Seth Gray
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+MIN | 501 | .212/.323/.333 | 11 | 5 | 38 | — | .155/.246/.245 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA/A+MIN | 506 | .237/.337/.390 | 17 | 13 | 56 | — | .185/.267/.299 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAMIN | 333 | .260/.366/.400 | 9 | 14 | 70 | — | .212/.297/.313 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 312 | 665 | 556 | 41 | 0 | 309 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 501 | 429 | 91 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 53 | 142 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 212 | 323 | 333 | 656 | 121 | 288 | 28 | 11 | 303 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 26 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 231 | 227 | 458 | 136 | 91 | 38 | 15 | 222 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 480 | 417 | 102 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 46 | 155 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 245 | 342 | 398 | 740 | 153 | 348 | 32 | 10 | 335 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 333 | 285 | 74 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 108 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 260 | 366 | 400 | 766 | 140 | 387 | 32 | 12 | 349 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 515 | 59 | 0 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 501 | 445 | 69 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 193 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 155 | 246 | 245 | 491 | 90 | 244 | 39 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 192 | 217 | 410 | 130 | 82 | 50 | 12 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 480 | 431 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 198 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 190 | 271 | 304 | 575 | 114 | 311 | 41 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 333 | 297 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 130 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 212 | 297 | 313 | 610 | 101 | 350 | 39 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 500 | 59 | 0 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 312 | 665 | 556 | 41 | 0 | 309 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 501 | 445 | 69 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 193 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 155 | 246 | 245 | 491 | 90 | 245 | 39 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 501 | 429 | 91 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 53 | 142 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 212 | 323 | 333 | 656 | 121 | 288 | 28 | 11 | 303 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 454 | 84 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 211 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 185 | 267 | 300 | 567 | 115 | 307 | 42 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 506 | 439 | 104 | 14 | 1 | 17 | 50 | 165 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 237 | 337 | 390 | 726 | 153 | 337 | 33 | 10 | 330 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 333 | 297 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 130 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 212 | 297 | 313 | 610 | 101 | 354 | 39 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 333 | 285 | 74 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 108 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 260 | 366 | 400 | 766 | 140 | 387 | 32 | 12 | 349 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 515 | 59 | 0 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 501 | 442 | 69 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 193 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 156 | 246 | 247 | 493 | 90 | 244 | 39 | 7 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 450 | 84 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 211 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 187 | 267 | 302 | 570 | 116 | 299 | 42 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 333 | 294 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 130 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 214 | 297 | 316 | 614 | 102 | 350 | 39 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1357 | 1212 | 219 | 28 | 5 | 28 | 101 | 544 | 41 | 32 | 12 | 181 | 267 | 281 | 548 | 101 | 297 | 40 | 7 | 245 | 52 | -78 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +29 | -4.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 104 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 261 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 179 | 265 | 275 | 540 | 96 | 295 | 40 | 7 | 245 | 52 | -37 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAWichita Wind Surge · 333 PAwOBA .339 → .271 (−68)K% 32.4% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.43% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.01% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.10% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.51% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 28.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.931 | ×0.840 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.231 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .339 → .271; ISO .140 → .100; BABIP .387 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 480 PAwOBA .327 → .255 (−72)K% 32.3% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.29% | ÷0.993 | ×1.270 | — | — | 41.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.10% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 24.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷0.912 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.011 | ×0.850 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.11% | ÷0.948 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.09% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 102, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .327 → .255; ISO .153 → .118; BABIP .348 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAWichita Wind Surge · 26 PAwOBA .217 → .158 (−59)K% 38.5% → 49.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.46% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 49.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 10.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 7.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.85% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .217 → .158; ISO .136 → .097; BABIP .091 → .082. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 501 PAwOBA .297 → .224 (−73)K% 28.3% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.34% | ÷0.992 | ×1.350 | — | — | 38.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.58% | ÷1.026 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.39% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 2.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.30% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 19.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.53% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 3.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.956 | ×0.998 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.83% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 3.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .297 → .224; ISO .121 → .095; BABIP .288 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 17 PAwOBA .301 → .204 (−98)K% 41.2% → 57.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.18% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 57.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 4.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 55.56% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 51.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 109, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .301 → .204; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .556 → .515. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).