Grant Witherspoon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | AAA/AATB | 471 | .266/.343/.467 | 17 | 15 | 82 | — | .229/.286/.383 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 534 | .241/.351/.444 | 21 | 15 | 94 | — | .192/.271/.311 |
| 2024 | 27 | AASEA | 157 | .153/.252/.255 | 3 | 2 | 14 | — | .127/.200/.218 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Princeton Rays | — | 235 | 212 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 59 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 245 | 313 | 382 | 695 | 137 | 315 | 25 | 8 | 310 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 490 | 440 | 109 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 101 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 248 | 319 | 393 | 712 | 145 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 317 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 82 | 72 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 333 | 407 | 653 | 1.060 | 319 | 417 | 26 | 11 | 449 | 190 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 429 | 386 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 22 | 38 | 109 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 269 | 335 | 503 | 837 | 233 | 315 | 25 | 9 | 362 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 260 | 224 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 65 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 241 | 340 | 446 | 786 | 205 | 293 | 25 | 12 | 348 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 211 | 194 | 57 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 294 | 348 | 490 | 837 | 196 | 355 | 22 | 7 | 367 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 141 | 117 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 340 | 333 | 674 | 128 | 292 | 30 | 16 | 314 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 165 | 144 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 264 | 358 | 472 | 830 | 208 | 326 | 25 | 12 | 367 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 228 | 192 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 59 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 245 | 353 | 490 | 842 | 245 | 288 | 26 | 14 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 157 | 137 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 153 | 252 | 255 | 507 | 102 | 220 | 34 | 11 | 236 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 235 | 219 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 84 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 174 | 223 | 269 | 493 | 96 | 249 | 36 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 490 | 455 | 84 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 146 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 185 | 237 | 277 | 514 | 92 | 249 | 30 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 429 | 397 | 83 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 143 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 209 | 259 | 375 | 635 | 166 | 268 | 33 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 260 | 236 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 78 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 203 | 274 | 347 | 622 | 144 | 268 | 30 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 211 | 199 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 261 | 300 | 427 | 727 | 166 | 328 | 26 | 4 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 141 | 125 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 160 | 255 | 240 | 495 | 80 | 255 | 36 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 165 | 151 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 219 | 285 | 371 | 656 | 152 | 305 | 33 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 157 | 142 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 127 | 200 | 218 | 418 | 92 | 190 | 39 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 235 | 219 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 84 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 174 | 223 | 269 | 493 | 96 | 258 | 36 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK RAW | Princeton Rays | — | 235 | 212 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 59 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 245 | 313 | 382 | 695 | 137 | 315 | 25 | 8 | 310 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 490 | 455 | 84 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 146 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 185 | 237 | 277 | 514 | 92 | 254 | 30 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 490 | 440 | 109 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 101 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 248 | 319 | 393 | 712 | 145 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 317 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL MLE | Perth Heat | — | 82 | 72 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 333 | 407 | 653 | 1.060 | 319 | 417 | 26 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL RAW | Perth Heat | — | 82 | 72 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 333 | 407 | 653 | 1.060 | 319 | 417 | 26 | 11 | 449 | 190 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 429 | 397 | 83 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 143 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 209 | 259 | 375 | 635 | 166 | 273 | 33 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 429 | 386 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 22 | 38 | 109 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 269 | 335 | 503 | 837 | 233 | 315 | 25 | 9 | 362 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 434 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 133 | 5 | 15 | 6 | 230 | 288 | 380 | 668 | 150 | 302 | 28 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 471 | 418 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 17 | 45 | 112 | 5 | 15 | 6 | 266 | 343 | 467 | 810 | 201 | 323 | 24 | 10 | 356 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 534 | 478 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 48 | 183 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 195 | 274 | 314 | 587 | 119 | 283 | 34 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 534 | 453 | 109 | 25 | 2 | 21 | 73 | 143 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 241 | 351 | 444 | 795 | 203 | 301 | 27 | 14 | 352 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 157 | 142 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 127 | 200 | 218 | 418 | 92 | 192 | 39 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 157 | 137 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 153 | 252 | 255 | 507 | 102 | 220 | 34 | 11 | 236 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 235 | 219 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 84 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 174 | 223 | 269 | 493 | 96 | 249 | 36 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 490 | 456 | 84 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 146 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 184 | 237 | 276 | 513 | 92 | 249 | 30 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 429 | 399 | 83 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 143 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 208 | 259 | 373 | 633 | 165 | 268 | 33 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 433 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 133 | 5 | 15 | 6 | 231 | 288 | 381 | 669 | 150 | 295 | 28 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 534 | 477 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 48 | 183 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 195 | 274 | 314 | 588 | 119 | 282 | 34 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 157 | 143 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 126 | 200 | 217 | 417 | 91 | 190 | 39 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 157 | 143 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 126 | 200 | 217 | 417 | 91 | 190 | 39 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2398 | 2197 | 440 | 81 | 16 | 58 | 166 | 772 | 15 | 82 | 28 | 200 | 261 | 331 | 592 | 131 | 276 | 32 | 7 | 244 | 51 | -140 | +5 | +0 | -14 | +52 | -9.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 119 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 45 | 209 | 4 | 22 | 8 | 200 | 261 | 331 | 591 | 131 | 274 | 32 | 7 | 244 | 51 | -38 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAArkansas Travelers · 157 PAwOBA .231 → .189 (−42)K% 33.8% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.76% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.83% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.968 | 14.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.977 | ×0.840 | ×1.005 | ×0.968 | 2.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.005 | ×0.968 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 109, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .231 → .189; ISO .102 → .090; BABIP .220 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAErie SeaWolves · 165 PAwOBA .358 → .282 (−76)K% 25.5% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.45% | ÷0.944 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×0.978 | 22.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷0.924 | ×0.860 | ×1.022 | ×0.978 | 4.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.145 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | ×0.978 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.86% | ÷1.055 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 4.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 129, K 89, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .358 → .282; ISO .208 → .153; BABIP .326 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 141 PAwOBA .304 → .240 (−64)K% 29.8% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.79% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.965 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×1.003 | 19.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.156 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.003 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.12% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 93, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .304 → .240; ISO .128 → .095; BABIP .292 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAADurham Bulls · 260 PAwOBA .339 → .274 (−65)K% 25.0% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.24% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.018 | 18.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.81% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.018 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.018 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.29% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.34% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .339 → .274; ISO .205 → .151; BABIP .293 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 211 PAwOBA .358 → .308 (−50)K% 22.3% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.27% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.64% | ÷0.984 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.49% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 23.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.48% | ÷1.090 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.955 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 1.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.88% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 91, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .358 → .308; ISO .196 → .164; BABIP .355 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 429 PAwOBA .356 → .276 (−80)K% 25.4% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.41% | ÷1.027 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.62% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.66% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 19.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷1.135 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.989 | ×0.978 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.94% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 6.59% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 91, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 105, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .356 → .276; ISO .233 → .174; BABIP .315 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 490 PAwOBA .310 → .225 (−85)K% 20.6% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.61% | ÷0.944 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.78% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.65% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 18.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.124 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.95% | ÷1.270 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 92, 2B 121, 3B 125, K 89, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .310 → .225; ISO .145 → .091; BABIP .297 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKPrinceton Rays · 235 PAwOBA .303 → .211 (−93)K% 25.1% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.975 | 4.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.001 | ×0.975 | 19.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.001 | ×0.975 | 3.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.001 | ×0.975 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.975 | 2.55% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .303 → .211; ISO .137 → .093; BABIP .315 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .