4.72	6.72	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	12	53	241	53	20	11	71%	3.1	22.0%	8.3%	13.7%	4.6%	4.72	4.92	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	28	26	133	585	103	48	15	93%	4.8	14.6%	7.4%	7.2%	2.6%	5.40	4.24	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	28	26	133	585	103	48	15	93%	4.8	14.6%	7.4%	7.2%	2.6%	5.40	4.24	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	28	26	133	585	103	48	15	93%	4.8	17.6%	8.2%	9.4%	2.6%	5.40	4.10	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	125	546	127	49	25	100%	5.0	19.1%	8.6%	10.6%	5.3%	5.20	5.49	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	125	546	127	49	25	100%	5.0	19.1%	8.6%	10.6%	5.3%	5.20	5.49	—
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	125	546	127	49	25	100%	5.0	23.3%	9.0%	14.3%	4.6%	5.20	4.85	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	27	25	132	568	92	41	13	93%	4.9	13.4%	6.5%	6.9%	2.5%	4.72	4.17	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	27	25	132	568	92	41	13	93%	4.9	13.4%	6.5%	6.9%	2.5%	4.72	4.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AAA RAW	SEA	27	25	132	568	92	41	13	93%	4.9	16.2%	7.2%	9.0%	2.3%	4.72	3.90	—
ROS	30	MLB MLE	SEA	1	1	7	29	5	2	1	100%	6.9	16.6%	8.6%	8.0%	3.9%	5.32	5.32	-0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	139	597	97	43	14	—	—	16.2%	7.3%	8.9%	2.4%	4.75	4.23	+1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	SEA	13	13	76	320	60	26	13	100%	5.8	18.7%	8.1%	10.7%	4.1%	5.17	5.15	-0.2
2028	32	MLB MLE	SEA	12	12	70	296	55	25	13	100%	5.8	18.6%	8.6%	10.1%	4.2%	5.23	5.31	-0.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	SEA	5	5	28	118	22	10	5	100%	5.6	18.7%	8.1%	10.7%	4.1%	5.17	5.15	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	SEA	6	6	39	165	31	14	7	100%	6.5	18.6%	8.6%	10.1%	4.2%	5.23	5.31	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	67	284	53	24	12	100%	6.1	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	4.2%	5.21	4.86	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	158	71	36	100%	6.0	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	4.2%	5.21	4.86	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		148	126	667	2893	473	215	101	85%	4.5	16.3%	7.4%	8.9%	3.5%	4.74	4.58	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	38	200	868	142	64	30	85%	4.5	16.3%	7.4%	8.9%	3.5%	4.74	4.58	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabe Mosser (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	16.6%	8.6%	3.9%	—	5.23	18.7%	10.4%	146	-0.09	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	87
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	83
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	82
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	81
Felipe Paulino R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	31	SP	4.55	15.8%	11.8%	2.3%	.312	4.93	15.0%	4.8%	26	+0.38	4.55	150	77
Jeremy Kehrt R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	30	SP	4.17	12.7%	7.4%	2.2%	.333	4.71	8.5%	-4.6%	21	+0.54	3.37	262	77
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	493	77
Alfredo Aceves R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	32	SP	4.98	10.0%	6.2%	3.5%	.244	4.93	9.9%	2.0%	107	-0.05	4.78	160	77
Casey Coleman R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	30	SP	4.84	16.8%	11.4%	3.1%	.343	4.99	17.5%	8.8%	107	+0.15	2.95	306	76
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	76
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	75
Josh Roenicke R 2015 · 4.85 FIP	32	SP	4.85	10.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.353	3.35	19.2%	11.5%	160	-1.50	3.27	283	75
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	75
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	74
Patrick Johnson R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	30	SP	4.14	15.7%	9.3%	2.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	248	74
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	73
Cody Mincey R 2022 · 5.56 FIP	30	SP	5.56	13.9%	8.4%	4.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	147	73
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	73
Edgar Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	32	SP	4.29	11.0%	4.7%	2.8%	.293	3.62	10.8%	5.2%	216	-0.67	3.19	450	73
Caleb Clay R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	27	SP	4.67	9.9%	6.9%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	111	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	76	17.9%	8.4%	1.57	5.24
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Andrew Suárez ('23)	1.1	74	18.2%	7.8%	1.51	5.02
Sam Gaviglio ('19)	1.5	98	19.3%	6.9%	1.69	4.84