Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | 4 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.12 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | 4 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.90 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 30 | 0 | 40 | 162 | 57 | 9 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.5% | 6.1% | 22.4% | 6.6% | 3.18 | 5.09 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 30 | 0 | 40 | 162 | 57 | 9 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.2% | 5.6% | 29.6% | 4.3% | 3.18 | 3.20 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 47 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 50 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 13.9% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 3.04 | 3.96 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 47 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 50 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 1.4% | 3.04 | 3.56 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 32 | 0 | 36 | 163 | 26 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.50 | 4.95 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 32 | 0 | 36 | 163 | 26 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.50 | 4.85 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 26 | 0 | 30 | 136 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.2% | 14.7% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 4.75 | 5.84 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 26 | 0 | 30 | 136 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.4% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.75 | 5.90 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 9 | 0 | 12 | 55 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 5.9% | 6.0% | -0.1% | 10.9% | 7.71 | 9.35 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 5.07 | 5.07 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 31 | 135 | 20 | 12 | 8 | — | — | 14.4% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.08 | 6.70 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 5.07 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 4.74 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 151 | 90 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 148 | 0 | 174 | 752 | 150 | 85 | 29 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 3.67 | 4.99 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 0 | 200 | 864 | 173 | 97 | 34 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 3.67 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Mikolajchak (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 3.1% | — | 5.12 | 19.5% | 7.7% | 20 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 90 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 87 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 86 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 85 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 84 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 83 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 81 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 81 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 79 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 79 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 79 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 79 |
| Guido Knudson R 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 106 | 79 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 18.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 104 | 79 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 79 |
| Grant Hartwig R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.53 | 17.6% | 11.5% | 2.7% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.54 | 214 | 79 |