Nick Sandlin

P Toledo Mud Hens

Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 175 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MIX2 levels	69	1	59	3.68	4.77	27.2%	10.4%	-0.2	K 27.6% · BB 10.2% · FIP 4.74
2025	28	MIX3 levels	24	1	20	4.50	5.25	23.1%	12.1%	-0.2	K 23.2% · BB 11.6% · FIP 4.20
2026	29	MIX2 levels	47	1	60	4.05	3.82	25.3%	12.3%	0.5	K 23.4% · BB 11.0% · FIP 3.65
2027PROJ	30	MLBLAA	64	0	67	4.25	4.44	24.6%	11.1%	0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBLAA	22	0	23	4.50	4.67	23.8%	11.4%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBLAA	30	0	32	4.75	4.92	23.0%	11.8%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff65Control35Command50FB velo40

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Neil Wagner (age 29) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 101

ERA4.25

FIP4.44

K%24.6%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%13.5%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†6060

SI (9%)

FB-0.8 (22%)

SL-0.9 (54%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	0	24	96	36	3	0	0%	1.0	37.5%	3.1%	34.4%	0.0%	3.00	0.33	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	4 levels	25	0	24	96	36	3	0	0%	1.0	37.5%	3.1%	34.4%	0.0%	3.00	0.48	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	26	112	38	13	4	0%	1.1	29.2%	8.8%	20.4%	3.7%	2.39	3.79	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	26	112	38	13	4	0%	1.1	33.9%	11.6%	22.3%	3.6%	2.39	3.67	—
2021	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	34	0	34	141	48	17	2	0%	1.0	34.0%	12.1%	22.0%	1.4%	2.94	2.53	+0.8
2021	24	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	34	0	34	141	48	17	2	0%	1.0	34.0%	12.1%	22.0%	1.4%	2.94	2.54	+0.8
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	48	199	44	24	3	0%	0.9	22.8%	11.7%	11.1%	1.1%	2.79	3.27	+0.7
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	48	199	44	24	3	0%	0.9	22.1%	12.1%	10.1%	1.5%	2.79	3.58	+0.6
2023	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	61	0	60	239	66	23	12	0%	1.0	27.6%	9.6%	18.0%	5.0%	3.75	4.75	-0.1
2023	26	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	61	0	60	239	66	23	12	0%	1.0	27.6%	9.6%	18.0%	5.0%	3.75	4.65	-0.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	1	59	250	68	26	12	1%	0.9	27.6%	10.2%	17.5%	4.9%	3.68	4.74	-0.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	1	59	250	68	26	12	1%	0.9	27.6%	10.2%	17.5%	4.9%	3.68	4.74	-0.1
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	69	1	59	250	68	26	12	1%	0.9	27.2%	10.4%	16.8%	4.8%	3.68	4.77	-0.2
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	20	91	21	11	4	4%	0.8	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	2.9%	4.50	4.20	+0.1
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	20	91	21	11	4	4%	0.8	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	2.9%	4.50	4.20	+0.1
2025	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	1	20	91	21	11	4	4%	0.8	23.1%	12.1%	11.0%	4.4%	4.50	5.25	-0.2
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	60	253	64	31	6	2%	1.3	23.4%	11.0%	12.4%	2.1%	4.05	3.65	+0.6
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	60	253	64	31	6	2%	1.3	23.4%	11.0%	12.4%	2.1%	4.05	3.65	+0.6
2026	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	1	60	253	64	31	6	2%	1.3	25.3%	12.3%	13.0%	2.4%	4.05	3.82	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			236	1	220	915	245	99	32	0%	0.9	26.8%	10.8%	16.0%	3.5%	3.51	4.11	+1.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	LAA	64	0	67	283	69	31	8	0%	1.0	24.6%	11.1%	13.5%	3.0%	4.25	4.44	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	LAA	60	0	63	265	63	30	8	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.4%	12.4%	3.2%	4.50	4.67	-0.1
2029	32	MLB MLE	LAA	55	0	58	245	56	29	8	0%	1.1	23.0%	11.8%	11.2%	3.4%	4.75	4.92	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	LAA	22	0	23	97	23	11	3	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.4%	12.4%	3.2%	4.50	4.67	-0.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	LAA	30	0	32	135	31	16	5	0%	1.1	23.0%	11.8%	11.2%	3.4%	4.75	4.92	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		288	1	275	1147	299	126	40	0%	1.0	26.1%	11.0%	15.1%	3.5%	3.74	4.19	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		209	1	200	833	217	92	29	0%	1.0	26.1%	11.0%	15.1%	3.5%	3.74	4.19	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		335	3	331	1381	377	140	40	1%	1.0	27.3%	10.1%	17.2%	2.9%	3.45	3.68	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		202	2	200	834	228	84	24	1%	1.0	27.3%	10.1%	17.2%	2.9%	3.45	3.68	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Sandlin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	24.6%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.79	23.4%	11.8%	121	+0.35	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	82
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	78
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	77
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	76
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	76
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	75
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.27	300	75
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	74
Kiko Calero R 2005 · 3.51 FIP	30	SU	3.51	22.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.252	3.23	23.3%	13.9%	99	-0.28	2.27	298	74
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	73
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	73
Manny Acosta R 2011 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	22.5%	7.4%	2.9%	.321	4.49	21.3%	10.2%	47	+0.74	3.08	350	73
Ryan Tepera R 2018 · 3.90 FIP	30	SU	3.90	25.9%	8.7%	3.4%	.282	3.20	28.4%	19.9%	104	-0.70	2.35	445	73
Steve Geltz R 2017 · 3.57 FIP	29	SU	3.57	22.6%	10.2%	2.0%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	157	72
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	72
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	72
Erik Goeddel R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	29	SU	3.45	28.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	2.01	193	72
Jeremy Fikac R 2004 · 4.91 FIP	29	SU	4.91	19.6%	8.0%	4.5%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	136	71
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	335	71
Grant Sides R 2019 · 3.31 FIP	30	SU	3.31	21.7%	9.8%	1.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	159	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	58	25.4%	11.4%	1.30	3.96
Hansel Robles ('22)	2.1	61	25.3%	10.2%	1.20	4.11
Dominic Leone ('24)	2.1	54	23.9%	10.4%	1.26	3.94
Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*)	2.1	54	27.1%*	10.2%*	1.18*	3.66*
Colin Poche ('25)	1.1	54	26.7%	10.2%	1.32	4.01
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Tim Stoddard ('75-'89, 4 WAR*)	3.6	66	26.2%*	11.2%*	1.14*	4.24*