Dereck Salom
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A/ROKOAK | 207 | .223/.308/.268 | 0 | 2 | 30 | — | .188/.248/.215 |
| 2023 | 22 | AOAK | 312 | .212/.343/.267 | 1 | 1 | 45 | — | .181/.278/.226 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+/AOAK | 383 | .224/.357/.284 | 3 | 8 | 52 | — | .192/.288/.237 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | — | 167 | 140 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 250 | 352 | 264 | 616 | 14 | 285 | 12 | 12 | 287 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | — | 154 | 126 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 198 | 327 | 238 | 565 | 40 | 245 | 16 | 15 | 268 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 45 | 37 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 270 | 386 | 378 | 765 | 108 | 400 | 27 | 16 | 343 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 97 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 316 | 262 | 578 | 36 | 264 | 13 | 9 | 269 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 110 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 302 | 274 | 576 | 53 | 266 | 15 | 9 | 259 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 312 | 255 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 343 | 267 | 610 | 55 | 265 | 19 | 15 | 288 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 78 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 346 | 313 | 660 | 75 | 306 | 22 | 14 | 309 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 305 | 246 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 49 | 46 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 220 | 360 | 276 | 636 | 57 | 256 | 15 | 16 | 302 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 167 | 146 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 178 | 259 | 185 | 444 | 7 | 207 | 14 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 154 | 133 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 128 | 227 | 150 | 377 | 23 | 156 | 19 | 10 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 45 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 275 | 548 | 75 | 310 | 38 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 97 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 284 | 241 | 526 | 23 | 259 | 18 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 110 | 99 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 162 | 217 | 192 | 409 | 30 | 207 | 23 | 5 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 312 | 270 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 82 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 278 | 226 | 504 | 44 | 242 | 26 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 78 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 282 | 271 | 553 | 71 | 271 | 28 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 305 | 263 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 62 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 190 | 290 | 228 | 518 | 38 | 231 | 20 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 167 | 146 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 178 | 259 | 185 | 444 | 7 | 208 | 14 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Athletics | — | 167 | 140 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 250 | 352 | 264 | 616 | 14 | 285 | 12 | 12 | 287 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 154 | 133 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 128 | 227 | 150 | 377 | 23 | 163 | 19 | 10 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Athletics | — | 154 | 126 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 198 | 327 | 238 | 565 | 40 | 245 | 16 | 15 | 268 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 45 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 275 | 548 | 75 | 348 | 38 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Athletics | — | 45 | 37 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 270 | 386 | 378 | 765 | 108 | 400 | 27 | 16 | 343 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 186 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 188 | 249 | 215 | 464 | 27 | 238 | 20 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 207 | 179 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 223 | 308 | 268 | 577 | 45 | 265 | 14 | 9 | 264 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 312 | 270 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 82 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 278 | 226 | 504 | 44 | 249 | 26 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 312 | 255 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 343 | 267 | 610 | 55 | 265 | 19 | 15 | 288 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 333 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 84 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 192 | 288 | 237 | 526 | 45 | 246 | 22 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 313 | 70 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 60 | 63 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 224 | 357 | 284 | 641 | 61 | 266 | 16 | 16 | 303 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 167 | 149 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 174 | 259 | 181 | 440 | 7 | 207 | 14 | 8 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 154 | 136 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 125 | 227 | 147 | 374 | 22 | 156 | 19 | 10 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 45 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 273 | 268 | 541 | 73 | 310 | 38 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 190 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 184 | 249 | 211 | 459 | 26 | 231 | 20 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 312 | 273 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 82 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 278 | 223 | 501 | 44 | 242 | 26 | 11 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 335 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 84 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 191 | 288 | 236 | 524 | 45 | 239 | 22 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 335 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 84 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 191 | 288 | 236 | 524 | 45 | 239 | 22 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1268 | 1108 | 199 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 119 | 278 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 180 | 268 | 215 | 482 | 35 | 232 | 22 | 9 | 225 | 38 | -93 | -0 | +0 | +14 | +27 | -5.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 102 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 143 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 180 | 267 | 217 | 484 | 37 | 231 | 22 | 9 | 225 | 38 | -48 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AStockton Ports · 305 PAwOBA .299 → .245 (−54)K% 15.1% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.08% | ÷1.015 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.74% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.990 | 20.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.990 | 3.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.164 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.68% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .299 → .245; ISO .057 → .046; BABIP .256 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 78 PAwOBA .302 → .244 (−57)K% 21.8% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.79% | ÷0.974 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.10% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 23.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.867 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.84% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .302 → .244; ISO .075 → .063; BABIP .306 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AStockton Ports · 312 PAwOBA .287 → .235 (−52)K% 19.2% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.05% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | — | 20.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | — | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷0.945 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | — | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.51% | ÷0.945 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.43% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .287 → .235; ISO .055 → .046; BABIP .265 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Athletics · 110 PAwOBA .255 → .187 (−68)K% 15.5% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.45% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.017 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.007 | ×0.820 | ×0.987 | ×0.985 | 18.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.28% | ÷0.981 | ×0.720 | ×0.987 | ×0.985 | 0.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.011 | ×0.720 | ×0.987 | ×0.985 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .255 → .187; ISO .053 → .037; BABIP .266 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AStockton Ports · 97 PAwOBA .265 → .240 (−25)K% 13.4% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.40% | ÷1.049 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.28% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.06% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 22.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 3.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 118, 3B 106, K 110, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .265 → .240; ISO .036 → .030; BABIP .264 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Athletics · 45 PAwOBA .335 → .230 (−105)K% 26.7% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 11.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .335 → .230; ISO .108 → .072; BABIP .400 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Athletics · 154 PAwOBA .264 → .180 (−84)K% 16.2% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 12.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 2.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .264 → .180; ISO .040 → .024; BABIP .245 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Athletics · 167 PAwOBA .285 → .214 (−72)K% 12.0% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.98% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 20.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 1.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .285 → .214; ISO .014 → .010; BABIP .285 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).