Gabe Mosser
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 30
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 74 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.44
FIP5.44
K%17.4%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%7.7%
ROS IP74
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 160 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 3 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 4.0 | 37.5% | 6.2% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.73 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 3 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 4.0 | 37.5% | 6.2% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.85 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 108 | 465 | 110 | 25 | 9 | 86% | 4.9 | 17.7% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 2.5% | 4.17 | 3.79 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 108 | 465 | 110 | 25 | 9 | 86% | 4.9 | 23.7% | 5.4% | 18.3% | 1.9% | 4.17 | 2.84 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 21 | 14 | 80 | 337 | 72 | 23 | 7 | 67% | 3.8 | 16.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 4.39 | 3.98 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 21 | 14 | 80 | 337 | 72 | 23 | 7 | 67% | 3.8 | 21.4% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 4.39 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 5 | 5 | 24 | 103 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 9.4% | 8.5% | 0.9% | 6.3% | 4.94 | 6.84 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 5 | 5 | 24 | 103 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.94 | 5.30 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 12 | 53 | 241 | 53 | 20 | 11 | 71% | 3.1 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 4.72 | 7.78 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 12 | 53 | 241 | 53 | 20 | 11 | 71% | 3.1 | 22.0% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 4.72 | 4.92 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 28 | 26 | 133 | 585 | 103 | 48 | 15 | 93% | 4.8 | 15.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 5.40 | 4.22 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 28 | 26 | 133 | 585 | 103 | 48 | 15 | 93% | 4.8 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 5.40 | 4.10 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 125 | 546 | 127 | 49 | 25 | 100% | 5.0 | 19.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 5.20 | 5.66 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 125 | 546 | 127 | 49 | 25 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.3% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 4.6% | 5.20 | 4.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 17 | 15 | 86 | 371 | 63 | 28 | 9 | 88% | 5.1 | 14.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 4.81 | 4.31 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 74 | 314 | 55 | 31 | 13 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 17.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 160 | 685 | 118 | 59 | 22 | — | — | 17.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 5.10 | 4.83 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 7 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 17.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 5.44 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 13 | 13 | 76 | 320 | 62 | 29 | 13 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 5.28 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 57 | 28 | 13 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 5.33 | 5.41 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 64 | 271 | 52 | 27 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 5.47 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 5.28 | 5.26 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 32 | 16 | 7 | 100% | 6.5 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 5.33 | 5.41 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 35 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 5.47 | 5.61 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 20 | 20 | 117 | 496 | 95 | 47 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 5.38 | 5.07 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 80 | 36 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 5.38 | 5.07 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 138 | 116 | 621 | 2696 | 461 | 220 | 103 | 84% | 4.5 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 4.78 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 37 | 200 | 868 | 148 | 71 | 33 | 84% | 4.5 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 4.78 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabe Mosser (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.44 | 17.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% | — | 5.42 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 210 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 86 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2028 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 82 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 80 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.68 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.79 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.11 | 4.68 | 150 | 79 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.91 | 16.8% | 11.4% | 3.2% | .343 | 4.99 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 107 | +0.08 | 2.86 | 306 | 77 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.64 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .328 | 4.73 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.09 | 4.49 | 269 | 74 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2028 · 5.01 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.01 | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .244 | 4.83 | 9.9% | 2.0% | 107 | -0.18 | 4.71 | 160 | 74 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 73 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2028 · 5.12 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.12 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .353 | 3.44 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.68 | 3.29 | 283 | 73 |
| David Fletcher R 2026 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 73 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 73 |
| Cody Mincey R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.46 | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 147 | 73 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.22 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | .333 | 4.92 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.30 | 2.32 | 676 | 73 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2025 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 73 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.46 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .365 | 4.29 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 54 | -0.17 | 4.29 | 125 | 72 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.65 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 262 | 72 |
| Matt Harvey R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.28 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 4.4% | .299 | 5.20 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 194 | -0.08 | 2.90 | 806 | 72 |
| Nate Long R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 71 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.34 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .307 | 4.41 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.07 | 4.23 | 325 | 71 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.25 | 12.5% | 8.5% | 2.1% | .351 | 4.37 | 11.7% | 4.0% | 89 | +0.12 | 4.25 | 275 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 73 | 18.7% | 9.5% | 1.63 | 5.38 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |