Reidy Mercado
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A+/ROK2 orgs | 169 | .243/.315/.270 | 0 | 12 | 17 | — | .184/.238/.204 |
| 2023 | 22 | A/ROK2 orgs | 136 | .246/.296/.317 | 0 | 14 | 20 | — | .180/.215/.227 |
| 2024 | 23 | ACarolina Mudc… | 164 | .205/.284/.260 | 1 | 20 | 15 | — | .159/.216/.205 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | — | 216 | 196 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 52 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 194 | 269 | 204 | 473 | 10 | 264 | 24 | 8 | 228 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 277 | 244 | 71 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 43 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 291 | 369 | 385 | 754 | 94 | 342 | 16 | 9 | 339 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 144 | 129 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 248 | 326 | 341 | 667 | 93 | 348 | 27 | 9 | 305 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 73 | 71 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 239 | 250 | 239 | 489 | 340 | 29 | 1 | 220 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 96 | 81 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 247 | 365 | 296 | 661 | 49 | 339 | 23 | 15 | 314 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 71 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 162 | 197 | 221 | 418 | 59 | 239 | 31 | 4 | 191 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 65 | 58 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 345 | 406 | 431 | 837 | 86 | 426 | 18 | 9 | 371 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 164 | 146 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 205 | 284 | 260 | 544 | 55 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 252 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians/Brewers | — | 216 | 201 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 124 | 185 | 129 | 315 | 5 | 183 | 30 | 6 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 277 | 253 | 54 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 62 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 213 | 274 | 281 | 554 | 67 | 266 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 144 | 134 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 172 | 229 | 239 | 468 | 67 | 278 | 39 | 6 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 73 | 71 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 197 | 208 | 197 | 406 | 308 | 37 | 1 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 96 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 174 | 260 | 209 | 470 | 35 | 257 | 32 | 9 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 71 | 69 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 116 | 141 | 159 | 300 | 43 | 209 | 42 | 3 | 134 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 65 | 60 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 250 | 297 | 300 | 597 | 50 | 340 | 28 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 164 | 151 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 159 | 216 | 205 | 421 | 46 | 262 | 38 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians/Brewers | — | 216 | 201 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 124 | 185 | 129 | 315 | 5 | 182 | 30 | 6 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians/Brewers | — | 216 | 196 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 52 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 194 | 269 | 204 | 473 | 10 | 264 | 24 | 8 | 228 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 277 | 253 | 54 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 62 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 213 | 274 | 281 | 554 | 67 | 271 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 277 | 244 | 71 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 43 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 291 | 369 | 385 | 754 | 94 | 342 | 16 | 9 | 339 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 144 | 134 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 172 | 229 | 239 | 468 | 67 | 286 | 39 | 6 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 144 | 129 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 248 | 326 | 341 | 667 | 93 | 348 | 27 | 9 | 305 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 169 | 157 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 59 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 178 | 232 | 197 | 430 | 19 | 286 | 35 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 169 | 152 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 243 | 315 | 270 | 585 | 26 | 339 | 25 | 9 | 273 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 136 | 129 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 171 | 207 | 209 | 417 | 39 | 268 | 35 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 136 | 126 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 246 | 296 | 317 | 614 | 71 | 333 | 25 | 7 | 277 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 164 | 151 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 159 | 216 | 205 | 421 | 46 | 261 | 38 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 164 | 146 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 205 | 284 | 260 | 544 | 55 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 252 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians/Brewers | — | 216 | 199 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 64 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 126 | 185 | 131 | 316 | 5 | 183 | 30 | 6 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers Blue | — | 277 | 254 | 54 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 62 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 213 | 274 | 280 | 553 | 67 | 266 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 144 | 133 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 173 | 229 | 241 | 470 | 68 | 278 | 39 | 6 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 169 | 156 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 59 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 179 | 232 | 199 | 431 | 19 | 279 | 35 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 136 | 129 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 171 | 207 | 209 | 417 | 39 | 272 | 35 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 164 | 152 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 158 | 216 | 204 | 420 | 46 | 262 | 38 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 164 | 152 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 158 | 216 | 204 | 420 | 46 | 262 | 38 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1106 | 1025 | 176 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 351 | 10 | 119 | 31 | 172 | 227 | 213 | 440 | 41 | 255 | 32 | 6 | 199 | 21 | -104 | +11 | +0 | +4 | +24 | -6.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 103 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 206 | 6 | 70 | 18 | 171 | 228 | 211 | 439 | 40 | 255 | 32 | 6 | 199 | 21 | -61 | +7 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 ACarolina Mudcats · 164 PAwOBA .246 → .191 (−55)K% 28.0% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.05% | ÷1.013 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.15% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | ×0.990 | 22.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×0.990 | 2.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×1.048 | ×0.990 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.101 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 113, 2B 92, 3B 101, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .246 → .191; ISO .055 → .042; BABIP .293 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ACarolina Mudcats · 71 PAwOBA .186 → .134 (−52)K% 31.0% → 42.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.99% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.23% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | — | 2.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.22% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | — | 14.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.090 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | — | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.049 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .186 → .134; ISO .059 → .040; BABIP .239 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Brewers · 65 PAwOBA .367 → .267 (−100)K% 18.5% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.46% | ÷0.969 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.23% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 5.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.96% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 29.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.952 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.923 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .367 → .267; ISO .086 → .062; BABIP .426 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Brewers Blue · 96 PAwOBA .307 → .208 (−99)K% 22.9% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.58% | ÷0.963 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 9.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.12% | ÷1.024 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 21.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.030 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 101, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .307 → .208; ISO .049 → .031; BABIP .339 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 73 PAwOBA .214 → .174 (−41)K% 28.8% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.77% | ÷0.977 | ×1.270 | — | — | 37.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.37% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 1.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 30.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .214 → .174; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .340 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Brewers Blue · 144 PAwOBA .298 → .202 (−96)K% 27.1% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.08% | ÷1.006 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.03% | ÷0.970 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.999 | ×0.820 | ×1.005 | ×0.995 | 22.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.999 | ×0.720 | ×1.005 | ×0.995 | 2.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.050 | ×0.720 | ×1.005 | ×0.995 | 2.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.91% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 110, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .298 → .202; ISO .093 → .059; BABIP .348 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Brewers Blue · 277 PAwOBA .334 → .244 (−90)K% 15.5% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 22.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 1.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 2.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .334 → .244; ISO .094 → .067; BABIP .342 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Indians/Brewers · 216 PAwOBA .222 → .151 (−71)K% 24.1% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.003 | ×1.022 | 17.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.003 | ×1.022 | 0.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.003 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .222 → .151; ISO .010 → .006; BABIP .264 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).