Alexander Ovalles
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ATB | 370 | .248/.349/.378 | 8 | 5 | 67 | — | .215/.288/.318 |
| 2022 | 21 | AA/A+TB | 409 | .259/.358/.450 | 14 | 10 | 76 | — | .216/.284/.370 |
| 2023 | 22 | AATB | 124 | .200/.317/.267 | 1 | 4 | 36 | — | .189/.268/.252 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 94 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 316 | 435 | 368 | 803 | 53 | 381 | 15 | 17 | 366 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 126 | 114 | 43 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 377 | 437 | 623 | 1.059 | 246 | 436 | 14 | 8 | 458 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 370 | 315 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 68 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 349 | 378 | 727 | 130 | 288 | 18 | 12 | 326 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 41 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 244 | 167 | 411 | 28 | 200 | 27 | 12 | 205 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 368 | 315 | 86 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 76 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 273 | 371 | 483 | 853 | 210 | 316 | 21 | 12 | 374 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 124 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 39 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 200 | 317 | 267 | 584 | 67 | 308 | 31 | 15 | 276 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 94 | 81 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 222 | 315 | 259 | 574 | 37 | 265 | 18 | 12 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 126 | 118 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 288 | 333 | 475 | 808 | 186 | 343 | 21 | 5 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 370 | 330 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 96 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 215 | 288 | 318 | 607 | 103 | 270 | 26 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 41 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 135 | 220 | 162 | 382 | 27 | 188 | 32 | 10 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 368 | 333 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 99 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 225 | 291 | 393 | 685 | 168 | 273 | 27 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 124 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 252 | 521 | 63 | 294 | 38 | 10 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 94 | 81 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 222 | 315 | 259 | 574 | 37 | 277 | 18 | 12 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 94 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 316 | 435 | 368 | 803 | 53 | 381 | 15 | 17 | 366 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 126 | 118 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 288 | 333 | 475 | 808 | 186 | 356 | 21 | 5 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 126 | 114 | 43 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 377 | 437 | 623 | 1.059 | 246 | 436 | 14 | 8 | 458 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 370 | 330 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 96 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 215 | 288 | 318 | 607 | 103 | 280 | 26 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 370 | 315 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 68 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 248 | 349 | 378 | 727 | 130 | 288 | 18 | 12 | 326 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 370 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 112 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 214 | 281 | 365 | 646 | 151 | 269 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 409 | 351 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 87 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 259 | 358 | 450 | 808 | 191 | 304 | 21 | 12 | 357 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 124 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 252 | 521 | 63 | 317 | 38 | 10 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 124 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 39 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 200 | 317 | 267 | 584 | 67 | 308 | 31 | 15 | 276 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 94 | 83 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 217 | 315 | 253 | 568 | 36 | 265 | 18 | 12 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 126 | 117 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 291 | 333 | 479 | 812 | 188 | 343 | 21 | 5 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 370 | 333 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 96 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 213 | 288 | 315 | 604 | 102 | 270 | 26 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 371 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 112 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 213 | 281 | 364 | 645 | 151 | 264 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 124 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 252 | 521 | 63 | 294 | 38 | 10 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1123 | 1010 | 223 | 37 | 11 | 21 | 86 | 298 | 14 | 29 | 15 | 221 | 291 | 342 | 633 | 121 | 289 | 27 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -38 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +24 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 128 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 172 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 219 | 290 | 337 | 626 | 118 | 286 | 26 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -22 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 124 PAwOBA .270 → .222 (−47)K% 31.5% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.45% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.52% | ÷1.072 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 9.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷0.949 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 25.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.983 | ×1.027 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.087 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .270 → .222; ISO .067 → .053; BABIP .308 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 368 PAwOBA .367 → .294 (−73)K% 20.7% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.65% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.68% | ÷1.038 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.34% | ÷1.011 | ×0.870 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 19.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.079 | ×0.780 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.86% | ÷1.020 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 5.11% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .367 → .294; ISO .210 → .178; BABIP .316 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 41 PAwOBA .200 → .167 (−34)K% 26.8% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.83% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷0.984 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 8.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 15.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.090 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 91, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .200 → .167; ISO .028 → .024; BABIP .200 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ACharleston RiverDogs · 370 PAwOBA .321 → .267 (−53)K% 18.4% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.38% | ÷0.966 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.35% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.27% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×1.015 | 21.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.871 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.015 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×1.015 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.24% | ÷1.026 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 94, 2B 74, 3B 130, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .321 → .267; ISO .130 → .107; BABIP .288 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Rangers · 126 PAwOBA .446 → .327 (−119)K% 14.3% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 22.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 6.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 5.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.64% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .446 → .327; ISO .246 → .175; BABIP .436 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Cubs 2 · 94 PAwOBA .358 → .261 (−97)K% 14.9% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 22.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .358 → .261; ISO .053 → .035; BABIP .381 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).