Luis Amoroso P Spokane Indians
Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 192 lbs A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 28 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%20.8%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP
K: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.02 (28 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201818ROKDSL Colorado19039166291630%2.111.9%12.0%-0.2%2.5%4.385.01
201818ROKDSL Colorado19039166291630%2.117.5%9.6%7.8%1.8%4.383.84
201919ROKDSL Colorado110155914500%1.416.1%10.6%5.5%0.0%3.003.08
201919ROKDSL Colorado110155914500%1.423.7%8.5%15.3%0.0%3.002.23
202121ROKACL Rockies170186623110%1.123.7%1.9%21.8%2.0%1.472.44
202121ROKACL Rockies170186623110%1.134.8%1.5%33.3%1.5%1.471.46
202222AFresno Grizzlies45077328682650%1.715.3%9.4%6.0%2.2%3.844.21
202222AFresno Grizzlies45077328682650%1.720.7%7.9%12.8%1.5%3.843.19
202323A+Spokane Indians440572624117100%1.312.0%7.5%4.6%4.4%6.755.42
202323A+Spokane Indians440572624117100%1.315.6%6.5%9.2%3.8%6.754.83
202424A+Spokane Indians39045204311630%1.211.7%9.0%2.7%1.6%4.804.12
202424A+Spokane Indians39045204311630%1.215.2%7.8%7.4%1.5%4.803.66
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBCOL27029121251140%1.120.8%9.0%11.7%2.9%4.484.48+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBCOL27028119251140%1.021.0%9.1%11.9%3.0%4.494.50+0.0
202727MLBCOL10010429410%1.021.0%9.1%11.9%3.0%4.494.50+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10010449410%1.021.0%9.1%11.9%3.0%4.494.12+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084417477190%1.121.0%9.1%11.9%3.0%4.494.12+3.0
Career1750252108515196270%1.413.9%8.9%5.0%2.5%4.544.44+2.8
/ 200 IP139020086112076220%1.413.9%8.9%5.0%2.5%4.544.44+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Luis Amoroso (OGILVIE) 4.48 20.8%9.0%2.9% 4.50 21.0%11.9%28 +0.02
Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 26 SU 3.80 22.0%7.5%2.9%.333 4.41 18.1%6.6%151 +0.61 3.74 185 89
Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 23.4%10.1%2.1%.267 3.70 27.2%19.2%59 +0.16 3.54 103 88
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP 26 SU 4.46 19.9%9.8%3.3%.278 5.02 22.7%10.3%89 +0.56 2.69 315 87
Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 26 SU 4.36 20.9%8.8%3.5%.310 4.40 17.6%5.6%46 +0.04 3.42 161 87
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 86
Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 26 SU 4.11 22.1%9.2%3.1%.282 3.23 26.9%17.2%144 -0.88 1.79 647 86
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 26 SU 4.34 23.4%11.6%3.2%.273 4.52 18.7%7.1%88 +0.18 3.57 187 86
Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 26 SU 4.04 21.2%9.4%2.8%.295 4.19 21.8%13.1%41 +0.15 3.43 187 85
Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 26 SU 3.60 23.1%8.7%2.5%.234 3.53 18.4%8.3%43 -0.07 2.96 114 85
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 85
Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 26 SU 4.51 23.2%8.5%4.2%.302 2.25 121 85
Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP 25 SU 4.84 19.1%8.6%4.1%.278 3.35 101 84
Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP 26 SU 3.88 18.2%8.7%2.2%.266 4.15 14.3%2.3%36 +0.27 3.73 154 84
Cole Johnson R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 26 SU 3.56 17.4%8.4%1.6%.311 3.48 14.0%9.2%49 -0.08 3.48 101 84
Seth Frankoff R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 26 SU 4.04 19.6%7.4%3.0%.312 4.49 20.0%11.3%177 +0.45 2.87 263 84
Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 26 SU 3.77 24.1%8.9%2.9%.242 3.56 22.5%12.4%100 -0.21 3.05 205 84
Rob Scahill R 2028 · 3.83 FIP 28 SU 3.83 16.9%7.7%2.1%.288 3.34 17.9%10.1%171 -0.49 2.93 201 84
Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 3.97 FIP 26 SU 3.97 20.6%9.1%2.6%.255 4.64 19.2%8.3%100 +0.67 3.97 248 84
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 26 SU 3.46 23.1%9.3%2.1%.244 3.76 18.9%11.1%168 +0.30 3.23 253 84
Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22820.9%9.1%1.154.48
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78