Chase Chaney

P Somerset Patriots

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 199 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	AALAA	26	25	138	4.30	4.31	17.1%	7.0%	—	K 13.8% · BB 7.7% · FIP 5.03
2025	25	MIX2 levels	26	21	119	3.77	3.42	18.1%	6.0%	—	K 13.9% · BB 6.8% · FIP 4.19
2026	26	AANYY	16	7	63	4.55	4.98	17.0%	8.5%	—	K 13.7% · BB 9.3% · FIP 5.68
2027PROJ	27	MLBNYY	10	10	70	5.39	5.39	12.3%	8.7%	-0.4
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBNYY	4	4	26	5.34	5.37	13.3%	8.9%	-0.1
2029PROJ56% MLB	29	MLBNYY	5	5	36	5.36	5.42	13.8%	9.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control55Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBryce Morrow (age 27) · Edgar Alberto Garcia (age 27) · Scott McGregor (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 119

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%12.3%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%3.5%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	11	2	39	196	27	35	3	18%	3.5	9.4%	22.3%	-13.0%	2.1%	6.28	6.31	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Angels	11	2	39	196	27	35	3	18%	3.5	13.8%	17.9%	-4.1%	1.5%	6.28	5.43	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	3	41	198	54	12	2	20%	2.8	20.1%	7.4%	12.7%	0.7%	4.57	2.72	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	3	41	198	54	12	2	20%	2.8	27.3%	6.1%	21.2%	1.0%	4.57	1.99	—
2022	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	30	11	91	386	81	17	3	37%	3.0	15.5%	5.2%	10.3%	1.1%	2.77	3.07	—
2022	22	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	30	11	91	386	81	17	3	37%	3.0	21.0%	4.4%	16.6%	0.8%	2.77	2.31	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	20	114	493	85	36	6	80%	4.5	13.4%	8.1%	5.3%	1.6%	3.80	3.86	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	20	114	493	85	36	6	80%	4.5	17.2%	7.3%	9.9%	1.2%	3.80	3.24	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	26	25	138	603	103	42	19	96%	5.3	13.8%	7.7%	6.2%	3.9%	4.30	5.03	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	26	25	138	603	103	42	19	96%	5.3	13.8%	7.7%	6.2%	3.9%	4.30	5.03	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	26	25	138	603	103	42	19	96%	5.3	17.1%	7.0%	10.1%	3.2%	4.30	4.31	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	21	119	504	91	30	10	81%	4.6	13.9%	6.8%	7.1%	2.6%	3.77	4.19	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	21	119	504	91	30	10	81%	4.6	13.9%	6.8%	7.1%	2.6%	3.77	4.19	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	21	119	504	91	30	10	81%	4.6	18.1%	6.0%	12.1%	2.0%	3.77	3.42	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	16	7	63	283	48	24	11	44%	4.0	13.7%	9.3%	4.4%	4.7%	4.55	5.68	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	16	7	63	283	48	24	11	44%	4.0	13.7%	9.3%	4.4%	4.7%	4.55	5.68	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	16	7	63	283	48	24	11	44%	4.0	17.0%	8.5%	8.5%	3.9%	4.55	4.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	NYY	10	10	70	296	36	26	10	100%	7.0	12.3%	8.7%	3.5%	3.4%	5.39	5.39	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	68	287	38	26	10	100%	6.8	13.3%	8.9%	4.3%	3.4%	5.34	5.37	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	NYY	9	9	65	274	38	25	10	100%	7.2	13.8%	9.2%	4.6%	3.5%	5.36	5.42	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	NYY	4	4	26	110	15	10	4	100%	6.5	13.3%	8.9%	4.3%	3.4%	5.34	5.37	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	NYY	5	5	36	152	21	14	5	100%	7.2	13.8%	9.2%	4.6%	3.5%	5.36	5.42	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	62	260	35	24	9	100%	6.8	13.6%	9.1%	4.5%	3.5%	5.35	5.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		29	29	200	844	114	78	29	100%	6.9	13.6%	9.1%	4.5%	3.5%	5.35	5.02	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		149	89	605	2663	377	225	67	60%	4.1	14.1%	8.5%	5.7%	2.5%	4.04	4.36	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	29	200	880	124	74	22	60%	4.1	14.1%	8.5%	5.7%	2.5%	4.04	4.36	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chase Chaney (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	12.3%	8.7%	3.4%	—	5.39	13.5%	4.5%	133	+0.00	—	—	—
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	91
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	87
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	85
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	84
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	82
Mike McCarthy R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	27	SP-	4.78	9.4%	9.1%	2.4%	.280	5.03	6.2%	-3.5%	37	+0.25	4.78	153	82
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	81
Terance Marin R 2016 · 4.91 FIP	26	SP-	4.91	11.2%	7.7%	3.2%	.294	4.22	12.4%	7.5%	88	-0.69	3.54	322	81
Tony Bucciferro R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	25	SP-	5.11	6.8%	6.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	5.11	107	81
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	81
Ivan Zavala R 2015 · 4.51 FIP	28	SP-	4.51	7.0%	4.7%	2.6%	.312	4.73	12.2%	4.3%	50	+0.22	4.27	209	81
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	80
Adam Panayotovich R 2017 · 5.45 FIP	25	SP-	5.45	9.6%	9.0%	3.7%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	121	80
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	80
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	80
Mike Augliera R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	25	SP-	4.27	12.0%	7.2%	2.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	114	79
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	78
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	78
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	78
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	13.1%	8.9%	1.33	5.36
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Russ Swan ('89-'94, -2 WAR*)	1.3	89	12.3%*	9.9%*	1.13*	5.09*
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*