Cole Roederer
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | AA/A+/A/INTL3 orgs | 452 | .236/.324/.393 | 13 | 10 | 76 | — | .206/.260/.338 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 372 | .249/.350/.416 | 13 | 10 | 71 | — | .214/.287/.343 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 369 | .186/.308/.311 | 6 | 7 | 35 | — | .147/.245/.237 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | — | 161 | 142 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 37 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 275 | 356 | 465 | 821 | 190 | 337 | 23 | 11 | 361 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 448 | 384 | 86 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 112 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 224 | 324 | 365 | 689 | 141 | 285 | 25 | 12 | 309 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 84 | 70 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 229 | 349 | 300 | 649 | 71 | 314 | 24 | 14 | 303 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 205 | 181 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 243 | 318 | 414 | 733 | 171 | 298 | 27 | 8 | 322 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 66 | 61 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 246 | 361 | 607 | 164 | 262 | 29 | 6 | 264 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 20 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 467 | 579 | 600 | 1.179 | 133 | 500 | 10 | 20 | 494 | 202 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 161 | 137 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 219 | 331 | 358 | 689 | 139 | 250 | 18 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 37 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 290 | 389 | 387 | 776 | 97 | 409 | 27 | 14 | 344 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 335 | 286 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 94 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 245 | 345 | 420 | 765 | 175 | 310 | 28 | 12 | 339 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 188 | 162 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 216 | 321 | 370 | 691 | 154 | 286 | 28 | 12 | 313 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 181 | 150 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 153 | 294 | 247 | 541 | 93 | 229 | 30 | 15 | 261 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 2 | — | 161 | 149 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 195 | 250 | 336 | 586 | 141 | 254 | 33 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 448 | 399 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 157 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 173 | 252 | 276 | 527 | 103 | 248 | 35 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 84 | 73 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 289 | 247 | 536 | 55 | 288 | 32 | 11 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 205 | 187 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 70 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 198 | 254 | 326 | 580 | 128 | 271 | 34 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 66 | 62 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 161 | 200 | 306 | 506 | 145 | 209 | 36 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 20 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 438 | 526 | 562 | 1.089 | 125 | 461 | 15 | 15 | 467 | 202 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 37 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 281 | 361 | 375 | 736 | 94 | 391 | 32 | 11 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 335 | 300 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 114 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 207 | 279 | 340 | 619 | 133 | 275 | 34 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 188 | 167 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 64 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 174 | 262 | 275 | 537 | 102 | 252 | 34 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 181 | 158 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 68 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 120 | 228 | 196 | 424 | 76 | 192 | 38 | 10 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 2 | — | 161 | 149 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 195 | 250 | 336 | 586 | 141 | 269 | 33 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs 2 | — | 161 | 142 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 37 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 275 | 356 | 465 | 821 | 190 | 337 | 23 | 11 | 361 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 448 | 399 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 157 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 173 | 252 | 276 | 527 | 103 | 256 | 35 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 448 | 384 | 86 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 112 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 224 | 324 | 365 | 689 | 141 | 285 | 25 | 12 | 309 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 84 | 73 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 289 | 247 | 536 | 55 | 298 | 32 | 11 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 84 | 70 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 229 | 349 | 300 | 649 | 71 | 314 | 24 | 14 | 303 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 452 | 414 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 151 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 203 | 258 | 331 | 589 | 128 | 284 | 33 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 452 | 394 | 93 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 105 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 236 | 324 | 393 | 717 | 157 | 285 | 23 | 10 | 318 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 332 | 71 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 126 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 214 | 287 | 343 | 630 | 130 | 302 | 34 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 372 | 317 | 79 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 104 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 249 | 350 | 416 | 766 | 167 | 320 | 28 | 12 | 340 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 325 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 131 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 148 | 245 | 237 | 482 | 89 | 229 | 36 | 10 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 369 | 312 | 58 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 107 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 186 | 308 | 311 | 619 | 125 | 259 | 29 | 13 | 287 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 2 | — | 161 | 149 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 195 | 250 | 336 | 586 | 141 | 254 | 33 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 448 | 403 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 157 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 171 | 252 | 273 | 525 | 102 | 248 | 35 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 84 | 74 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 189 | 289 | 243 | 532 | 54 | 288 | 32 | 11 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 452 | 418 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 151 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 201 | 258 | 328 | 586 | 127 | 270 | 33 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 335 | 71 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 126 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 212 | 287 | 340 | 627 | 128 | 287 | 34 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 324 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 131 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 148 | 245 | 238 | 483 | 90 | 223 | 36 | 10 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 324 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 131 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 148 | 245 | 238 | 483 | 90 | 223 | 36 | 10 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1886 | 1692 | 315 | 63 | 10 | 36 | 149 | 645 | 21 | 60 | 19 | 186 | 260 | 299 | 560 | 113 | 270 | 34 | 8 | 248 | 54 | -104 | +4 | +0 | -11 | +41 | -7.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 222 | 7 | 21 | 7 | 185 | 259 | 295 | 554 | 110 | 269 | 34 | 8 | 248 | 54 | -36 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAIowa Cubs · 188 PAwOBA .307 → .244 (−63)K% 28.2% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.19% | ÷0.998 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷0.949 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.35% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 16.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.17% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 7.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.59% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .307 → .244; ISO .154 → .110; BABIP .286 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATennessee Smokies · 181 PAwOBA .256 → .197 (−59)K% 29.8% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.83% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.92% | ÷0.959 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 10.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 10.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.059 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 7.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.985 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.854 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.97% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .256 → .197; ISO .093 → .075; BABIP .229 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AATennessee Smokies · 335 PAwOBA .335 → .268 (−67)K% 28.1% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.06% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.94% | ÷1.059 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.48% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 22.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷0.966 | ×0.880 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.77% | ÷1.082 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.07% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 95, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .335 → .268; ISO .175 → .135; BABIP .310 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAIowa Cubs · 37 PAwOBA .345 → .316 (−29)K% 27.0% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.03% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.51% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 31.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 3.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.916 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 5.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 110, 3B 83, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .345 → .316; ISO .097 → .101; BABIP .409 → .391. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AATennessee Smokies · 205 PAwOBA .314 → .263 (−51)K% 26.8% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.83% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.32% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.02% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.929 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.16% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 92, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .314 → .263; ISO .171 → .139; BABIP .298 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+South Bend Cubs · 66 PAwOBA .261 → .193 (−68)K% 28.8% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.79% | ÷1.003 | ×1.270 | — | — | 36.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.06% | ÷0.986 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 10.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 8.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.097 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.938 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.03% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 119, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .261 → .193; ISO .164 → .119; BABIP .262 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 20 PAwOBA .508 → .467 (−41)K% 10.0% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 13.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 13.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.46% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 35.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 13.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 114, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .508 → .467; ISO .133 → .129; BABIP .500 → .461. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+South Bend Cubs · 84 PAwOBA .300 → .247 (−53)K% 23.8% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.012 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 10.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 21.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 8.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.928 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .300 → .247; ISO .071 → .055; BABIP .314 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .