Willie Joe Garry Jr.
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A+/ROKMIN | 242 | .204/.328/.343 | 2 | 17 | 47 | — | .171/.265/.291 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA/A+MIN | 270 | .238/.307/.421 | 7 | 19 | 56 | — | .199/.254/.340 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+MIN | 77 | .132/.224/.235 | 2 | 4 | -8 | — | .100/.171/.157 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 95 | 81 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 160 | 269 | 210 | 479 | 49 | 241 | 29 | 8 | 230 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 339 | 294 | 58 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 112 | 5 | 24 | 6 | 197 | 300 | 303 | 602 | 105 | 300 | 33 | 11 | 278 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 220 | 181 | 38 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 68 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 210 | 338 | 365 | 703 | 155 | 324 | 31 | 14 | 315 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 22 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 150 | 227 | 150 | 377 | 250 | 36 | 9 | 187 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 116 | 106 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 264 | 316 | 500 | 816 | 236 | 364 | 32 | 6 | 349 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 154 | 134 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 216 | 300 | 358 | 658 | 142 | 325 | 35 | 9 | 291 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 77 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 132 | 224 | 235 | 459 | 103 | 146 | 23 | 9 | 214 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 95 | 85 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 118 | 194 | 153 | 346 | 35 | 200 | 42 | 4 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 339 | 306 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 156 | 5 | 24 | 6 | 147 | 226 | 229 | 454 | 82 | 275 | 46 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 220 | 190 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 87 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 179 | 278 | 311 | 588 | 132 | 294 | 40 | 10 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 22 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 95 | 136 | 95 | 232 | 200 | 50 | 5 | 114 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 116 | 108 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 231 | 272 | 426 | 698 | 194 | 345 | 38 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 154 | 138 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 70 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 174 | 240 | 275 | 515 | 101 | 295 | 45 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 77 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 100 | 171 | 157 | 328 | 57 | 131 | 30 | 6 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 95 | 85 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 118 | 194 | 153 | 346 | 35 | 217 | 42 | 4 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 95 | 81 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 160 | 269 | 210 | 479 | 49 | 241 | 29 | 8 | 230 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 339 | 306 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 156 | 5 | 24 | 6 | 147 | 226 | 229 | 454 | 82 | 282 | 46 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 339 | 294 | 58 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 112 | 5 | 24 | 6 | 197 | 300 | 303 | 602 | 105 | 300 | 33 | 11 | 278 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 211 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 98 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 171 | 265 | 289 | 554 | 118 | 306 | 40 | 10 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 242 | 201 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 76 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 204 | 328 | 343 | 671 | 139 | 317 | 31 | 14 | 304 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 246 | 48 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 115 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 195 | 250 | 325 | 575 | 130 | 336 | 43 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 270 | 240 | 57 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 91 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 237 | 307 | 421 | 728 | 183 | 342 | 34 | 8 | 316 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 77 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 100 | 171 | 157 | 328 | 57 | 130 | 30 | 6 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 77 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 132 | 224 | 235 | 459 | 103 | 146 | 23 | 9 | 214 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 95 | 87 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 115 | 194 | 149 | 343 | 34 | 200 | 42 | 4 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 339 | 305 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 156 | 5 | 24 | 6 | 148 | 226 | 230 | 455 | 82 | 275 | 46 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 213 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 98 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 169 | 265 | 286 | 551 | 117 | 285 | 40 | 10 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 250 | 48 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 115 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 192 | 250 | 320 | 570 | 128 | 316 | 43 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 77 | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 99 | 171 | 155 | 326 | 56 | 131 | 30 | 6 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 77 | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 99 | 171 | 155 | 326 | 56 | 131 | 30 | 6 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1023 | 918 | 146 | 33 | 13 | 10 | 73 | 432 | 17 | 69 | 14 | 159 | 234 | 256 | 490 | 97 | 282 | 42 | 7 | 218 | 33 | -81 | +8 | +0 | -6 | +22 | -5.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 92 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 274 | 11 | 44 | 9 | 158 | 232 | 252 | 485 | 94 | 280 | 42 | 7 | 218 | 33 | -52 | +5 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 77 PAwOBA .209 → .156 (−53)K% 23.4% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.38% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 30.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 11.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.119 | ×0.810 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 1.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.850 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.191 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.65% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .209 → .156; ISO .103 → .067; BABIP .146 → .131. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 154 PAwOBA .289 → .223 (−66)K% 35.1% → 45.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.06% | ÷0.977 | ×1.270 | — | — | 45.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.966 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.25% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 8.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷0.994 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.75% | ÷1.134 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.64% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 99, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .223; ISO .142 → .098; BABIP .325 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAWichita Wind Surge · 116 PAwOBA .339 → .289 (−50)K% 31.9% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.90% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.84% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×1.027 | 18.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷0.931 | ×0.840 | ×1.027 | ×1.027 | 12.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.027 | ×1.027 | 3.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.231 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.87% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .339 → .289; ISO .236 → .190; BABIP .364 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 220 PAwOBA .306 → .250 (−56)K% 30.9% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.91% | ÷0.993 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 9.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.70% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 16.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.85% | ÷0.912 | ×0.810 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 8.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.31% | ÷1.011 | ×0.850 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 4.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.77% | ÷0.948 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 102, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .306 → .250; ISO .155 → .130; BABIP .324 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Twins · 22 PAwOBA .183 → .114 (−69)K% 36.4% → 51.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.36% | ÷1.016 | ×1.440 | — | — | 51.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.984 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 5.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 20.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.282 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 85, 3B 94, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .183 → .114; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 339 PAwOBA .272 → .207 (−65)K% 33.0% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.04% | ÷0.979 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.91% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.53% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.015 | 20.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.909 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.015 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.30% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | ×1.015 | 3.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷0.908 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.97% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 113, 2B 82, 3B 87, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .272 → .207; ISO .105 → .085; BABIP .300 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGCL Twins · 95 PAwOBA .222 → .158 (−64)K% 29.5% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.21% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 3.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 14.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 5.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .222 → .158; ISO .049 → .033; BABIP .241 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).