Andrew Pérez — OGILVIE

Andrew Pérez P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 121

ERA4.60

FIP4.60

K%20.6%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP43

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	31	133	31	12	0	0%	1.6	16.0%	12.8%	3.2%	0.0%	2.59	3.36	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	31	133	31	12	0	0%	1.6	23.3%	9.0%	14.3%	0.0%	2.59	2.27	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	67	297	86	25	1	0%	1.6	21.8%	9.8%	12.0%	0.5%	1.74	2.78	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	67	297	86	25	1	0%	1.6	29.0%	8.4%	20.5%	0.3%	1.74	1.85	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	31	0	44	186	59	11	6	0%	1.4	25.7%	6.5%	19.2%	3.6%	3.50	3.71	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	31	0	44	186	59	11	6	0%	1.4	31.7%	5.9%	25.8%	3.2%	3.50	2.94	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	59	1	63	270	72	25	13	2%	1.1	23.5%	9.7%	13.7%	3.7%	5.74	4.40	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	59	1	63	270	72	25	13	2%	1.1	26.7%	9.3%	17.4%	4.8%	5.74	4.70	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	63	290	67	30	7	2%	1.6	18.9%	10.1%	8.7%	2.5%	6.61	4.14	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	63	290	67	30	7	2%	1.6	18.9%	10.1%	8.7%	2.5%	6.61	4.14	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	63	290	67	30	7	2%	1.6	23.1%	10.3%	12.8%	2.4%	6.61	3.85	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	32	2	43	209	47	34	9	6%	1.3	18.7%	14.6%	4.0%	4.7%	6.75	5.98	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	32	2	43	209	47	34	9	6%	1.3	18.7%	14.6%	4.0%	4.7%	6.75	5.98	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	KC	32	2	43	209	47	34	9	6%	1.3	22.5%	16.3%	6.2%	4.3%	6.75	5.63	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	KC	38	0	40	171	35	17	5	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.68	4.75	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	KC	14	0	15	63	13	6	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.68	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	13	6	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.68	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	81	27	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.68	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		223	4	310	1385	291	144	35	2%	1.4	21.0%	10.4%	10.6%	2.5%	4.55	4.04	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		144	3	200	893	187	93	23	2%	1.4	21.0%	10.4%	10.6%	2.5%	4.55	4.04	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Pérez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	20.6%	9.7%	3.0%	—	4.75	20.5%	10.6%	40	+0.15	—	—	—
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	88
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	85
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	83
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	82
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	82
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.80	223	82
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	80
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	80
Colt Hynes L 2015 · 3.42 FIP	30	SU	3.42	16.2%	8.4%	1.1%	.290	3.66	17.9%	13.2%	105	+0.24	3.42	152	80
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	78
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	77
Jake McGee L 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	18.5%	7.3%	3.9%	.329	3.93	22.1%	15.6%	150	-0.67	1.39	350	76
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	76
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	76
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	76
Dan Runzler L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	30	SU	3.78	19.0%	13.1%	1.2%	.383	4.07	16.5%	4.0%	63	+0.29	3.78	127	75
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	75
Aaron Brown L 2021 · 4.13 FIP	29	SU	4.13	17.4%	12.8%	1.6%	.275	5.38	21.3%	8.8%	66	+1.25	4.04	269	73
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	73
Dario Alvarez L 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	20.7%	12.4%	1.0%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	160	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	42	20.5%	9.8%	1.19	4.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43