Sam Benschoter

P Louisville Bats

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	33	11	104	4.33	3.15	22.3%	9.5%	—	K 18.2% · BB 10.0% · FIP 3.61
2025	27	AAACIN	38	5	79	4.12	4.03	20.9%	6.7%	—	K 17.9% · BB 6.1% · FIP 4.61
2026	28	AAACIN	31	9	67	4.86	4.11	18.4%	8.2%	—	K 15.8% · BB 7.4% · FIP 4.28
2027PROJ	29	MLBCIN	66	0	69	4.67	4.67	16.3%	7.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBCIN	23	0	24	4.74	4.81	16.6%	7.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBCIN	31	0	33	4.87	4.98	16.8%	8.0%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control60Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsRamon Delgado (age 29) · Rodolfo Aguirre (age 30) · Yoanner Negrin (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%16.3%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	2	9	38	19	4	0	40%	1.8	50.0%	10.5%	39.5%	0.0%	2.00	0.21	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	2	9	38	19	4	0	40%	1.8	50.0%	10.5%	39.5%	0.0%	2.00	0.21	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	17	78	336	118	31	8	77%	3.5	26.3%	9.2%	17.1%	3.0%	4.73	3.71	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	17	78	336	118	31	8	77%	3.5	35.1%	9.2%	25.9%	2.4%	4.73	2.60	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	27	27	124	576	140	67	29	100%	4.6	19.7%	12.8%	6.9%	5.9%	7.28	6.32	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	27	27	124	576	140	67	29	100%	4.6	24.3%	11.6%	12.7%	5.0%	7.28	5.51	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	11	104	453	101	43	6	33%	3.2	18.2%	10.0%	8.2%	1.4%	4.33	3.61	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	11	104	453	101	43	6	33%	3.2	18.2%	10.0%	8.2%	1.4%	4.33	3.61	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	11	104	453	101	43	6	33%	3.2	22.3%	9.5%	12.8%	1.3%	4.33	3.15	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	38	5	79	326	68	22	11	13%	2.1	17.9%	6.1%	11.9%	4.1%	4.12	4.61	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	38	5	79	326	68	22	11	13%	2.1	17.9%	6.1%	11.9%	4.1%	4.12	4.61	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	38	5	79	326	68	22	11	13%	2.1	20.9%	6.7%	14.1%	3.4%	4.12	4.03	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	31	9	67	305	56	25	8	29%	2.2	15.8%	7.4%	8.4%	2.9%	4.86	4.28	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	31	9	67	305	56	25	8	29%	2.2	15.8%	7.4%	8.4%	2.9%	4.86	4.28	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	31	9	67	305	56	25	8	29%	2.2	18.4%	8.2%	10.2%	2.6%	4.86	4.11	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	CIN	66	0	69	291	47	20	9	0%	1.0	16.3%	7.0%	9.3%	3.1%	4.67	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	61	0	64	272	45	20	9	0%	1.1	16.6%	7.5%	9.1%	3.3%	4.74	4.81	-0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	CIN	57	0	60	254	43	20	9	0%	1.1	16.8%	8.0%	8.8%	3.5%	4.87	4.98	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	23	0	24	101	17	8	3	0%	1.0	16.6%	7.5%	9.1%	3.3%	4.74	4.81	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	CIN	31	0	33	139	23	11	5	0%	1.1	16.8%	8.0%	8.8%	3.5%	4.87	4.98	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	240	40	19	8	0%	1.1	16.7%	7.8%	8.9%	3.4%	4.82	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	141	67	28	0%	1.1	16.7%	7.8%	8.9%	3.4%	4.82	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		156	71	460	2034	410	197	73	46%	2.9	20.2%	9.7%	10.5%	3.6%	5.18	4.59	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	31	200	884	178	85	32	46%	2.9	20.2%	9.7%	10.5%	3.6%	5.18	4.59	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sam Benschoter (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	16.3%	7.0%	3.1%	—	4.89	16.7%	9.0%	125	+0.22	—	—	—
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	88
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	81
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	81
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	78
Chris Jakubauskas R 2009 · 4.97 FIP	30	SW	4.97	12.1%	6.2%	3.9%	.250	4.42	15.7%	7.8%	72	-0.55	4.42	165	78
Murphy Smith R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SW	4.32	13.6%	4.9%	3.2%	.267	4.57	13.6%	4.3%	63	+0.25	3.16	300	76
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	75
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	74
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	73
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	73
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	26	SW	4.12	12.4%	9.1%	1.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	107	71
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	71
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	70
Felipe Arredondo R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	29	SW	3.92	17.2%	6.6%	2.6%	.281	4.71	15.4%	8.2%	139	+0.79	3.92	337	70
Jason Simontacchi R 2003 · 4.96 FIP	29	SW	4.96	13.1%	7.3%	3.7%	.309	8.14	4.5%	-5.9%	15	+3.18	4.79	356	70
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	70
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	70
Kolton Mahoney R 2019 · 3.56 FIP	27	SW	3.56	19.4%	8.8%	1.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	302	70
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	69
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	16.5%	7.5%	1.26	4.76
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*