Sean Boyle

P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.7 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MIX3 levels	16	2	21	3.86	2.96	25.3%	5.7%	—	K 25.3% · BB 5.7% · FIP 2.95
2025	28	AAAScranton/Wilk…	28	23	135	4.61	4.00	20.5%	8.7%	—	K 17.6% · BB 7.8% · FIP 4.15
2026	29	AAASD	35	16	122	5.66	4.35	17.6%	7.6%	—	K 15.2% · BB 6.9% · FIP 4.56
2027PROJ	30	MLBSD	13	13	86	4.83	4.83	15.6%	7.5%	0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBSD	4	4	29	4.89	4.97	15.8%	7.8%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBSD	6	6	41	4.86	4.87	17.8%	7.4%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control55Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Scott McGregor (age 28) · Colin Bates (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%15.6%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%8.1%

Proj IP86

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	10	0	15	64	20	4	2	0%	1.5	21.3%	7.8%	13.4%	4.4%	3.60	4.70	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	10	0	15	64	20	4	2	0%	1.5	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	3.1%	3.60	2.97	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	27	10	86	345	98	22	4	37%	3.2	22.6%	7.3%	15.3%	1.4%	1.99	2.87	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	27	10	86	345	98	22	4	37%	3.2	28.4%	6.4%	22.0%	1.2%	1.99	2.19	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	155	630	160	34	25	96%	5.5	21.0%	5.8%	15.2%	4.5%	3.71	4.53	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	27	155	630	160	34	25	96%	5.5	25.4%	5.4%	20.0%	4.0%	3.71	3.79	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	9	9	35	168	36	12	7	100%	3.9	18.4%	6.4%	12.0%	4.5%	6.69	4.83	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	9	9	35	168	36	12	7	100%	3.9	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	4.2%	6.69	4.67	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	2	21	87	22	5	2	12%	1.3	25.3%	5.7%	19.5%	2.3%	3.86	2.95	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	2	21	87	22	5	2	12%	1.3	25.3%	5.7%	19.5%	2.3%	3.86	2.95	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	2	21	87	22	5	2	12%	1.3	25.3%	5.7%	19.5%	2.3%	3.86	2.96	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	28	23	135	585	120	51	16	82%	4.8	17.6%	7.8%	9.8%	2.8%	4.61	4.15	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	28	23	135	585	120	51	16	82%	4.8	17.6%	7.8%	9.8%	2.8%	4.61	4.15	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	28	23	135	585	120	51	16	82%	4.8	20.5%	8.7%	11.8%	2.7%	4.61	4.00	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	35	16	122	550	97	42	17	46%	3.5	15.2%	6.9%	8.3%	3.4%	5.66	4.56	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	35	16	122	550	97	42	17	46%	3.5	15.2%	6.9%	8.3%	3.4%	5.66	4.56	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	35	16	122	550	97	42	17	46%	3.5	17.6%	7.6%	10.0%	3.1%	5.66	4.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	SD	13	13	86	363	57	27	11	100%	6.6	15.6%	7.5%	8.1%	3.1%	4.83	4.83	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	SD	12	12	80	338	53	27	11	100%	6.7	15.8%	7.8%	8.0%	3.3%	4.89	4.97	-0.1
2029	32	MLB MLE	SD	11	11	74	313	56	23	11	100%	6.7	17.8%	7.4%	10.4%	3.6%	4.86	4.87	+0.0
2030	33	MLB MLE	SD	10	10	68	287	51	23	11	100%	6.8	17.6%	8.0%	9.6%	3.8%	4.99	5.09	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	SD	4	4	29	122	19	10	4	100%	7.2	15.8%	7.8%	8.0%	3.3%	4.89	4.97	-0.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	SD	6	6	41	173	31	13	6	100%	6.8	17.8%	7.4%	10.4%	3.6%	4.86	4.87	+0.0
2030	33	MLB CTX	SD	7	7	46	194	34	15	7	100%	6.6	17.6%	8.0%	9.6%	3.8%	4.99	5.09	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	17	116	491	85	38	18	100%	6.8	17.2%	7.7%	9.5%	3.6%	4.92	4.60	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	146	65	31	100%	6.7	17.2%	7.7%	9.5%	3.6%	4.92	4.60	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		153	87	569	2429	464	166	81	57%	3.7	19.1%	6.8%	12.2%	3.3%	4.27	4.18	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	31	200	853	163	58	28	57%	3.7	19.1%	6.8%	12.2%	3.3%	4.27	4.18	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Boyle (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	15.6%	7.5%	3.1%	—	4.97	17.0%	9.3%	222	+0.14	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	84
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	83
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	78
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	77
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	77
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	74
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	73
Luke Hudson R 2006 · 3.81 FIP	29	SP-	3.81	14.5%	8.4%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	235	73
Scott Carroll R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	30	SW	3.92	12.7%	7.7%	1.7%	.286	5.07	11.2%	2.6%	128	+1.15	3.92	377	72
Jared Fernandez R 2002 · 4.23 FIP	30	SP-	4.23	15.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.323	3.57	11.8%	5.6%	38	-0.66	3.57	101	72
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	72
Eder Llamas R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	11.4%	6.8%	2.0%	.301	3.23	11.3%	4.6%	64	-0.89	3.23	171	72
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	581	71
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	71
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	71
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	71
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	313	70
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	70
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	70
Chris Jakubauskas R 2009 · 4.97 FIP	30	SW	4.97	12.1%	6.2%	3.9%	.250	4.42	15.7%	7.8%	72	-0.55	4.42	165	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	77	16.6%	7.7%	1.33	4.89
Paul Reuschel ('75-'79, 1 WAR*)	2.0	79	16.8%*	7.6%*	1.29*	4.76*
JC Ramírez ('19)	1.4	72	16.4%	8.4%	1.44	4.71
Buddy Carlyle ('15)	1.5	58	18.5%	8.5%	1.32	5.14
Bryan Hickerson ('95)	2.0	81	15.9%	8.1%	1.16	4.72
Minnie Rojas ('66-'68, 1 WAR*)	1.3	87	17.1%*	6.5%*	1.35*	4.07*
Mike Jeffcoat ('83-'94, 1 WAR*)	2.5	83	15.2%*	6.7%*	1.16*	4.65*