Mateo Gil
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 488 | .236/.287/.367 | 12 | 11 | 50 | — | .163/.193/.265 |
| 2025 | 25 | INTLMexico Rojo | 258 | .306/.390/.457 | 2 | 11 | 133 | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | INTLCharros de Ja… | 56 | .319/.407/.404 | 0 | 3 | 128 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 194 | 171 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 251 | 340 | 316 | 656 | 64 | 353 | 26 | 10 | 305 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 46 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 239 | 279 | 518 | 93 | 219 | 22 | 7 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 396 | 366 | 91 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 99 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 249 | 297 | 396 | 693 | 148 | 313 | 25 | 5 | 305 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 37 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 306 | 306 | 333 | 639 | 28 | 367 | 19 | 0 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 190 | 174 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 247 | 307 | 408 | 715 | 161 | 306 | 25 | 8 | 316 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 35 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 371 | 517 | 889 | 276 | 353 | 31 | 14 | 388 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 20 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 300 | 350 | 650 | 50 | 429 | 30 | 0 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 167 | 149 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 317 | 349 | 666 | 101 | 333 | 26 | 9 | 297 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 234 | 212 | 44 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 282 | 443 | 725 | 236 | 233 | 24 | 9 | 318 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 92 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 200 | 233 | 433 | 70 | 236 | 34 | 4 | 193 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 217 | 203 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 232 | 274 | 409 | 683 | 177 | 278 | 25 | 5 | 298 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Mexico | — | 179 | 160 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 281 | 347 | 388 | 734 | 106 | 318 | 16 | 7 | 327 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Mexico Rojo | — | 258 | 219 | 67 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 39 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 306 | 390 | 457 | 846 | 151 | 351 | 15 | 10 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 56 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 319 | 407 | 404 | 812 | 85 | 395 | 20 | 11 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 194 | 178 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 174 | 242 | 225 | 467 | 51 | 279 | 38 | 7 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 396 | 372 | 72 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 139 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 194 | 233 | 288 | 520 | 94 | 279 | 35 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 190 | 179 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 184 | 228 | 285 | 512 | 101 | 260 | 35 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 35 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 257 | 387 | 644 | 226 | 251 | 46 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 167 | 154 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 274 | 318 | 593 | 91 | 320 | 32 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 234 | 220 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 150 | 201 | 318 | 519 | 168 | 178 | 31 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 92 | 87 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 189 | 230 | 419 | 69 | 233 | 39 | 3 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 217 | 207 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 164 | 195 | 280 | 476 | 116 | 214 | 33 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 194 | 178 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 174 | 242 | 225 | 467 | 51 | 291 | 38 | 7 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 194 | 171 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 251 | 340 | 316 | 656 | 64 | 353 | 26 | 10 | 305 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 46 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 239 | 279 | 518 | 93 | 219 | 22 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 46 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 239 | 279 | 518 | 93 | 219 | 22 | 7 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 433 | 407 | 79 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 152 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 194 | 232 | 290 | 522 | 96 | 287 | 35 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 433 | 402 | 102 | 26 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 106 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 254 | 297 | 391 | 688 | 137 | 318 | 24 | 5 | 303 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 228 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 171 | 225 | 272 | 497 | 101 | 259 | 37 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 245 | 223 | 56 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 316 | 417 | 733 | 166 | 322 | 27 | 8 | 325 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 374 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 126 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 182 | 231 | 318 | 549 | 136 | 242 | 31 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 401 | 361 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 100 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 224 | 296 | 404 | 701 | 180 | 275 | 25 | 9 | 309 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 488 | 462 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 170 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 160 | 193 | 260 | 453 | 100 | 228 | 35 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 488 | 449 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 114 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 236 | 287 | 367 | 654 | 131 | 287 | 23 | 6 | 289 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL MLE | Mexico Rojo | — | 258 | 219 | 67 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 39 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 306 | 390 | 457 | 846 | 151 | 351 | 15 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL RAW | Mexico Rojo | — | 258 | 219 | 67 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 39 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 306 | 390 | 457 | 846 | 151 | 351 | 15 | 10 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL MLE | Charros de Jalisco | — | 56 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 319 | 407 | 404 | 812 | 85 | 395 | 20 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL RAW | Charros de Jalisco | — | 56 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 319 | 407 | 404 | 812 | 85 | 395 | 20 | 11 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 194 | 176 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 176 | 242 | 227 | 470 | 51 | 279 | 38 | 7 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 433 | 410 | 79 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 152 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 193 | 232 | 288 | 520 | 95 | 279 | 35 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 227 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 225 | 273 | 499 | 101 | 259 | 37 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 374 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 126 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 182 | 231 | 318 | 549 | 136 | 237 | 31 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 488 | 466 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 170 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 159 | 193 | 258 | 451 | 99 | 220 | 35 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 488 | 466 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 170 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 159 | 193 | 258 | 451 | 99 | 220 | 35 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2121 | 1958 | 381 | 85 | 14 | 32 | 117 | 672 | 18 | 42 | 26 | 195 | 247 | 301 | 548 | 107 | 274 | 32 | 6 | 180 | 8 | -233 | -2 | +0 | +23 | +46 | -17.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 117 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 206 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 195 | 248 | 302 | 550 | 107 | 274 | 32 | 6 | 180 | 8 | -71 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -5.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 217 PAwOBA .293 → .200 (−92)K% 24.9% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.88% | ÷0.988 | ×1.310 | — | — | 33.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.07% | ÷0.973 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 3.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.12% | ÷1.032 | ×0.870 | ×0.961 | ×0.988 | 14.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | ×0.961 | ×0.988 | 5.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | ×0.961 | ×0.988 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.70% | ÷1.341 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.05% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 168, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 86, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .293 → .200; ISO .177 → .115; BABIP .278 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 92 PAwOBA .190 → .172 (−18)K% 33.7% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.70% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.992 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 18.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.954 | ×0.860 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.950 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.834 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.72% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 112, K 109, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .190 → .172; ISO .070 → .063; BABIP .236 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 234 PAwOBA .309 → .223 (−86)K% 23.9% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.93% | ÷1.018 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.55% | ÷0.970 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.90% | ÷0.973 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 9.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.058 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.054 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.34% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .309 → .223; ISO .236 → .175; BABIP .233 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 167 PAwOBA .291 → .257 (−34)K% 26.3% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.35% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.38% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 25.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.032 | ×0.860 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.90% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 1.65% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .291 → .257; ISO .101 → .085; BABIP .333 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Spokane Indians · 190 PAwOBA .310 → .223 (−86)K% 25.3% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.26% | ÷0.975 | ×1.350 | — | — | 34.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷1.022 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.02% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 20.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 4.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.316 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 3.04% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 108, 2B 96, 3B 91, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .310 → .223; ISO .161 → .103; BABIP .306 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rockies · 35 PAwOBA .378 → .234 (−144)K% 31.4% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.43% | ÷0.980 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.981 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 8.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.035 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 8.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.979 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 11.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 4.60% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 96, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .378 → .234; ISO .276 → .169; BABIP .353 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AFresno Grizzlies · 396 PAwOBA .299 → .226 (−73)K% 25.0% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.30% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.97% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×1.015 | 20.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.36% | ÷1.057 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.015 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | ×0.991 | ×1.015 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.37% | ÷1.218 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 126, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .299 → .226; ISO .148 → .097; BABIP .313 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGCL Cardinals · 194 PAwOBA .298 → .203 (−95)K% 26.3% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 37.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.965 | ×1.022 | 23.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.965 | ×1.022 | 3.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.965 | ×1.022 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.66% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .298 → .203; ISO .064 → .042; BABIP .353 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .